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by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
A Baltic battle beckons as England’s quest for qualification to the 2026 FIFA World Cup takes them to the Daugava Stadium in Riga to face Latvia on Tuesday evening. The 11 Wolves are in fourth place in UEFA Group K, while the Three Lions are leading the current standings. Check out our match prediction below!
Thomas Tuchel’s tenure as head coach of England has been mightily impressive, as he has yet to lose a competitive match since taking over from Sir Gareth Southgate. The German tactician has led his side to five wins on the bounce in these qualifiers, and a victory in this match will guarantee their place in the global showpiece in North America next year with two games to spare.
In contrast, Paolo Nicolato has only overseen three wins in his 17 matches in charge of Latvia, two of which were against the Faroe Islands and the other versus Andorra. With five points in six games, his team cannot qualify for the World Cup directly, but still have an outside chance of earning a play-off berth. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Latvia v England Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
29 | 15 | 1.06 |
|
|
41 | 13 | 1.05 |
|
|
51 | 12 | 1.05 |
|
|
26 | 11 | 1.04 |
|
|
36 | 12.5 | 1.04 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Latvia and England?
Our prediction for the Latvia vs England match is: over 2.5 & BTTS (NO).
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2025 between Latvia and England in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 8.66% for a win of Latvia against England with odds of 55 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Latvia vs England is 16.1% with odds of 18.5 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 75.23% chance ⭐ for a win of England vs Latvia with odds of 1.06 at Bet365.
Latvia vs England Form
Latvia and England's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 |
|
4
|
5 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
Latvia and England Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sep 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2025 - World Cup
7 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
13 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Jul 2024 - Euro
Latvia vs England Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
Latvia - England: Form Analysis
England have been exceptional in this World Cup qualification cycle, currently four points clear at the top of the group standings with a game in hand and with a perfect record of five wins in five matches.
The Three Lions sharpened their claws for this fixture by demolishing Wales 3-0 in a friendly last week, and have now won nine of their last 10 matches, while scoring two or more goals in eight of those games.
The visitors are also riding a five-match win streak on the road, while their only away defeat since June 2022 (excluding the Euros) was against Italy 1-0 in September 2022 in Milan.
England have not conceded a single goal in the 2026 World Cup Qualifiers!
Meanwhile, Latvia have never qualified for a World Cup main draw, and a defeat in this match will bring an end to their hopes of reaching the global tournament in North America next year.
Following their 2-2 draw against Andorra over the weekend, the 11 Wolves have now failed to win any of their last six matches (D3 L3) since beating the Bishops in their first match of this qualifying campaign.
The hosts are winless in their last six on home soil and failed to score in three of those matches. They were beaten 3-0 by their upcoming opponents when they met in the reverse fixture back in March.
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Latvia & England Squad Analysis
Dmitrijs Zelenkovs and Vladislavs Gutkovskis got on the scoresheet for Latvia in their last match, though the latter will likely be deployed as the lone frontman here, with Nicolato expected to go with a 5-4-1 formation.
The hosts will be without Roberts Uldrikis and Kristers Tobers due to injury, while Ingars Pulis will be hoping to be handed his first start for the national team after debuting off the bench in the last match.
“We are convinced he will be ready for Latvia!”
Those were the words of Tuchel regarding Harry Kane, who was not risked in the victory over Wales as a precaution after sustaining a knock to his ankle during Bayern Munich’s 3-0 win against Frankfurt.
Ollie Watkins started as the number nine and scored against the Dragons, but he was hooked at the halftime break for Marcus Rashford. Morgan Rogers and Bukayo Saka also got on the scoresheet in that match, while Marc Guehi notched up a couple of assists.
The England boss made several big calls by overlooking the likes of Jude Bellingham and Phil Foden for this month’s WCQ, and he is now also without Jarell Quansah, who has withdrawn from the squad injured.
Most goals and assists
Latvia
England
A. Cernomordijs
(1 Goals)
,
D. Sits
(1 Goals)
,
D. Zelenkovs
(1 Goals)
,
V. Gutkovskis
(1 Goals)
H. Kane
(4 Goals)
Latvia - England Key Points
- Latvia have failed to score in four of their last six matches.
- England are averaging 2.6 goals per 90 in this competition.
- England have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 10 matches.
- England have yet to concede a goal in this competition.
- England beat this opponent 3-0 in the reverse fixture back in March.
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Our Latvia vs England Prediction
While England have been excellent in attack in this competition, what has arguably been even more impressive is the defensive solidity they have shown, as they are yet to concede a single goal.
That certainly does not bode well for Latvia in this match, who barely laid a finger on this opponent when they met in March and have failed to score in three of their five matches since then. Our Latvia vs England prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS (NO).
Latvia vs England - Other Interesting Predictions
Bukayo Saka to score anytime
The Arsenal attacker was on the scoresheet against Wales last week, and he also netted in his last two starts for the Gunners in the Premier League, coming into this month’s World Cup qualifiers.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Latvia vs. England game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Latvia vs England match : Frequently asked questions
The World Cup qualifier match between Latvia and England will take place on October 14 at 19:45 BST.
The World Cup qualifier match between Latvia and England will be played at the Daugava Stadium in Riga.
The World Cup qualifier match between Latvia and England will be broadcast live on ITV in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our World Cup livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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