PSG vs Paris FC Prediction & Betting Tips - French Cup
France - French Cup
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by Nella Wagah | in French Cup Predictions
In well under a fortnight, PSG and Paris FC will be squaring off again, this time in the French Cup. The two sides clash in the fourth round of the competition, this being one of the top games at this level. Let’s have a look at the match prediction.
PSG will for the second time have hosting rights to this encounter and hope to post a second straight win in the fixture. In the first meeting, the Ligue 1 giants claimed a 2-1 win before heading out for the Super Cup.
They beat Marseille to that too and will look to keep their hopes for a treble alive.
Paris FC haven't had a game since that loss to PSG, and they will be heading into this one hoping to avenge it. Their only win across the last seven matches was in the French Cup, as they beat Raon in the last round.
Paris FC will be looking to extend that run. They know PSG have drawn at full time in two of their last three cup games and will be banking on this against their more successful neighbors.
Another area they will want to exploit is their scoring form. Paris FC have scored in all but two of their last 10 away matches.
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PSG v Paris FC Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.17 | 7.8 | 13 |
|
|
1.17 | 7.6 | 15 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.66 | 11.8 |
|
|
1.2 | 7.5 | 11 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.4 | 12 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between PSG and Paris FC?
Our prediction for the PSG vs Paris FC match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/01/2026 between PSG and Paris FC in French Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.31% for a win of PSG against Paris FC with odds of 1.2 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between PSG vs Paris FC is 20.57% with odds of 8.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Paris FC vs PSG with odds of 16 at Shangrila.
PSG - Paris FC Prediction and Best Odds:
| PSG Paris FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 68.31% | 1.2 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.41% | |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : PSG/PSG | 39.34% | 1.58 at LSbet |
PSG vs Paris FC Form
PSG and Paris FC Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Jan 2026 - Trophée des Champions
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
17 Dec 2025 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
7 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
29 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
24 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
3 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
20 Dec 2025 - French Cup
7 Dec 2025 - Ligue 1
23 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
1 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
19 Oct 2025 - Ligue 1
PSG vs Paris FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Dec 2022 - Clubs Friendlies
PSG vs Paris FC last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
R. Marin
M. James
DefenderN. Mendes
Marquinhos
MidfielderJ. Neves
N. Nsoki
ForwardD. Doue
O. Dembele
K. Trapp
DefenderT. De Smet
MidfielderI. Kebbal
L. Doucet
J. Lopez
J. Ikone
ForwardL. Koleosho
M. Dao
Z. Khaldi
Missing players
M. Safonov
DefenderA. Hakimi
MidfielderL. Kang-in
ForwardQ. Ndjantou
S. Alakouch
S. Chergui
MidfielderP. Lees Melou
ForwardP. Hamel
PSG - Paris FC Key Points
- In half of PSG’s last 10 matches, both teams scored.
- Paris FC scored in eight of their last 10 away matches.
- PSG managed one clean sheet in their last five matches.
- Both teams scored in the last meeting between these sides.
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Our PSG vs Paris FC Prediction
The only competitive meeting between these cross-town rivals was held in the first week of 2026. Less than two weeks later, they are set to face off again, and we can expect a grueling encounter at Parc des Princes.
Both teams scored in the first meeting between these sides, and this next encounter is likely to produce the same, as Paris FC battles to stay in the only tournament they are likely to win silverware in. PSG haven't been doing great in defence lately and that might extend into this derby. Our prediction for PSG v Paris FC is: BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis PSG Paris FC
| PSG vs Paris FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSG wins | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0% |
| Draw | 7 | 8.6 | +22.9% |
| Paris FC wins | 10 | 16 | +60.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PSG is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 83.3% (0.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
