Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lecce
06/04/2026 09:00
Atalanta

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions

Atalanta will be on the hunt for three points when they travel to Lecce for their next Serie A match. The hosts dropped into the bottom three after the last round, while Atalanta sit four points below sixth. Read on to find our prediction for this match.

Lecce’s stay in the Serie A has come under serious threat, and they are faced with a tough run of matches. That starts with a home game against Europe-chasing Atalanta.

Across their last five outings, Lecce have faced four sides in the top four and lost all. They fell 1-0 to Roma last time out, while their only win in five matches was against fellow strugglers Cremonese (2-1).

Atalanta will be very confident going into this game. Among the factors for that is because Lecce have failed to beat any of the teams in the top half this season.

La Dea still have a lot to do, as Lecce have won two of their last three home matches. Atalanta stayed in the hunt for a top six slot with a 1-0 win over Verona last time out.

That brought to an end a six-game winless run. It has generally been a fruitful 2026 for the visitors as far as Serie A is concerned. They have earned 28 points this year, but their away form remains problematic, with one win in nine games on the road.

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Lecce v Atalanta Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
5.6 3.95 1.68
Melbet
5.75 3.78 1.63
Betwinner
5.75 3.78 1.63
Bet365
5.5 3.8 1.65
Roobet
5.2 3.65 1.67
Check all Lecce vs Atalanta odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Atalanta?

Our prediction for the Lecce vs Atalanta match is: Atalanta wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2026 between Lecce and Atalanta in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.14% for a win of Lecce against Atalanta with odds of 5.75 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Atalanta is 24.88% with odds of 4 at Tonybet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.98% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Lecce with odds of 1.75 at LSbet.

Lecce - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:

Lecce Atalanta Prediction Probability Odds
Atalanta wins 43.98% 1.75 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals 51.53% 1.95 at LSbet
Both Team To Score 57.08%
Half-time : Lecce / Full-time : Atalanta 17.86% 25 at LSbet

Lecce vs Atalanta Form

Lecce and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
7 Atalanta
59 38 15 14 9 +15
17 Lecce
38 38 10 8 20 -22

Lecce and Atalanta Last Matches

Lecce
Lecce Last matches
W L L W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Lecce

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Cremonese

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  1
Lecce

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce
L L D W L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Cremonese

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Inter Milan

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
2 :  1
Udinese

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  0
Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
1 :  2
Parma

6 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Roma
L L W L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Roma
1 :  0
Lecce

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Napoli
2 :  1
Lecce

28 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907
3 :  1
Lecce

16 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari
0 :  2
Lecce

1 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC
1 :  0
Lecce

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lecce
Atalanta
Atalanta Last matches
D D L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

18 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

10 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta
W W W D L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

22 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Hellas Verona

10 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
1 :  6
Bayern Munich

7 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  2
Udinese

25 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Atalanta
4 :  1
Borussia Dortmund

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Napoli

9 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  1
Cremonese
W L L D D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

18 Mar 2026 - Champions League

Bayern Munich
4 :  1
Atalanta

14 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Inter Milan
1 :  1
Atalanta

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
2 :  2
Atalanta

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Sassuolo
2 :  1
Atalanta

17 Feb 2026 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
2 :  0
Atalanta

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Atalanta

Lecce vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lecce

17 %

Draw

17 %

Atalanta

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.83
Total goals
50%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

14 Sept 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
4 :  1
Lecce

27 Apr 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  1
Lecce

19 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  4
Atalanta

18 May 2024 - Serie A

Lecce
0 :  2
Atalanta

30 Dec 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  0
Lecce

19 Feb 2023 - Serie A

Atalanta
1 :  2
Lecce
Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction

Lecce against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11

Lecce

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

30
W. Falcone
17
D. Veiga
5
J. Siebert
44
Tiago Gabriel
3
C. Ndaba
20
Y. Ramadani
79
O. Ngom
50
S. Pierotti
8
S. Fofana
19
L. Banda
99
W. Cheddira
90
N. Krstovic
59
N. Zalewski
17
C. De Ketelaere
47
L. Bernasconi
13
E. Silva
15
M. de Roon
77
D. Zappacosta
23
S. Kolasinac
19
B. Djimsiti
42
G. Scalvini
29
M. Carnesecchi

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Atalanta

Substitutes

Lecce
Lecce
Goalkeeper

J. Samooja

C. Fruchtl

Defender

M. Perez

G. Jean

Midfielder

A. Sala

N. Konan

D. Veiga 67'

O. Gandelman

S. Fofana 46'

O. Gorter

F. Marchwinski

T. Helgason

L. Coulibaly

Y. Ramadani 67'

Forward

N. Stulic

W. Cheddira 78'

Atalanta
Atalanta
Goalkeeper

P. Pardel

M. Sportiello

Defender

O. Kossounou

B. Djimsiti 70'

A. Navarro

R. Bellanova

D. Zappacosta 70'

H. Ahanor

M. Bakker

Midfielder

L. Samardzic

Y. Musah

M. Pasalic

M. de Roon 63'

Forward

K. Sulemana

N. Krstovic 80'

G. Raspadori

N. Zalewski 63'

Missing players

Lecce
Lecce
Forward

M. Berisha

F. Camarda

Atalanta
Atalanta
Defender

I. Hien

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lecce
CD Huachipato Atalanta
Top Goalscorer
Zambia L. Banda (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy G. Scamacca (10 Goals) Montenegro N. Krstovic (10 Goals)
Best assists
Italy A. Gallo (4 Assists)
Zambia L. Banda (4 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (5 Assists)
Poland N. Zalewski (5 Assists)
Belgium C. De Ketelaere (5 Assists)

Lecce - Atalanta Key Points

  1. Atalanta claimed four wins in their last five visits to Lecce.
  2. Lecce have suffered four defeats in their last five outings.
  3. Across five meetings, Lecce have lost four times to Atalanta.
  4. Lecce haven't beaten a top-half side in Serie A this season.
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Our Lecce vs Atalanta Prediction

Lecce looks to be failing in their bid for survival after losing four times in their last five matches. That, however, doesn’t tell their whole story of the season; Salentini have failed to beat any of the sides currently in the top half.

They lost 12 of the 16 matches against such opponents. While Atalanta have their away-day woes, this is a match they will be confident of winning. La Dea have won four of the last five trips to Lecce, and our prediction for Lecce v Atalanta is that Atalanta wins.

Prediction :

 

Atalanta wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Atalanta

Lecce vs Atalanta Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Lecce wins 4.78 5.75 +20.3%
Draw 3.98 4 +0.5%
Atalanta wins 1.69 1.75 +3.6%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Atalanta is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.6% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 59.2% and is now 57.1% (-2.0%)

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.