Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction - Serie A

Predictions Odds Live

Italy - Serie A

Lazio

15/03/2026 15:45

AC Milan

Prediction :

AC Milan wins

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Prediction published on 15/03/2026, 11:48 by Kennedy Kechula | Modified on 15/03/2026 at 17:45 in Serie A Predictions

AC Milan will hope to pump more air into their slim Serie A title hopes this weekend as they travel to face European hopefuls, Lazio. With nine games left to play, the Rossoneri are second in the standings and sit seven points off the pace. On their part, Le Aquile enter the weekend in 10th place and more than 20 points behind their visitors. Read on to find our prediction of the match.

This is the third and final meeting of the season between the two. Both teams have won against each other this campaign, but it is the visitors who arrive as the bookies’ firm favorites. Across these teams’ last 11 matches, Milan have been dominant, winning seven.

Lazio have had to deal with the scraps, collecting just three wins in the 11 meetings. One of those defeats, however, was in this season’s Coppa Italia. That also happens to be Milan’s only away loss this season.

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Lazio v AC Milan Best Betting Odds

1	X	2
4.3	3.5	1.93
4.34	3.4	1.89
4.34	3.4	1.89
4.1	3.5	1.91
4.2	3.35	1.89

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What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and AC Milan?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs AC Milan match is: AC Milan wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2026 between Lazio and AC Milan in Serie A :

The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 20.08% for a win of Lazio against AC Milan with odds of 4.51 at 888Starz.
The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs AC Milan is 32.67% with odds of 3.55 at 888Starz.
Our prediction model gives a 47.24% chance ⭐ for a win of AC Milan vs Lazio with odds of 2.05 at LSbet.

Lazio - AC Milan Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio AC Milan Prediction	Probability	Odds
AC Milan wins	47.24%	2.05 at LSbet
Over 2.5 goals	53.95%	2.13 at Melbet
Both Team To Score	59.17%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: AC Milan	27.53%	5.25 at LSbet

Lazio vs AC Milan Form

Lazio and AC Milan's standings in the Serie A

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 AC Milan	70	38	20	10	8	+18
9 Lazio	54	38	14	12	12	+1

Lazio and AC Milan Last Matches

Lazio Last matches

All Home Away

D L D L D W

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals

50% BTTS

0.83 Goals scored

1.33 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

2 : 1

Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

2 : 2

Atalanta

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC

2 : 0

Lazio

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 0

Lazio

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 2

Atalanta

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna

1 : 1

Lazio

D L W L D W

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

2 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

9 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

2 : 1

Sassuolo

4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

2 : 2

Atalanta

14 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 2

Atalanta

30 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

3 : 2

Genoa

19 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 3

Como 1907

7 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio

2 : 2

Fiorentina

W D D D D L

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals

33% BTTS

0.67 Goals scored

0.83 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Torino FC

2 : 0

Lazio

21 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Cagliari

0 : 0

Lazio

11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia

Bologna

1 : 1

Lazio

8 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Juventus

2 : 2

Lazio

24 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lecce

0 : 0

Lazio

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Hellas Verona

0 : 1

Lazio

AC Milan Last matches

All Home Away

W W D L W W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

33% Over 2.5

67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Inter Milan

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese

0 : 2

AC Milan

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Parma

18 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 1

Como 1907

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC

1 : 2

AC Milan

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna

0 : 3

AC Milan

W D W D L W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

0.5 Goals conceded

17% Over 2.5

83% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Inter Milan

22 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

0 : 1

Parma

18 Feb 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 1

Como 1907

18 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Lecce

8 Jan 2026 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 1

Genoa

28 Dec 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

3 : 0

Hellas Verona

D W D W W W

Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals

67% BTTS

2 Goals scored

0.67 Goals conceded

50% Over 2.5

50% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2026 - Serie A

Cremonese

0 : 2

AC Milan

13 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Pisa SC

1 : 2

AC Milan

3 Feb 2026 - Serie A

Bologna

0 : 3

AC Milan

25 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Roma

1 : 1

AC Milan

15 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Como 1907

1 : 3

AC Milan

11 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina

1 : 1

AC Milan

Lazio vs AC Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

17 %

AC Milan

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals

33.33%

BTTS

0.83

Goals scored

1.17

Goals conceded

33.33%

Over 2.5

66.67%

Under 2.5

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio

1 : 0

AC Milan

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 0

Lazio

2 Mar 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan

1 : 2

Lazio

31 Aug 2024 - Serie A

Lazio

2 : 2

AC Milan

1 Mar 2024 - Serie A

Lazio

0 : 1

AC Milan

30 Sept 2023 - Serie A

AC Milan

2 : 0

Lazio

Lazio - AC Milan: Form Analysis

Lazio were able to get back to winning ways last weekend, halting a run of four games without a victory. Maurizio Sarri’s men, who were at home against fellow European hopefuls, Sassuolo, earned a 2-1 win. The result kept them just two points off eighth place, which is the final qualifying spot for a place in Europe for next season.

I Biancocelesti have accumulated 37 points after winning nine and drawing 10 of their 28 games. Lazio won 1-0 in the most recent meeting with Milan. This was in December, as they hosted a Coppa Italia quarter-final one-off tie.

Lazio lost seven of their last 11 meetings with AC Milan.

AC Milan won the reverse league meeting with Lazio, also by a solitary goal. That victory was part of an exciting 24-game unbeaten run in the league by the Rossoneri, which had placed them top of the standings. This is where they plan to return.

It will not be an easy feat, but last weekend’s result will have rejuvenated the belief within Massimiliano Allegri’s men. Milan defeated city rivals and league leaders Inter by a solitary goal to avoid being left by the wayside in the race for the title. It was their 17th win of the season. Milan have lost just twice all season, which is the fewest number of losses so far.

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Lazio against AC Milan Lineups: Starting 11

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

E. Motta

A. Marusic

M. Gila

O. Provstgaard

N. Tavares

F. Dele-Bashiru

Patric

K. Taylor

G. Isaksen

D. Maldini

M. Zaccagni

R. Leao

C. Pulisic

P. Estupinan

A. Jashari

L. Modric

Y. Fofana

A. Saelemaekers

S. Pavlovic

K. De Winter

F. Tomori

M. Maignan

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

AC Milan

Substitutes

Lazio

Goalkeeper

G. Giacomone

A. Furlanetto

Defender

L. Pellegrini

E. Hysaj

Midfielder

R. Belahyane

K. Taylor 90'

A. Przyborek

M. Lazzari

Forward

B. Dia

D. Maldini 67'

M. Cancellieri

M. Zaccagni 83'

P. Ratkov

T. Noslin

Pedro

G. Isaksen 67'

AC Milan

Goalkeeper

M. Pittarella

P. Terracciano

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

P. Estupinan 58'

D. Odogu

Z. Athekame

F. Tomori 57'

Midfielder

S. Ricci

A. Saelemaekers 84'

Forward

C. Nkunku

Y. Fofana 66'

N. Fullkrug

R. Leao 67'

Missing players

Lazio

Defender

S. Gigot

AC Milan

Defender

M. Gabbia

Midfielder

A. Rabiot

Lazio & AC Milan Squad Analysis

Lazio could be without up to six players for this match due to injuries. Danilo Cataldi, Samuel Gigot, Ivan Provedel, and Nicolo Rovella are all out, while Tomas Basic and Alessio Romagnoli are doubtful.

Lazio have struggled with scoring, and at present, no player has scored more than four goals this term. Mattia Zaccagni leads Lazio’s scoring charts with four goals, while five other players are tied on three goals. Among those with three goals is the injured Cataldi.

Zaccagni has only been on Lazio’s winning side against Milan twice in 13 meetings.

AC Milan do not share in Lazio’s scoring woes, but a number of their stars will miss this trip. Matteo Gabbia and Ruben Loftus-Cheek are ruled out through injury, while Adrien Rabiot is suspended. The midfield pair of Rabiot and Loftus-Cheek has scored seven goals and will be sorely missed in the capital.

The visitors, who have scored the third most goals, still have their joint top scorers, Christian Pulisic and Rafael Leao, available. Milan are also dominating on the defensive end, with Mike Maignan, who is firmly in the Golden Glove race, keeping 12 clean sheets in the league.

Most goals and assists

Lazio

AC Milan

Top Goalscorer

G. Isaksen (5 Goals) ,

Pedro (5 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

R. Leao (9 Goals)

Best assists

T. Castellanos (3 Assists) ,

T. Basic (3 Assists)

Best assists

A. Rabiot (4 Assists) ,

C. Pulisic (4 Assists) ,

S. Ricci (4 Assists)

Lazio - AC Milan Key Points

Lazio haven’t won in seven of their last 10 games and have lost three times.
Milan haven’t lost any of their last seven away matches, winning five.
Four of Lazio’s nine losses in the league have come at home.
Milan have won 17 league fixtures.

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Our Lazio vs AC Milan Prediction

Our prediction for Lazio v AC Milan is that AC Milan wins. This is the third meeting of the season between these two, and so far, each side has won its respective home game. Milan won the league battle and are our best bet to win, considering they are also in better form than their hosts.

The visitors won their latest two fixtures and haven’t lost in their last seven away trips. Lazio, on the other hand, are battling inconsistency and have managed just three wins in their last 10 outings.

Prediction :

AC Milan wins

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Lazio vs AC Milan Alternative Predictions

Under 2.5 goals

Odds 1.88

For our second prediction, we are backing the under 2.5 goals outcome. Milan have been one of the top defensive teams in the league, while Lazio have been one of the low-scoring sides. The two meetings between these two this term have also not seen more than one goal.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lazio AC Milan

Lazio vs AC Milan	Opening odds	Pre-match odds	Odds Movements
Lazio wins	3.91	4.51	+15.3%
Draw	3.46	3.55	+2.6%
AC Milan wins	2.13	2.05	-3.8%

Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

AC Milan is most likely to win
The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.8% since opening
The probability of this result was 46.9% and is now 48.8% (1.8%)

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