Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
Europe - Conference League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Conference League Predictions
Levski Sofia and AZ Alkmaar will clash in an interesting playoff clash in the 2025-26 UEFA Conference League. The first-leg match will be held on Thursday at the neutral venue of National Stadium Vasil Levski, and our prediction is under 2.5 goals. The winner of this two-legged tie will move to the league stage.
Levski started in the first qualifying round of the Europa League this season and dropped to this competition after losing in the second qualifier. A 3-0 aggregate win over Sabah in the previous round got them a ticket to the playoffs. AZ won two rounds of qualifiers in this competition against Ilves and Vaduz to reach this stage.
The Bulgarians are coming off a 0-0 away draw last weekend, which ended their run of four consecutive wins in all competitions. Four of those games saw them keep a clean sheet with only one goal conceded in aggregate, so it’s their defensive prowess that could be a key to their success.
AZ are also coming off a draw, a 2-2 stalemate away from home in their Eredivisie fixture at the weekend. That was their first draw after three consecutive wins, but with eight defeats in their last 11 away matches in UEFA competitions (W1, D2, L8), they have a lot to do on this trip.
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Levski Sofia v AZ Alkmaar Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.6 | 3.45 | 2.02 |
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3.55 | 3.43 | 2.11 |
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3.66 | 3.44 | 2.05 |
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3.5 | 3.4 | 2.1 |
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3.25 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Levski Sofia and AZ Alkmaar?
Our prediction for the Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2025 between Levski Sofia and AZ Alkmaar in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.22% for a win of Levski Sofia against AZ Alkmaar with odds of 3.8 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar is 26.18% with odds of 3.54 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.6% chance ⭐ for a win of AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia with odds of 2.16 at Tonybet.
Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar Prediction and Best Odds:
| Levski Sofia AZ Alkmaar Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 38.6% | 2.16 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.25% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 59.52% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AZ Alkmaar | 22.34% | 5 at Bet365 |
Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar Form
Levski Sofia and AZ Alkmaar Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - A PFG
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - A PFG
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - A PFG
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - A PFG
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - A PFG
24 Jul 2025 - Europa League
20 Jul 2025 - A PFG
10 Jul 2025 - Europa League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - A PFG
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
31 Jul 2025 - Europa League
27 Jul 2025 - A PFG
17 Jul 2025 - Europa League
26 May 2025 - A PFG
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
7 Aug 2025 - Conference League
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Conference League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Aug 2025 - Conference League
24 Jul 2025 - Conference League
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 May 2025 - Eredivisie
Players list
S. Vutsov
DefenderM. Araujo dos Santos
C. Makoun
K. Dimitrov
MidfielderA. Mitkov
R. Goncalves
G. Trdin
ForwardEverton
R. Kirilov
M. Petkov
A. Paulo Faustino
R. Owusu Oduro
DefenderW. Goes
M. De Wit
D. Kasius
A. Penetra
MidfielderI. Jensen
K. Smit
J. Clasie
P. Koopmeiners
ForwardT. Parrott
I. Sadiq
Substitutes
O. Vladimirov
M. Lukov
DefenderO. Kamdem
W. De Freitas Soares
N. Serafimov
MidfielderB. Rupanov
K. Fabien
C. Ohene
P. Myslovic
ForwardF. Lima
M. Soula
H. Verhulst
J. Zoet
DefenderM. Dekker
M. Chavez
E. Dijkstra
B. van Duijl
MidfielderZ. Buurmeester
D. Kwakman
ForwardM. Meerdink
S. Van Duijn
J. Hartog
Missing players
S. Maikuma
Levski Sofia - AZ Alkmaar Key Points
- Levski’s six matches in Europe this season produced under 2.5 goals.
- In five of their last six matches in all competitions, Levski have seen two or fewer goals scored.
- Levski kept a clean sheet in three of their last four home matches in all competitions.
- AZ kept a clean sheet in three of their four recent fixtures in this competition.
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Our Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction
Levski have never qualified for the Conference League competition, and the closest they came was in 2023-24 when they lost in the playoffs. This time out, the Bulgarians will hope for better fortunes against AZ Alkmaar. The Dutch visitors have a great record when playing at home in European competitions, so they would look to stay alive in the tie for next week’s second leg.
This game could be a tight one, going by the recent fixtures, and our Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Levski Sofia AZ Alkmaar
| Levski Sofia vs AZ Alkmaar | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia wins | 4.6 | 3.8 | -17.4% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.54 | -4.3% |
| AZ Alkmaar wins | 1.72 | 2.16 | +25.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- AZ Alkmaar is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.1% and is now 46.3% (-11.8%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.