Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana
South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Nella Wagah | in Football Predictions
Brazilian side Vasco da Gama will be up against Colombian side Independiente Medellin in the Copa Sudamericana first leg knockout round playoff. Independiente will be playing host in the first-ever meeting between the sides. Vasco are on three straight defeats away from home, and this prediction backs the hosts to prevail.
To get here, Independiente managed a third-placed finish in Group A in the Copa Libertadores. They suffered a 1-0 loss at Estudiantes in their last continental outing but are unbeaten in the two matches that followed.
The latest of them was at the start of June, a 2-1 victory over Cucuta. Having lost just once in their last six matches, Independiente are deservedly the favorites here.
Vasco da Gama’s struggles in the season haven’t eased, as they returned from the World Cup break to a 1-0 loss at Vitoria. That marked a fifth loss in six outings for the Brazilians.
They are on just one win in the last seven matches. While they have been conceding heavily in recent outings, Vasco will also be concerned by their poor returns in attack.
Three times in their last six matches, Independiente conceded three or more goals. They have failed to score in three of their latest four games, though their only win in that period came in the Copa Sudamericana.
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Independiente Medellin v Vasco Da Gama Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.28 | 3.2 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.39 | 3.32 | 3.32 |
|
|
2.32 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.22 | 3.22 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.22 | 3.22 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Independiente Medellin and Vasco Da Gama?
Our prediction for the Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama match is: Independiente Medellin wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/07/2026 between Independiente Medellin and Vasco Da Gama in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.4% for a win of Independiente Medellin against Vasco Da Gama with odds of 2.39 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama is 13.95% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 21.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Vasco Da Gama vs Independiente Medellin with odds of 3.32 at 1xbet.
Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama Form
Independiente Medellin and Vasco Da Gama Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Colombia
29 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
11 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jun 2026 - Copa Colombia
11 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
3 May 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
25 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
22 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
26 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2026 - Copa Libertadores
15 May 2026 - Copa Colombia
19 Apr 2026 - Liga Postobon I, Group A
16 Apr 2026 - Copa Libertadores
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
27 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 May 2026 - Copa do Brasil
10 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
30 Apr 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Jul 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
20 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
16 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
6 May 2026 - Copa Sudamericana
3 May 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Brasileirão Serie A
Independiente Medellin - Vasco Da Gama Key Points
- Vasco da Gama suffered five losses in their last six encounters.
- Vasco da Gama lost each of their last three away matches.
- In their last seven outings, Vasco managed just one win.
- Independiente have posted back-to-back home wins.
- Independiente won three of their last six games.
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Our Independiente Medellin vs Vasco Da Gama Prediction
Independiente Medellin look likely to put behind them their recent disappointments in continental action. While it hasn’t been great for the Colombians in recent times, they come into this encounter as favorites, keen on improving on their run of three wins in six.
It should work well for them at home, especially as they’ve won five times in the last seven encounters they hosted. On the other hand, Vasco are struggling, bringing here a run of five defeats in their latest six matches. Away from home things haven’t been any easier. Our prediction for Independiente Medellin v Vasco da Gama is that Independiente Medellin wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
