Japan vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies
International - International Friendlies
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Japan will step up their preparations for the 2026 World Cup with a friendly match against Iceland. Ranking 18th in the world, the Asians are favorites against 75th-ranked Iceland. Our prediction backs Japan, who come into this encounter having won each of their last five outings.
Hajime Moriyasu’s men blitzed past the World Cup qualifiers, winning seven of 10 games. They didn’t stop there and come here having only lost once in their last 12 matches, winning nine.
Quite notably, two of Japan’s wins in their recent five were against top-six-ranked nations – Brazil and England. They will not have another preparation match before heading to the World Cup.
Iceland are meeting Japan for the fifth time in their history and will want to post a second win against the Asian powerhouse. In each of the latest two meetings with Japan, Iceland conceded three times as they lost both.
Arnar Gunnlaugsson’s men do not carry a strong run into this encounter, having failed to win the last four. Additionally, the Nordic nation had a limp attempt at qualifying for the World Cup, only managing a third-place finish in their group.
In the earlier mentioned four-match winless run, they suffered two defeats and also failed to score in those losses.
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Japan v Iceland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.15 | 6.2 | 11 |
|
|
1.14 | 8.6 | 17 |
|
|
1.19 | 7.4 | 12.5 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 12 |
|
|
1.19 | 6.8 | 13 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Japan and Iceland?
Our prediction for the Japan vs Iceland match is: Japan to win with a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/05/2026 between Japan and Iceland in International Friendlies :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.44% for a win of Japan against Iceland with odds of 1.22 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Japan vs Iceland is 21.05% with odds of 8.6 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 10.51% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Japan with odds of 17 at Melbet.
Japan - Iceland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Japan Iceland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Japan wins | 68.44% | 1.22 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.13% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 52.38% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Japan/Japan | 30.91% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
Japan vs Iceland Form
Japan and Iceland Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
8 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
15 Jul 2025 - East Asian Championship
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
25 Feb 2026 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
Players list
Z. Suzuki
DefenderT. Tomiyasu
S. Taniguchi
H. Ito
MidfielderR. Doan
K. Sano
D. Kamada
K. Nakamura
J. Ito
D. Maeda
ForwardA. Ueda
E. Olafsson
DefenderD. Gretarsson
H. Magnusson
V. Palsson
L. Tomasson
MidfielderH. Haraldsson
I. Johanneson
A. Baldursson
ForwardA. Gudmundsson
O. Oskarsson
M. Ellertsson
Substitutes
K. Osako
T. Hayakawa
DefenderJ. Suzuki
K. Itakura
A. Seko
Y. Sugawara
Y. Nagatomo
T. Watanabe
MidfielderA. Tanaka
T. Kubo
Y. Suzuki
ForwardK. Shiogai
K. Goto
K. Ogawa
S. Machino
A. Einarsson
H. Valdimarsson
DefenderH. Hermannsson
MidfielderJ. Thorsteinsson
G. Sigurdsson
A. Gunnarsson
A. Sigurdsson
D. Thorhallsson
G. Gottskalk Thordarson
K. Hlynsson
ForwardD. Gudjohnsen
K. Mani Ingason
Japan - Iceland Key Points
- Japan have won nine of their last 12 matches.
- Iceland are winless in their last four outings, losing twice.
- Japan are unbeaten in their latest six matches.
- Japan have kept four straight clean sheets ahead of this game.
- Iceland lost these nations’ two previous meetings.
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Our Japan vs Iceland Prediction
Iceland lost half of their last 10 matches and failed to score in two of the last four, which also ended in defeat. Six times in their last eight matches, they conceded 2+ goals, and the same happened in the two previous outings against Japan.
Going into this game, Japan are clearly the favorites, having posted nine wins in their last 12 games. The Blue Samurai have also been solid in defence and come here having kept clean sheets in their last four matches, all wins. Our prediction for Japan v Iceland is for Japan to win with a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Japan Iceland
| Japan vs Iceland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan wins | 1.25 | 1.22 | -2.4% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 8.6 | +49.6% |
| Iceland wins | 13 | 17 | +30.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Japan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 80.0% and is now 82.0% (2.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
