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28 September 2023 - 15:00 

- Day 4

World - Rugby World Cup

Japan
VS
Samoa

Prediction :

Handicap Samoa +2.5

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Japan vs Samoa Prediction & Betting Tips - Rugby World Cup

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Rugby World Cup Prediction

Japan and Samoa will face off in week four of the 2023 Rugby World Cup on Thursday. This is a crucial match in Pool D between the sides that are in third and second place, respectively. While England look like they will go on to claim first place in the pool, both these sides, along with Argentina, are still in the running for second place. Japan's five points so far came in their opening match of the competition, where they beat Chile 42-12. Against England, The Brave Blossoms pulled the score to 13-12 early in the second half. However, they were outclassed in the latter stages as England ran out 34-12 winners. Still, they would have taken several positives from that match, and a win here will put them in a very good position. Japan have won two of their three World Cup matches against Samoa and will fancy their chances of another here. 

While Japan held the advantage over Samoa at World Cups, the Samoans have been the most dominant side across all competitions. In 17 meetings, Samoa have won 12 while Japan have won five. That includes beating them in the Pacific Nations Series last July. Like their opponents, they beat Chile convincingly in their first match, claiming a 43-10 victory. However, they were handed their first defeat of the tournament last weekend, losing 19-10 to Argentina. Despite losing that match, Samoa were extremely impressive and made a late surge but came up just short. They also missed out on a losing bonus point. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Japan v Samoa Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.38 23 1.67
NetBet
2.42 20 1.62
Check all Japan vs Samoa odds
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Japan vs Samoa Form

Japan and Samoa's standings in the Rugby World Cup

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3
Japan
Japan
9 4 2 0 2 2
4
Samoa
Samoa
7 4 1 0 3 17

Japan and Samoa Last Matches

Japan
Japan Last matches
L W L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

17 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

England
34 :  12
Japan

10 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Japan
42 :  12
Chile

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Italy
42 :  21
Japan

5 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Japan
12 :  35
Fiji

29 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Japan
21 :  16
Tonga

22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Japan
22 :  24
Samoa
Samoa
Samoa Last matches
W L W L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

22 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Argentina
19 :  10
Samoa

16 Sep 2023 - Rugby World Cup

Samoa
43 :  10
Chile

26 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Ireland
17 :  13
Samoa

4 Aug 2023 - Test Matchs

Samoa
34 :  9
Tonga

28 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Samoa
19 :  33
Fiji

22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Japan
22 :  24
Samoa

Japan against Samoa : Head to Head (H2H)

22 Jul 2023 - Test Matchs

Japan
22 :  24
Samoa

Players list

Japan
Japan
L. Labuschagne A. Fakatava S. Horie K. Inagaki J. Cornelson D. Riley K. Matsushima N. Saito J. Naikabula M. Leitch R. Nakamura L. Lemeki R. Matsuda J. Koo K. Himeno
Samoa
Samoa
P. Alo-Emile D. Paia'Aua T. Fidow T. McFarland C. Lealiifano B. Lam D. Leuila J. Lay S. Lam F. Lee J. Taufua T. Seu T. Manu S. Luatua J. Taumateine

Substitutes

Japan
Japan
C. Millar A. Sakate W. Dearns T. Osada A. Valu S. Lee K. Fukuda K. Shimokawa
Samoa
Samoa
B. Alainu'uese M. Matavao N. Fomai S. Malolo J. Lay M. Ala'alatoa A. Motuga D. Toala

Japan - Samoa Key Points

  1. Samoa beat this opposition in their last meeting
  2. Samoa have beaten Japan in 11 of their 16 matches
  3. Samoa finished their last match very strongly, which could be a crucial factor here
  4. Samoa are ranked one place above Japan in the world standings
Up to $200 to bet on Japan - Samoa! 

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Our Japan vs Samoa Prediction

While Samoa are the favorites, there is almost nothing between these sides on the latest odds. That illustrates just how close this one could get. Based on their first two matches, we're giving the Samoans the edge here but will opt for a safer +2.5. This is a very tricky fixture, so we will be leaving it off our accumulators for the day. Our Japan vs Samoa prediction: Handicap Samoa +2.5.

Prediction :

Handicap Samoa +2.5

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Japan vs Samoa Prediction

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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