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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP French Open Predictions
Tommy Paul is targeting a third straight win over Karen Khachanov. The two will clash in the third round at the French Open, with the winner advancing to meet Nuno Borges or Alexei Popyrin. We have a prediction for this match below.
Khachanov showed his mental strength in his second-round win over Sebastian Ofner in five sets. He recovered from losing sets 2 and 4, winning the closing one to secure passage to the third round.
A two-time quarter-finalist here, Khachanov has never lost a third-round match at Roland Garros. He has a 29-5 record at the French Open, and this season the Russian has compiled a 9-5 run on clay.
Tommy Paul, on the other hand, is looking to break through the third-round ceiling at Roland Garros. The American has never gone past this round at the French Open but will be glad to have surpassed his most troubled stage – the second round.
He leads this matchup 2-0 in head-to-head numbers and, like Khachanov, is coming off a five-set win in the last round. Paul beat Marton Fucsovics for his eighth win in 15 matches at the French Open.
Overall in the season, that was his 23rd win in 31 matches. His record on clay reads 10-3. He has only lost once in the third round this season, at Miami.
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The Best Betting Odds for Karen Khachanov v Tommy Paul Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.75 | 2.05 |
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1.73 | 2 |
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1.75 | 2.08 |
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Who will win the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul match is: Tommy Paul wins the match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul game on 30/05/2025 of the current ATP French Open season:
- Karen Khachanov has a 39.54% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.83.
- Tommy Paul has a 60.46% probability of winning facing Karen Khachanov ⭐ with odds of 2.12 at 22bet.
Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karen Khachanov has a 39.54 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Karen Khachanov | 39.54 % |
Tommy Paul | 60.46 % |
Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Form
Karen Khachanov and Tommy Paul Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
26 May 2025 - ATP French Open
22 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
20 May 2025 - ATP Geneva Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
11 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
25 May 2025 - ATP French Open
16 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
15 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
13 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
12 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open
Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
29 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Khachanov lost four times in his last 10 matches.
- Tommy Paul has eight wins in the last 10 games.
- Head-to-head, Tommy Paul leads Khachanov 2-0.
- Khachanov suffered four third-round defeats this season.
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Our Karen Khachanov vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Khachanov has a slight advantage in his experience at Roland Garros. However, in terms of recent form and head-to-head records, he comes second best. This season he has suffered four defeats in the third round. One of those was in the season’s first Grand Slam, and the other three were at Masters events.
Paul, with eight wins in the last 10 matches, hasn’t suffered as much pain and will be confident of setting a new French Open record. Our prediction for Karen Khachanov v Tommy Paul is that Tommy Paul wins the match.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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