Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Lecce are still on the painful journey of recovery from a poor run and possibly survival in Serie A. Next up on their plate is a game against an improving Fiorentina, who sit 15th, three places ahead of Lecce. Read on to find our prediction of the match.
In recent weeks, these teams have taken completely opposite directions. For Lecce, unfortunately, theirs hasn’t been the desired, as they are coming off a fourth straight defeat.
The latest of this dismal run was a 2-0 defeat away at Bologna. That would also mark their third straight game without scoring, extending their run as the lowest scorers in the league (21 goals).
What they may view with some positivity is that they are only in the bottom three by goal difference.
Fiorentina’s path has been more positive, at least domestically. La Viola are straight off elimination from Europe despite beating Crystal Palace 2-1.
They can still attach some positives to their predicament, as now they have their full focus on survival. The visitors have lost only once in the last nine matches, which should offer much inspiration going into the final six league games.
Further confidence will be drawn from the fact that they are unbeaten in the last five Serie A matches (3W, 2D). Fiorentina will feel this is a good time to seek revenge for their 1-0 loss in the reverse fixture.
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Lecce v Fiorentina Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.55 | 3.3 | 2.19 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.24 | 2.14 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.26 | 2.17 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.25 | 2.14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Fiorentina?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Fiorentina match is: Fiorentina wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/04/2026 between Lecce and Fiorentina in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.36% for a win of Lecce against Fiorentina with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Fiorentina is 14.5% with odds of 3.39 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 56.14% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Lecce with odds of 2.25 at 888Starz.
Lecce - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Fiorentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 56.14% | 2.25 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.51% | 2.28 at Melbet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 23.76% | 5.5 at LSbet |
Lecce vs Fiorentina Form
Lecce and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
|
17
|
38 | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | -22 |
Lecce and Fiorentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Jan 2026 - Serie A
11 Jan 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
16 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
Lecce vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Nov 2025 - Serie A
28 Feb 2025 - Serie A
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
2 Feb 2024 - Serie A
27 Aug 2023 - Serie A
19 Mar 2023 - Serie A
Lecce against Fiorentina Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
J. Samooja
C. Fruchtl
DefenderC. Ndaba
G. Jean
N. Kovac
M. Ignacio
MidfielderA. Sala
O. Gandelman
O. Gorter
F. Marchwinski
T. Helgason
ForwardL. Banda
N. Stulic
O. Christensen
L. Lezzerini
DefenderP. Comuzzo
L. Balbo
E. Kouadio
E. Kospo
D. Rugani
MidfielderJ. Fazzini
G. Fabbian
M. Brescianini
M. Solomon
R. Braschi
G. Puzzoli
Missing players
R. Sottil
M. Berisha
F. Camarda
F. Parisi
MidfielderA. Sabiri
ForwardM. Kean
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Fiorentina
L. Banda
(5 Goals)
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
A. Gallo
(4 Assists)
,
L. Banda
(4 Assists)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
Lecce - Fiorentina Key Points
- Lecce have lost their last four matches in Serie A.
- Five of Lecce’s last eight home games ended in defeat.
- Fiorentina won two of their last three meetings with Lecce.
- Fiorentina have only lost once in their last nine matches, winning six.
- In Serie A action, Fiorentina are unbeaten in five matches, winning three.
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Our Lecce vs Fiorentina Prediction
Fiorentina have been ticking the right boxes in recent weeks, and facing Lecce should add to their advancement in the survival push. Their elimination from Europe could be looked at positively, as Fiorentina now have just their survival to think of.
They are unbeaten in the last five league matches, winning three. On the other hand, Lecce have seen their season gradually fall apart ahead of the final rounds of the season. The hosts are on four straight defeats and failed to score in the last three matches. Our prediction for Lecce v Fiorentina is that Fiorentina wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Fiorentina
| Lecce vs Fiorentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 3.75 | 3.75 | 0% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 3.39 | -3.1% |
| Fiorentina wins | 1.92 | 2.25 | +17.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 17.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.1% and is now 44.4% (-7.6%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
