England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The final curtain of matchday 36 in the English Premier League brings us a battle of the heavyweights, with Liverpool playing host to Arsenal at Anfield on Sunday afternoon. The Reds and the Gunners are first and second in the league standings, respectively, but are separated by 15 points. Check out our match prediction below!
A few weeks ago, this match was expected to be the title decider, but Liverpool secured their 20th top-flight crown on April 27 against Spurs in emphatic fashion and are now on their victory lap. While Arne Slot’s men can now enjoy their final three games, it is a very different situation for Mikel Arteta and co, who are just four points ahead of fifth-placed Chelsea and still getting over their Champions League disappointment.
Bookmakers have installed the hosts as the favourites in this contest, but the onus is firmly on the visitors to go out and get a result in this match. Let’s get into the key stats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Liverpool v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2 | 3.6 | 3.7 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.5 | 3.4 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.45 | 3.64 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.5 | 3.55 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Liverpool and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Liverpool vs Arsenal match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/05/2025 between Liverpool and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.31% for a win of Liverpool against Arsenal with odds of 2.08 at Betsson.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Liverpool vs Arsenal is 21.06% with odds of 3.75 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Liverpool with odds of 3.81 at 1xbet.
Liverpool vs Arsenal Form
Liverpool and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 35 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 46 |
|
2
|
67 | 35 | 18 | 13 | 4 | 33 |
Liverpool and Arsenal Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Premier League
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - Premier League
13 Apr 2025 - Premier League
2 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
8 Mar 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
6 Apr 2025 - Premier League
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
19 Feb 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2025 - Champions League
3 May 2025 - Premier League
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Premier League
29 Apr 2025 - Champions League
23 Apr 2025 - Premier League
12 Apr 2025 - Premier League
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
1 Apr 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 May 2025 - Champions League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
Liverpool vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Oct 2024 - Premier League
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Feb 2024 - Premier League
7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
23 Dec 2023 - Premier League
9 Apr 2023 - Premier League
Liverpool - Arsenal: Form Analysis
With the title secured, Arne Slot took the opportunity to make several changes for last weekend’s trip to Stamford Bridge. However, his team suffered a 3-1 defeat to Chelsea, who are fighting to keep their Champions League hopes alive.
That loss brought an end to the Reds’ three-match win streak, though they have still won seven of their last 10 league games and have scored at least once in 31 consecutive top-flight matches.
At home, the hosts have won seven in a row and are unbeaten in 15 (W13 D2 L0). They have also netted two or more goals in all but one of the matches during their current unbeaten run.
Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 14 matches against Arsenal in all competitions at Anfield!
Meanwhile, Arsenal enter this match off the back of a heartbreak, having gotten knocked out of the Champions League in the semi-final stage in midweek by PSG 3-1 on aggregate.
Over the last month, the North Londoners prioritised the continental competition, which affected their league performance. They have won only one of their last five Premier League matches, and lost to Bournemouth 2-1 last week.
However, the visitors are unbeaten in their last 12 away league games (W6 D6 L0). With their Champions League campaign now over, the Gunners will be determined to end the domestic season in second place.
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Liverpool vs Arsenal last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Gomez
Neto
DefenderT. Tomiyasu
G. Magalhaes
ForwardG. Jesus
K. Havertz
Liverpool & Arsenal Squad Analysis
As mentioned, Slot made wholesale changes last week with the likes of Wataru Endo, Harvey Elliot and Jarell Quandah, among others, being brought into the starting lineup.
However, one player who continues to feature is Mohamed Salah. The Egyptian has 46 goal contributions in 35 league games and will want to add to his tally with Alexander Isak now five goals behind him in the race for the Golden Boot.
Conor Bradley returned to the squad last week after a short spell out through injury, meaning Joe Gomez is the only player expected to be sidelined for this match.
Salah has scored seven goals in his last nine home league games!
Arsenal, on the other hand, have four players currently sidelined through injury, including Takehiro Tomiyasu, Gabriel Jesus, Gabriel Magalhaes and Kai Havertz.
Leandro is one to watch for the visitors, having scored three goals in his last three league games and made an impact after coming off the bench against PSG in midweek.
Most goals and assists
Liverpool
Arsenal
M. Salah
(33 Goals)
K. Havertz
(15 Goals)
M. Salah
(23 Assists)
B. Saka
(13 Assists)
Liverpool and Arsenal Stats in Premier League
Liverpool - Arsenal Key Points
- Five of Liverpool’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Liverpool have scored two or more goals in 14 of their last 15 home league games.
- Five of Arsenal’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams have scored in nine of Arsenal’s last 15 away league matches.
- The last five Premier League matches between these sides ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Liverpool vs Arsenal Prediction
Liverpool are on their victory lap and are likely to continue giving their fringe players minutes, but they still carry plenty of attacking threat and will not want to tarnish their excellent home record too much before the end of the season.
Arsenal, meanwhile, have seen the gap between themselves and fifth-placed Chelsea narrow to just four points in recent weeks, and it is firmly on them to go out and try and get a result in this match. Therefore, our Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction is both teams to score.
Liverpool vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Four of Liverpool’s last five league games have ended with over 2.5 goals scored, while three or more goals were scored in four of Arsenal’s last six league matches. Additionally, four of the last five league games between these sides have seen three or more goals strike the back of the net.
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Liverpool vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Arsenal will be played on May 11 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Arsenal will take place at Anfield in Liverpool.
The Premier League match between Liverpool and Arsenal will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with every minute of the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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