Lorenzo Musetti vs Gabriel Diallo Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Prediction published on 01/05/2025, 01:06  by Daniel Ngulu | Modified on 01/05/2025 at 01:09 in ATP Mutua Madrid Open Predictions

For the first time in five appearances, Lorenzo Musetti is at the Madrid Masters quarters. He will square off with qualifier Gabriel Diallo, with the winner meeting Jack Draper or Matteo Arnaldi. Read on for our prediction.

Musetti has shown his pedigree at Madrid with key wins against Stefanos Tsitsipas and Alex De Minaur. He has yet to drop a set in Madrid, and looking at the opponents he has faced and trounced here, he goes into the next match as a clear favorite.

Having arrived here after falling in the Monte Carlo final has shaped his focus. Eight wins in nine matches have him on the desired rhythm, carrying into this game a 15-5 record.

Nine of Musetti’s 15 wins this season were on clay, and this should scare Diallo. Fortune has favored the Canadian, who entered the main draw here as a lucky loser.

He is now on a record performance at a Masters event. It is his first-ever appearance at the quarter-final level in such a tournament. After beating Zizou Bergs in straight sets in the opening round, he won in three sets his next three matches.

The latest of them was against Grigor Dimitrov. Four straight wins on clay mean he is now on a winning record on this surface, at 7-4. Head-to-head, he is at 1-1 with Musetti.