Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Leipzig will look to take control of their Bundesliga top-four push when they host lower-half Monchengladbach on matchday 29. This match on Saturday in Leipzig between the third-placed ‘Red Bulls’ and the 13th-placed ‘Foals’ comes with our prediction of less than 3.5 goals.
With 53 points from 28 games (W16, D5, L7), Leipzig have a three-point advantage over fifth, although fourth-placed Stuttgart are only separated by goal difference. Monchengladbach have 30 points (W7, D9, L12) and are five points above the relegation zone.
Leipzig won 2-1 away at Werder Bremen last weekend to make it four wins from their last five Bundesliga games (L1) and push their chances of finishing in the top three. Yet, with only four points separating sides from third to sixth, there’s still a lot to play for.
Home form could be crucial for Leipzig’s chances, and the Red Bulls have posted consecutive league wins at this venue after failing to win any of the four previous such games (D2, L2).
Gladbach lost 2-0 in the reverse fixture in December and come here on the back of a 2-2 home draw against Heidenheim last weekend. That continued their indifferent recent run across the last 12 Bundesliga games (W2, D5, L5).
The Foals are unlikely to change that here, as they haven’t won any of their last eight league trips (D3, L5).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Leipzig v Mönchengladbach Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.47 | 5.2 | 6 |
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1.45 | 4.84 | 6.35 |
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1.45 | 4.84 | 6.35 |
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1.4 | 4.5 | 5.5 |
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1.46 | 4.8 | 6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Leipzig and Mönchengladbach in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.44% for a win of Leipzig against Mönchengladbach with odds of 1.52 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach is 34.52% with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Mönchengladbach vs Leipzig with odds of 6.6 at 888Starz.
Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Mönchengladbach Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 45.44% | 1.52 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.93% | |
| Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Leipzig/Leipzig | 22.04% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Form
Leipzig and Mönchengladbach's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
65 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | +19 |
|
12
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 |
Leipzig and Mönchengladbach Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
8 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
13 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
25 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
11 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
6 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
31 Jan 2026 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
28 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Sept 2023 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Mönchengladbach Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
P. Gulacsi
DefenderM. Finkgrafe
L. Klostermann
B. Henrichs
E. Banzuzi
B. Gruda
A. Ouedraogo
J. Bakayoko
T. Gomis
J. Olschowsky
DefenderF. Chiarodia
K. Takai
MidfielderW. Mohya
G. Reyna
H. Bolin
K. Stoger
F. Neuhaus
ForwardS. Machino
Missing players
L. Zingerle
DefenderC. Lukeba
MidfielderV. Gebel
ForwardS. Suleiman
R. Hack
N. Ngoumou
ForwardT. Kleindienst
Most goals and assists
Leipzig - Mönchengladbach Key Points
- Leipzig conceded 1.3 goals per game this league campaign, and only Bayern and Dortmund have a better defensive record.
- Four of Leipzig’s last five Bundesliga games produced under 3.5 goals.
- Eight of Gladbach’s last 11 league games also saw fewer than four goals.
- The last seven league games between Leipzig and Monchengladbach have see fewer than four goals.
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Our Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach Prediction
Leipzig have one of the best defensive records this season, and with ten clean sheets, only Dortmund are better than them on that count. Monchengladbach have failed to score in ten of their games this season, with only three teams worse than them on that count. The visitors have also struggled with attacking output on the road, netting just 17 goals in their 14 league trips.
Even the historical record between these sides points to a low-scoring game. That’s why our Leipzig vs Monchengladbach prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Mönchengladbach
| Leipzig vs Mönchengladbach | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 1.53 | 1.52 | -0.7% |
| Draw | 4.7 | 5.2 | +10.6% |
| Mönchengladbach wins | 5.7 | 6.6 | +15.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Leipzig is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 0.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 65.8% (0.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.