Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in NBA Predictions
Opening night at Crypto.com Arena pairs the Lakers and Warriors, and our Lakers vs Warriors match prediction expects an NBA game under 240.5 points. The last eight meetings all finished below that mark, topping out at 239 points. Last season's four games produced totals of 228, 204, 230 and 222. That averages 221 points, nearly 20 below the line.
The Lakers' final eight games of last season all stayed under 240.5, averaging about 212 points. Golden State's final eight games produced six totals below the line. The two sides combined to go under 240.5 in seven of nine preseason games. And their latest preseason meeting finished 101-89.
Stephen Curry and Charles Bassey are listed as doubtful for the Warriors. Jimmy Butler, Brandin Podziemski and Moses Moody are listed as injured, and Kristaps Porziņģis is out. A thinner Golden State rotation points toward fewer scoring runs. The Lakers list Adou Thiero as injured, so neither side arrives at full strength.
Golden State did score 128 and 124 in two preseason wins, so this is not a lock. Even so, both teams are likely to feel opening-night rust, and the Lakers scored only 98 and 89 in two preseason games against the Warriors. Thin rosters point to a total well short of 240, our pick backs the under.
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Los Angeles Lakers v Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.44 | 2.92 |
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1.42 | 2.88 |
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1.42 | 2.80 |
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1.42 | 2.86 |
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1.42 | 2.86 |
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Who will win the Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors match is: Under 240.5 Points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors game on 21/10/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Los Angeles Lakers has a 59.89% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 1.47.
- There is a probability of 40.11% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Los Angeles Lakers with odds of 2.92 at 1xbet.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Form
Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3
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0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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3
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
11 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
10 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
6 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
10 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
5 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
11 May 2026 - NBA
9 May 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
11 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
6 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
3 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
7 May 2026 - NBA
5 May 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
12 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
9 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
12 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
9 Apr 2026 - NBA
7 Apr 2026 - NBA
5 Apr 2026 - NBA
2 Apr 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
19 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
9 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
17 Apr 2026 - NBA
15 Apr 2026 - NBA
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
9 Apr 2026 - NBA
28 Feb 2026 - NBA
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
5 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
Players list
C. Carr
W. Hickey
C. Manon
A. Watson
A. Thiero
W. Richard
L. Cryer
G. Ike
Y. Lendeborg
M. Leons
Substitutes
P. Suder
J. White
C. Ross
R. McCray
J. Elmore
A. Okereke
W. Kyle
A. Kaluma
L. Goode
C. Jones
C. Hunter
M. Shulga
D. Smith
L. Jones
C. McMillian
N. Boyd
J. Moni
J. Clark
A. Toohey
K. Adams
Los Angeles Lakers - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The last eight Lakers vs Warriors games all finished below 240.5 points, with a highest total of 239.
- The four 2025-26 meetings produced totals of 228, 204, 230 and 222.
- The Lakers' last eight games of last season all finished below 240.5, averaging about 212 points.
- The Warriors' last eight games of last season produced six totals below 240.5.
- The Warriors and Lakers met twice in the preseason, with Golden State winning 124-98 and 101-89.
- Stephen Curry and Charles Bassey are doubtful for Golden State, while Kristaps Porziņģis is out.
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Our Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
The last eight meetings finished below the line, and last season's four games averaged 221 points. The Lakers also stayed under 240.5 in each of their last eight games, while Golden State lists Curry as doubtful and several others as injured.
Golden State's preseason scoring shows some upside, so a shootout is possible. Yet, the evidence favors a total well below the line, so we expect the Under to land. Hence, our Lakers vs Warriors prediction is Under 240.5 Points.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
