New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Leeds
03/12/2025 15:15
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Premier League Predictions

Chelsea will look to continue their push to challenge Premier League leaders as they travel to Leeds United for a matchday 14 fixture of the English Premier League season. This match to be played on Wednesday at Elland Road between the 18th-placed Whites and the third-placed Blues comes with our prediction of both teams scoring goals.

With 11 points (W3, D2, L8), Leeds start this round in the relegation zone, albeit only on goal difference. Chelsea’s 24 points (W7, D3, L3) start this round one point behind Manchester City but only ahead of Aston Villa on goal difference.

Both teams are coming off thrilling encounters, with Leeds falling in the late stages against Manchester City, while Chelsea earned a hard-fought draw against leaders Arsenal. They can’t afford to drop more points, especially against a side in the lower half of the table. Can the hosts build on the draw against Manchester City and surprise the visitors? Will the Blues get back to winning ways and stay on the coattails of the leaders? Read more to find our analysis, team news, and match predictions.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

The Best Betting Odds for Leeds v Chelsea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
4.2 4.1 1.75
Betfred
4.5 3.75 1.8
William Hill
4.33 3.75 1.73
Betway
4.2 3.8 1.78
Unibet
4.3 3.95 1.76
Check all Leeds vs Chelsea odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Leeds and Chelsea?

Our prediction for the Leeds vs Chelsea match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/12/2025 between Leeds and Chelsea in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 16.21% for a win of Leeds against Chelsea with odds of 4.62 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leeds vs Chelsea is 21.47% with odds of 4.12 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 62.32% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Leeds with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.

Leeds vs Chelsea Form

Leeds and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Chelsea
Chelsea
24 13 7 3 3 12
18
Leeds
Leeds
11 13 3 2 8 -12

Leeds and Chelsea Last Matches

Leeds
Leeds Last matches
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds
W D D L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

23 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Aston Villa

24 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  1
West Ham

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  2
Tottenham

27 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
2 :  2
Bournemouth

30 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Newcastle

18 Aug 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
1 :  0
Everton
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  2
Leeds

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
3 :  1
Leeds

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
3 :  0
Leeds

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
2 :  0
Leeds

20 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Wolves
1 :  3
Leeds

13 Sept 2025 - Premier League

Fulham
1 :  0
Leeds
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea
W W L W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland

22 Oct 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Ajax

4 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Liverpool
W W W W D W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea

5 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Qarabag FK
2 :  2
Chelsea

1 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Tottenham
0 :  1
Chelsea

29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup

Wolves
3 :  4
Chelsea

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
0 :  3
Chelsea

23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup

Lincoln City
1 :  2
Chelsea

Leeds vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Leeds

17 %

Draw

17 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored (home team)
1.67
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

28 Feb 2024 - FA Cup

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds

4 Mar 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  0
Leeds

21 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  0
Chelsea

11 May 2022 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  3
Chelsea

11 Dec 2021 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Leeds

13 Mar 2021 - Premier League

Leeds
0 :  0
Chelsea
Compare two teams (100+ stats)

Leeds - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Leeds lost 3-2 away at Manchester City last weekend despite coming back from two goals down, with the deciding goal conceded beyond regular time. It was their fourth defeat in a row and sixth across their last seven league games.

This form suggests why Leeds have been in the relegation zone, although their home record has been slightly better. The Whites have two wins, draws, and losses each in their six Premier League home games this season.

Chelsea won nine of their last 12 matches in all competitions.

This sequence saw them lose only once, to Sunderland in the league, while drawing twice. One of those stalemates was a 1-1 home draw against leaders Arsenal at the weekend, where they played with a man down for nearly an hour.

The Blues have won five of their last seven Premier league fixtures, losing only once. They still are among the closest challengers for Arsenal, and driving their charge is their away form. Chelsea have won their last three away league games and are likely to add to that count here.

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Leeds vs Chelsea last Lineups

Leeds

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Perri
2
J. Bogle
6
J. Rodon
5
P. Struijk
24
J. Justin
22
A. Tanaka
4
E. Ampadu
44
I. Gruev
7
D. James
14
L. Nmecha
29
G. Wilfried
20
Joao Pedro
7
P. Neto
8
E. Fernandez
41
Estevao
25
M. Caicedo
24
R. James
3
M. Cucurella
23
T. Chalobah
29
W. Fofana
27
M. Gusto
1
R. Sanchez

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Chelsea

Missing players

Leeds
Leeds
Defender

S. Bornauw

Midfielder

A. Stach

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Midfielder

C. Palmer

R. Lavia

Leeds & Chelsea Squad Analysis

James Justin is unlikely to feature for Leeds after hobbling off in their previous game. Sean Longstaff is also likely to be out for the home team, while Anton Stach and Noah Okafor are pushing for starts.

The hosts are likely to stick to their tested 4-3-3 formation with Lukas Nmecha leading the line. The German forward has four goals in the Premier League, while the forgotten English striker Dominic Calvert-Lewin has two goals to his name.

Calvert-Lewin has three career goals against Chelsea.

The visitors will be without Moises Caicedo, who will be suspended after the red card against Arsenal. Cole Palmer made the substitutes' bench in that game and could be up for selection here.

Joao Pedro could line up as the striker with Enzo Fernandez slotting behind him and Alejandro Garnacho manning the left flank. Watch out for the dynamic front three, as Pedro, Enzo, and Pedro Neto all have four goals each in this Premier League season.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Leeds
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
Germany L. Nmecha (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Estevao (5 Goals) Argentina E. Fernandez (5 Goals)
Best assists
England S. Longstaff (2 Assists)
Best assists
England R. James (8 Assists)

Leeds and Chelsea Stats in Premier League

Leeds
Leeds
Chelsea
Chelsea
23%
Wins
54%
15%
Draw
23%
62%
Losses
23%
2.92
Total goals per match
2.77
1
Goals scored per match
1.85
1.92
Goals conceded per match
0.92
69%
Over 2.5
62%
31%
Under 2.5
38%
54%
BTTS
54%
15%
Clean Sheet
46%

Leeds - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Seven of the last nine Premier League matches involving Leeds saw BTTS.
  2. Leeds saw both teams score goals in their last four home league games.
  3. Six of Chelsea’s last ten league fixtures saw both teams score goals.
  4. Chelsea scored in all six of their away league games this season, conceding in three of those.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction

A hard-fought 1-1 draw against Arsenal could have been better for Chelsea if not for Moises Caicedo’s red card. The Blues are still a tough team to face, as only Sunderland defeated them since the start of October. Leeds were valiant against Manchester City but were eventually beaten 3-2. They are still in the relegation zone, but the hosts are showing signs of putting up a fight, at least at home.

This game could be a test of defences of both teams, and that’s why our Leeds vs Chelsea prediction is BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Leeds vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions

Chelsea to win and BTTS

Odds 3.5
Chelsea have won their last three away Premier League matches and with five wins from their last seven games anywhere, the Blues are exhibiting the right attributes. They are likely to fancy their chances of a win, although they may struggle to keep a clean sheet.
Welcome offer

Get up to €100 to bet on the Leeds vs. Chelsea game

Betway welcome offer

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Leeds and Chelsea when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Premier League!

Enjoy the promotion!

Leeds vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions

The Leeds vs Chelsea English Premier League match is scheduled for a 8:15 pm UK Time kick-off on Wednesday, December 3, 2025.
The Leeds vs Chelsea English Premier League match will be played at Elland Road in Yorkshire. This venue has been the home of Leeds United since the club’s formation in 1919.

The Leeds vs Chelsea English Premier League match will be broadcast live on Sky Sports Premier League. Sky Go or the Sky Sports app gives the option for subscribers to stream this game.

You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!

Chelsea have won only six of their 48 away league games they played against Leeds (D13, L29). Only at Sheffield Wednesday do they have a lower winning ratio on the road than against Leeds, so the Blues will be out to make a difference this time.

Leeds manager Daniel Farke has lost all three of his Premier League matches against Chelsea. All those defeats came when he managed Norwich City and he would be personally inclined to make a difference.

Darren England is the match referee for this Leeds vs Chelsea English Premier League fixture. He will be assisted on the pitch by the duo of Scott Ledger and Akil Howson, while Josh Smith will be the fourth official. In the crucial VAR room, it will be Paul Howard who will be the VAR and Lee Betts who will be the VAR Assistant.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction

Please Gamble Responsibly

logo footer