Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction & Betting Tips - Champions League
Europe - Champions League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Champions League Predictions
Northern Ireland club Larne face an uphill battle to extend their stay in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League (UCL) when they face Serbia's Red Star Belgrade in the second qualifying round. This first leg match on Tuesday at Inver Park between the Inver Reds and the Red-Whites is likely to be low on the goals, which is the core of our prediction.
The winner of this two-legged tie advances to the third qualifying round to face either Ararat-Armenia or Shamrock Rovers. The losers will be transferred to the Europa League third qualifying round.
Larne won 2-1 at home against Tre Fiori in their last match, the second leg of the first qualifying round. Combined with the 1-0 victory in the first leg of this round, the Inver Reds have six wins in their last seven matches, including one via penalties. That victory came at home, where Larne have four wins in a row, including a friendly club.
Red Star thrashed Macva 5-0 at home on Friday in the opening game of the Super Liga competition. That run was preceded by a record of just one victory in four pre-season friends (D2, L1). The Red-Whites have a record of W4, D1 in their last five group games in Europe, where all four victories have come by a 1-0 score.
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Larne FC v Red Star Belgrade Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
13.75 | 6.25 | 1.16 |
|
|
13 | 7.42 | 1.19 |
|
|
12.5 | 7.4 | 1.19 |
|
|
18.5 | 8.55 | 1.12 |
|
|
16 | 7.55 | 1.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Larne FC and Red Star Belgrade?
Our prediction for the Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade match is: less than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/07/2026 between Larne FC and Red Star Belgrade in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.55% for a win of Larne FC against Red Star Belgrade with odds of 18.5 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade is 28.18% with odds of 8.55 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.27% chance ⭐ for a win of Red Star Belgrade vs Larne FC with odds of 1.19 at 1xbet.
Larne FC - Red Star Belgrade Prediction and Best Odds:
| Larne FC Red Star Belgrade Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 39.27% | 1.19 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.63% | 1.6 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.29% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Red Star Belgrade | 15.73% | 4 at LSbet |
Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade Form
Larne FC and Red Star Belgrade Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2026 - Champions League
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Jul 2026 - Champions League
3 Jul 2026 - NIFL Charity Shield
25 Apr 2026 - Premiership
7 Apr 2026 - Premiership
28 Mar 2026 - Premiership
13 Mar 2026 - Premiership
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Jul 2026 - Champions League
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Apr 2026 - Premiership
11 Apr 2026 - Premiership
4 Apr 2026 - Irish Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Jul 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
29 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jun 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
9 May 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
26 Apr 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
13 May 2026 - Serbia Cup
4 May 2026 - Serbian Super Liga
30 Apr 2026 - Serbia Cup
Players list
R. Ferguson
DefenderM. Ridley
S. Graham
T. Cosgrove
A. Donnelly
MidfielderD. Sloan
D. Bent
J. McEneff
R. Doherty
C. Gallagher
ForwardM. Lusty
Matheus
DefenderS. Young-woo
S. Erakovic
M. Veljkovic
MidfielderV. Kostov
T. Elsnik
M. Ivanic
N. Tiknizyan
M. Abu Fani
ForwardL. Loizou
B. Duarte
Substitutes
D. Graham
D. Collett
DefenderJ. Simpson
L. Wallace
B. Magee
C. McKendry
K. O'Hara
P. O'Neill
M. Gibson
I. Gutesa
S. Radanovic
DefenderM. Strika
F. Tebo
S. Gudelj
MidfielderN. Stankovic
K. Balov
Muhammed Cham
J. Enem
A. Katai
O. Bukari
M. Arnautovic
Larne FC - Red Star Belgrade Key Points
- Larne’s last six matches have all seen under 3.5 goals.
- Larne’s last six matches in European competitions have all seen three or fewer goals.
- Red Star’s last 12 games in European competitions have all seen fewer than four goals scored.
- Eight of Red Star’s last 12 matches have all seen at most three goals scored.
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Our Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade Prediction
Larne won both their legs in the first qualifying round of the Champions League, which is the first time in their UCL history. However, that euphoria may end here, seeing as they come up against European regulars Red Star. With four wins in their last five league phase games in Europe, the visitors start as heavy favorites to win this match and rightly so.
While there's little value in backing a win, the goals market offers value, and our Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade prediction is less than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Larne FC Red Star Belgrade
| Larne FC vs Red Star Belgrade | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Larne FC wins | 5.52 | 18.5 | +235.1% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 8.55 | +108.5% |
| Red Star Belgrade wins | 1.54 | 1.19 | -22.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Red Star Belgrade is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 22.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.9% and is now 84.0% (19.1%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
