Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Leipzig
11/04/2026 09:30
Mönchengladbach

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions

Leipzig will look to take control of their Bundesliga top-four push when they host lower-half Monchengladbach on matchday 29. This match on Saturday in Leipzig between the third-placed ‘Red Bulls’ and the 13th-placed ‘Foals’ comes with our prediction of less than 3.5 goals.

With 53 points from 28 games (W16, D5, L7), Leipzig have a three-point advantage over fifth, although fourth-placed Stuttgart are only separated by goal difference. Monchengladbach have 30 points (W7, D9, L12) and are five points above the relegation zone.

Leipzig won 2-1 away at Werder Bremen last weekend to make it four wins from their last five Bundesliga games (L1) and push their chances of finishing in the top three. Yet, with only four points separating sides from third to sixth, there’s still a lot to play for.

Home form could be crucial for Leipzig’s chances, and the Red Bulls have posted consecutive league wins at this venue after failing to win any of the four previous such games (D2, L2).

Gladbach lost 2-0 in the reverse fixture in December and come here on the back of a 2-2 home draw against Heidenheim last weekend. That continued their indifferent recent run across the last 12 Bundesliga games (W2, D5, L5).

The Foals are unlikely to change that here, as they haven’t won any of their last eight league trips (D3, L5).

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Leipzig v Mönchengladbach Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.47 5.2 6
Melbet
1.45 4.84 6.35
Betwinner
1.45 4.84 6.35
Bet365
1.4 4.5 5.5
Roobet
1.46 4.8 6
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach?

Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach match is: less than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.44% for a win of Leipzig against Mönchengladbach with odds of 1.52 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach is 34.52% with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Mönchengladbach vs Leipzig with odds of 6.6 at 888Starz.

Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Prediction and Best Odds:

Leipzig Mönchengladbach Prediction Probability Odds
Leipzig wins 45.44% 1.52 at Shangrila
Over 2.5 goals 74.93%
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig 22.04% 2.1 at Bet365

Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Form

Leipzig and Mönchengladbach's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 Leipzig
65 34 20 5 9 +19
12 Mönchengladbach
38 34 9 11 14 -11

Leipzig and Mönchengladbach Last Matches

Leipzig
Leipzig Last matches
D W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Leipzig

20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hoffenheim

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Leipzig

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Augsburg

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
L L D D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
5 :  0
Hoffenheim

7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  1
Augsburg

21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  2
Wolfsburg

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  2
1 Fsv Mainz 05

17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  5
Bayern Munich
D W L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  2
Leipzig

15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Stuttgart
1 :  0
Leipzig

1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Hamburg
1 :  2
Leipzig

11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal

Bayern Munich
2 :  0
Leipzig

8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
1 :  2
Leipzig

27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

St. Pauli
1 :  1
Leipzig
Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach Last matches
W L W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  2
Heidenheim

26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Osnabruck
2 :  2
Mönchengladbach

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  3
Mönchengladbach

13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  0
St. Pauli

6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Union Berlin
W L D W W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  2
Heidenheim

13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
2 :  0
St. Pauli

28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Union Berlin

7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  1
Bayer Leverkusen

25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  3
Stuttgart

11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
4 :  0
Augsburg
D L L L D D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Osnabruck
2 :  2
Mönchengladbach

21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Köln
3 :  3
Mönchengladbach

6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Mönchengladbach

22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  1
Mönchengladbach

14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  0
Mönchengladbach

31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
1 :  1
Mönchengladbach

Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leipzig

50 %

Draw

33 %

Mönchengladbach

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1.17
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0.17
Goals conceded
16.67%
Over 2.5
83.33%
Under 2.5

28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  0
Leipzig

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
1 :  0
Leipzig

9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
0 :  0
Mönchengladbach

17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Mönchengladbach

23 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga

Mönchengladbach
0 :  1
Leipzig

11 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
3 :  0
Mönchengladbach
Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction

Leipzig against Mönchengladbach Lineups: Starting 11

Leipzig

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

26
M. Vandevoordt
17
R. Baku
4
W. Orban
5
E. Bitshiabu
22
D. Raum
24
X. Schlager
13
N. Seiwald
14
C. Baumgartner
49
Y. Diomande
40
Romulo
7
A. Nusa
15
H. Tabakovic
17
J. Castrop
9
F. Honorat
26
L. Ullrich
6
Y. Engelhardt
27
R. Reitz
29
J. Scally
4
K. Diks
30
N. Elvedi
16
P. Sander
33
M. Nicolas

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Mönchengladbach

Substitutes

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

P. Gulacsi

Defender

M. Finkgrafe

Y. Diomande 90'

L. Klostermann

B. Henrichs

R. Baku 78'

Midfielder

E. Banzuzi

B. Gruda

N. Seiwald 78'

A. Ouedraogo

A. Nusa 66'

Forward

J. Bakayoko

Romulo 66'

T. Gomis

Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach
Goalkeeper

J. Olschowsky

Defender

F. Chiarodia

K. Diks 62'

K. Takai

Midfielder

W. Mohya

H. Tabakovic 85'

G. Reyna

H. Bolin

L. Ullrich 33'

K. Stoger

J. Castrop 85'

F. Neuhaus

Forward

S. Machino

Y. Engelhardt 88'

Missing players

Leipzig
Leipzig
Goalkeeper

L. Zingerle

Defender

C. Lukeba

Midfielder

V. Gebel

Forward

S. Suleiman

Mönchengladbach
Mönchengladbach
Midfielder

R. Hack

N. Ngoumou

Forward

T. Kleindienst

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leipzig
CD Huachipato Mönchengladbach
Top Goalscorer
Austria C. Baumgartner (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Bosnia and Herzegovina H. Tabakovic (13 Goals)
Best assists
Germany D. Raum (7 Assists)
Ivory Coast Y. Diomande (7 Assists)
Best assists
France F. Honorat (6 Assists)

Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Key Points

  1. Leipzig conceded 1.3 goals per game this league campaign, and only Bayern and Dortmund have a better defensive record.
  2. Four of Leipzig’s last five Bundesliga games produced under 3.5 goals.
  3. Eight of Gladbach’s last 11 league games also saw fewer than four goals.
  4. The last seven league games between Leipzig and Monchengladbach have see fewer than four goals.
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Our Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction

Leipzig have one of the best defensive records this season, and with ten clean sheets, only Dortmund are better than them on that count. Monchengladbach have failed to score in ten of their games this season, with only three teams worse than them on that count. The visitors have also struggled with attacking output on the road, netting just 17 goals in their 14 league trips.

Even the historical record between these sides points to a low-scoring game. That’s why our Leipzig vs Monchengladbach prediction is less than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Under 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Mönchengladbach

Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Leipzig wins 1.53 1.52 -0.7%
Draw 4.7 5.2 +10.6%
Mönchengladbach wins 5.7 6.6 +15.8%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Leipzig is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 65.8% (0.4%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.