Europe - Europa League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions
HNK Rijeka will begin their UEFA Europa League playoff qualifier against PAOK Salonica at home. The second leg will be in Salonica a week from now, with the winner then on aggregate advancing to the league stage. Our prediction for this match is below.
Rijeka have blown hot and cold this season as they have competed in Europe and on the domestic front. The Croatian champions have won just two of seven matches, with a further three ending in defeat.
Starting their season in the Champions League, Radomir Dalovic’s men lost 3-1 on aggregate to Ludogorets to drop to the Europa League. The Whites defeated Shelbourne 4-3 on aggregate in the last round thanks to a 3-1 victory in the return leg on the road. Rijeka are coming off a 2-0 home loss to Dinamo Zagreb.
PAOK are only making their third outing of the season. Razvan Lucescu’s men began their season in round three of these qualifiers, defeating Wolfsberger 1-0 over two legs.
They drew at home and looked destined for penalties, only for Mady Camara to secure victory in extra time in the return match. The Greek side is seeking to make the group/league stage of a UEFA tournament for the fourth time in the last five seasons.
PAOK defeated Rijeka over two legs in Conference League qualifying four seasons ago.
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The Best Betting Odds for HNK Rijeka v PAOK Thessaloniki Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 2.9 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.88 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.25 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.25 | 2.88 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.1 | 2.18 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki?
Our prediction for the HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2025 between HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.42% for a win of HNK Rijeka against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 3.7 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 21.48% with odds of 3.2 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.11% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka with odds of 2.43 at 22bet.
HNK Rijeka - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:
| HNK Rijeka PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 43.11% | 2.43 at 22bet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.03% | 2.45 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 57.14% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PAOK Thessaloniki | 18.7% | 5.4 at Unibet |
HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form
HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
12 Aug 2025 - Europa League
9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
6 Aug 2025 - Europa League
3 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Europa League
9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
18 May 2025 - Prva HNL
14 May 2025 - Croatia Cup
10 May 2025 - Prva HNL
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2025 - Europa League
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2025 - Superleague
27 Apr 2025 - Superleague
6 Apr 2025 - Superleague
2 Mar 2025 - Superleague
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Aug 2025 - Europa League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 May 2025 - Superleague
13 Apr 2025 - Superleague
HNK Rijeka against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
HNK Rijeka
PAOK Thessaloniki
T. Fruk
(3 Goals)
G. Konstantelias
(2 Goals)
,
D. Pelkas
(2 Goals)
, 
K. Despodov
(2 Goals)
A. Zivkovic
(2 Assists)
HNK Rijeka - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points
- PAOK have scored one goal in two Europa League qualifiers.
- Rijeka have scored just one goal in two home games in Europe.
- Rijeka have failed to score in two of their last three fixtures.
- Both of PAOK’s two matches in Europe have seen them keep a clean sheet.
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Our HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction
Rijeka have blown hot and cold so far in Europe, and aren’t the favourites to win here. They have struggled on the offensive end, scoring just one goal at home in the competition. This lack of potency has transferred to their domestic campaign, with the hosts failing to score in back-to-back league games.
PAOK, on the other hand, have looked sharp in defence and are yet to concede this season. Mixing this rigidity in defence with Rijeka’s bluntness, we could see a low-scoring outcome here. Our prediction for HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Salonica is for under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis HNK Rijeka PAOK Thessaloniki
| HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| HNK Rijeka wins | 3 | 3.3 | +10.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 2.9 | -9.4% |
| PAOK Thessaloniki wins | 2.25 | 2.38 | +5.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- PAOK Thessaloniki is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 42.0% (-2.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
