Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder will travel to the Toyota Centre to face the Houston Rockets in the NBA on Saturday night. OKC have the fifth-best defensive efficiency this season, which sees us leaning toward this match going under the total points line for our main prediction.
After five straight wins to start the season, the Houston Rockets' momentum was abruptly halted last night when they went down 116-111 to the Dallas Mavericks on the road.
The Rockets conceded as many as 40 points in the fourth quarter, which contributed heavily to the defeat against the Mavs. They also missed nine free throws, including two by Kevin Durant late on.
Still, Houston ranks second in the league in field-goal percentage, fifth in three-point percentage, and first in offensive rating. Steven Adams and Alperen Sengun are out for the hosts.
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder suffered their first loss of the season on Wednesday night, as they also went down to the Mavericks, 120-96 on the road.
The Thunder have been dealing with a host of injuries this season, with Jalen Williams, Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren, and Cason Wallace out. Williams is facing a lengthy spell on the sidelines.
OKC are fifth in defensive efficiency, but their offence has been surprisingly poor, ranking 19th overall. The Thunder won two of their three games against the Rockets last season.
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Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.61 | 2.38 |
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1.60 | 2.32 |
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1.59 | 2.30 |
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1.63 | 2.35 |
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1.59 | 2.43 |
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Who will win the Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: under 222.5 points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 31/10/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Houston Rockets has a 55.36% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 1.63.
- There is a probability of 44.64% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Houston Rockets with odds of 2.43 at Tonybet.
Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0.833 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
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5
|
0.8 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Oct 2026 - NBA
28 Oct 2026 - NBA
26 Oct 2026 - NBA
24 Oct 2026 - NBA
23 Oct 2026 - NBA
21 Oct 2026 - NBA
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
26 Oct 2026 - NBA
21 Oct 2026 - NBA
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
1 May 2026 - NBA
26 Apr 2026 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
30 Oct 2026 - NBA
28 Oct 2026 - NBA
24 Oct 2026 - NBA
23 Oct 2026 - NBA
18 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
11 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Oct 2026 - NBA
26 Oct 2026 - NBA
25 Oct 2026 - NBA
22 Oct 2026 - NBA
20 Oct 2026 - NBA
19 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
26 Oct 2026 - NBA
25 Oct 2026 - NBA
22 Oct 2026 - NBA
19 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
16 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
14 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
28 Oct 2026 - NBA
20 Oct 2026 - NBA
12 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
10 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
7 Jul 2026 - NBA Summer League
28 May 2026 - NBA
Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
7 Feb 2026 - NBA
15 Jan 2026 - NBA
21 Oct 2025 - NBA
4 Apr 2025 - NBA
3 Mar 2025 - NBA
14 Dec 2024 - NBA
Players list
A. Thompson
F. VanVleet
K. Durant
J. Smith
A. Mitchell
J. McCain
Substitutes
R. Sheppard
B. Thornton
M. Smart
B. Bogdanovic
S. Pedulla
J. Tate
I. Crawford
T. Eason
M. Peavy
B. Barnhizer
J. Dix
B. Stirtz
J. Williams
Houston Rockets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- Four of the Thunder’s five games this season have gone under the total points line.
- Each of the Thunder’s last four away games has gone under the total points line.
- The Thunder are the fourth-lowest-scoring team in the NBA this season.
- The Thunder have the fifth-best defensive efficiency this season.
- The Rockets are playing the end of a back-to-back.
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Our Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Oklahoma City Thunder are dealing with several injuries this season, and their offence has been way below expectations, currently averaging just 108.2 PPG, which is the fourth-lowest in the league.
The Rockets will fancy their chances here, but they are playing the second leg of a back-to-back and looked well off the pace against the Mavericks last night. We fancy both sides to prioritise defence in this one. Our Houston Rockets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is under 222.5 points.
If your team in the Houston Rockets and Oklahoma City Thunder game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.