Lille vs Lyon Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
Lille and Lyon will go head-to-head in the French Cup this Sunday, both targeting a slot in the last 16. Both sides avoided Ligue 1 opposition in the last round, so for either side, the challenge gets tougher here. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
Hosts Lille beat Lusitanos 1-0 to advance here but couldn’t follow through with a win in their first game of the year. Les Dogues lost 2-0 at home to Rennes, halting their two-game winning run.
That was the second time in four matches that they failed to score and the first time in six games that they were stopped from winning at home.
Lyon are coming off a much better period and can only hope to improve on their away record. Their 3-1 win over off-color Monaco was a fourth straight and a fine start to 2025.
Les Gones will hope to build on it, and their head-to-head record in this game is impressive. They haven't lost to Lille across their last five meetings.
One of them was a French Cup game, in which Lyon prevailed 2-1. Though Lyon recorded an away win at Monaco right before this outing, their run on the road isn’t very encouraging. Paulo Fonseca’s men have only won four of 10 on their travels.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lille v Lyon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.38 | 3.4 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.3 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.25 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.45 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lille and Lyon?
Our prediction for the Lille vs Lyon match is: Lyon wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/01/2026 between Lille and Lyon in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.78% for a win of Lille against Lyon with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lille vs Lyon is 17.57% with odds of 3.55 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Lyon vs Lille with odds of 3.2 at Unibet.
Lille - Lyon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lille Lyon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 46.78% | 2.5 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 2.1 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 32.92% | 1.67 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lille/Lille | 19.74% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
Lille vs Lyon Form
Lille and Lyon Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
5 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Dec 2025 - French Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
11 Dec 2025 - Europa League
30 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
Lille vs Lyon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Sept 2025 - Ligue 1
5 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2024 - Ligue 1
6 May 2024 - Ligue 1
7 Feb 2024 - French Cup
26 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
Players list
A. Bodart
DefenderN. Ngoy
T. Santos
R. Perraud
MidfielderN. Mukau
H. Haraldsson
O. Sahraoui
N. Bentaleb
ForwardE. Mbappe
M. Fernandez
S. Diaoune
R. Descamps
DefenderN. Tagliafico
C. Mata
R. Kluivert
MidfielderT. Tessmann
M. Satriano
C. Tolisso
O. Mangala
A. Maitland-Niles
ForwardA. Moreira
A. Karabec
Substitutes
B. Ozer
DefenderC. Mbemba
T. Santos
M. Goffi
MidfielderN. Mukau
O. Sahraoui
M. Broholm
E. Mbappe
S. Diaoune
D. Greif
M. Da Silva
DefenderH. Hateboer
MidfielderM. De Carvalho
R. Ghezzal
O. Mangala
A. Karabec
K. Merah
ForwardM. Satriano
Missing players
M. Caillard
DefenderO. Toure
A. Ribeiro
C. Verdonk
ForwardH. Igamane
E. Nuamah
ForwardM. Fofana
Most goals and assists
Lille
Lyon
H. Igamane
(9 Goals)
P. Sulc
(9 Goals)
F. Correia
(5 Assists)
P. Sulc
(4 Assists)
,
A. Moreira
(4 Assists)
Lille - Lyon Key Points
- Lyon are on four straight wins ahead of this game.
- Lyon won two of their last three away matches.
- Lille lost twice in their last four matches.
- Lille lost four of their last five meetings with Lyon.
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Our Lille vs Lyon Prediction
This is one of the high-profile matches in this round of the French Cup, and we expect an entertaining encounter. The last time Lille exited the competition at this stage was in 2022, and they run the risk of a repeat, going by their record against Lyon.
The hosts haven’t won this encounter in the last five meetings with Les Gones, only drawing once. Lyon will find confidence in that return of four wins in five head-to-head matchups. Alongside their current run of four straight wins, we are tipping Lyon here. Our prediction for Lille v Lyon is that Lyon wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lille Lyon
| Lille vs Lyon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins | 2.15 | 2.38 | +10.7% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.4 | +4.6% |
| Lyon wins | 3.3 | 2.8 | -15.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lille is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 42.0% (-4.5%)
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Try your luck on this year's French Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
