Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Estoril Open
ATP - ATP Estoril Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
An unseeded French player will make their way into the final of the Estoril Open. Luca Van Assche takes on Hugo Gaston in the semi-finals of this outdoor clay court tournament Van Assche beat the top seed Andrey Rublev on Friday and our prediction is he will reach the final.
Luca Van Assche has taken close to eight hours to reach this semi-final in Portugal. He has won three Challenger Tour titles this year, one on clay. Before this week, his best run on the ATP Tour in 2026 had been a run to the last eight of the Marrakech clay court tournament.
That tournament saw the only previous match between these two players. Van Assche won that with 23 games played.
A win here will take him into his first ever ATP Tour final.
Each of his three wins this week have been in three sets with more than 22.5 games played.
Hugo Gaston was 109th in the last rankings, 31 places below his opponent.
Gaston is yet to drop a set in this tournament but has not played any seeded players. His first round match against Damir Dzumhur only lasted five games before his opponent retired. Since then he has beaten Titouan Droguet and Tiago Torres.
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Luca Van Assche v Hugo Gaston Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.64 | 2.28 |
|
|
1.63 | 2.27 |
|
|
1.63 | 2.27 |
|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.59 | 2.24 |
|
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Who will win the Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston match is: more than 22.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston game on 25/07/2026 of the current ATP Estoril Open season:
- Luca Van Assche has a 66.92% chance to win against Hugo Gaston according to 1xbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.64.
- Hugo Gaston has a 33.08% probability of winning facing Luca Van Assche ⭐ with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Luca Van Assche has a 66.92 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Luca Van Assche | 66.92 % |
| Hugo Gaston | 33.08 % |
Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Form
Luca Van Assche and Hugo Gaston Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
23 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
20 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
15 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
13 Jul 2026 - ATP Umag Open
28 May 2026 - ATP French Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
24 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
22 Jul 2026 - ATP Estoril Open
14 Jul 2026 - ATP Bastad Open
29 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
24 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
31 Mar 2026 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Luca Van Assche - Hugo Gaston Key Points
- More than 22.5 games were played in the one previous match between these two players.
- A tie-break would help our prediction and one was played in their previous meeting.
- Van Assche has played more than 22.5 games in eight of his last 11 completed matches.
- The last six completed matches that Van Assche has played have all gone to a deciding set.
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Our Luca Van Assche vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
Hugo Gaston has reached two previous ATP Tour finals (both on clay) but the most recent was in 2024. He has made smooth progress in this tournament but he faces his toughest task in this Estoril Open semi-final.
Luca Van Assche will be attempting to reach his first ATP Tour final. It has been a real battle for him to reach this semi-final with each of his three matches going to a deciding set. Our Luca Van Assche v Hugo Gaston prediction is more than 22.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
