Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Champions League Predictions
Larne welcome Tre Fiori to Windsor Park this Tuesday holding a 1-0 lead from the first leg of their Champions League first qualifying round tie. Matty Lusty's stoppage-time header in Serravalle gave the Inver Reds a slender advantage. But the San Marino side must now chase the game, and our prediction backs both teams to score.
Gary Haveron's men were comfortably the better side in San Marino, dominating possession and territory throughout. Lusty swept home Sam McClelland's knock-down on the stroke of half-time and had a second goal ruled out by VAR, while Dan Bent, Montel Gibson and substitute Josh Ukek all spurned chances to extend the lead.
That profligacy is why this tie is not yet finished. Tre Fiori, coached by Girolomoni, defended resolutely and enjoyed their best spell in the closing stages as they pushed for an equaliser, with goalkeeper Michele Nardi making several important saves to keep the deficit to one.
Now the dynamic changes completely. Trailing by a single goal, Tre Fiori cannot sit deep and must commit bodies forward, which should open up a game the Inver Reds will look to kill off early. With Larne creating chances at will in the first leg and the visitors forced to gamble, goals at both ends look likely.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Larne FC v SP Tre Fiori Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.01 | 14.5 | 100 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.22 | 13.7 |
|
|
1.16 | 5.3 | 28 |
|
|
1.1 | 8.5 | 24 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.2 | 13.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Larne FC and SP Tre Fiori?
Our prediction for the Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/07/2026 between Larne FC and SP Tre Fiori in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.74% for a win of Larne FC against SP Tre Fiori with odds of 1.4 at Roobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori is 30.4% with odds of 14.5 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.86% chance ⭐ for a win of SP Tre Fiori vs Larne FC with odds of 101 at Betway.
Larne FC - SP Tre Fiori Prediction and Best Odds:
| Larne FC SP Tre Fiori Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Larne FC wins | 48.74% | 1.4 at Roobet |
| Under 2.5 | 59.34% | 6.8 at BC Game |
| Both Team To Score: No | 68.75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Larne FC/Larne FC | 24.78% | 4.3 at Roobet |
Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori Form
Larne FC and SP Tre Fiori Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
17 Apr 2026 - Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
7 Apr 2026 - Premiership
28 Mar 2026 - Premiership
13 Mar 2026 - Premiership
24 Feb 2026 - Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Apr 2026 - Premiership
11 Apr 2026 - Premiership
4 Apr 2026 - Irish Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
23 May 2026 - Coppa Titano
26 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
19 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
12 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
8 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
23 May 2026 - Coppa Titano
26 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
12 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
22 Mar 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
18 Mar 2026 - Coppa Titano
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
8 Apr 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
4 Mar 2026 - Coppa Titano
28 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
15 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
11 Feb 2026 - Campionato Sammarinese
Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
Players list
R. Ferguson
DefenderA. Donnelly
S. Graham
M. Ridley
T. Cosgrove
MidfielderC. Gallagher
R. Doherty
D. Bent
ForwardM. Gibson
C. McKendry
M. Lusty
M. Nardi
DefenderP. Mengucci
A. D Addario
T. Syku
S. Rea
B. Sami
M. Sancisi
MidfielderR. Bertani
F. Benedettini
ForwardM. Prandelli
N. Manara
Substitutes
D. Collett
D. Graham
DefenderJ. Simpson
L. Wallace
MidfielderJ. McEneff
D. Sloan
P. O'Neill
K. O'Hara
J. Ukek
B. Magee
A. Castagnoli
DefenderF. Pesaresi
G. Ponticelli
L. Terenzi
A. Sirri
MidfielderF. Dolcini
L. Censoni
M. Ben Kacem
T. Bernardi
Larne FC - SP Tre Fiori Key Points
- Tre Fiori must score to progress, forcing them out of the defensive shape that kept the tie close.
- Tre Fiori enjoyed their best spell of the first leg in the closing stages while chasing an equaliser.
- Larne have scored in their last ten home games in a row.
- Five of Larne’s last seven home games featured goals from both sides.
- Tre Fiori have scored in nine of their last 12 away games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori Prediction
Larne's failure to convert their dominance in San Marino leaves the door ajar, and Tre Fiori arrive at Windsor Park with no option but to attack. That shift in approach is the crux of this bet, as the travelling side that sat deep for 90 minutes must now push forward and leave space behind.
he Inver Reds will punish that, but a stretched game also gives the visitors their first real openings of the tie. Hence, our Larne FC vs Tre Fiori prediction is BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Larne FC SP Tre Fiori
| Larne FC vs SP Tre Fiori | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larne FC wins | 1.2 | 1.4 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 5.8 | 14.5 | +150.0% |
| SP Tre Fiori wins | 12 | 101 | +741.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Larne FC is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 16.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 83.3% and is now 71.4% (-11.9%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
