HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

Europe - Europa League

HNK Rijeka
21/08/2025 14:45
PAOK Thessaloniki

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Europa League Predictions

HNK Rijeka will begin their UEFA Europa League playoff qualifier against PAOK Salonica at home. The second leg will be in Salonica a week from now, with the winner then on aggregate advancing to the league stage. Our prediction for this match is below.

Rijeka have blown hot and cold this season as they have competed in Europe and on the domestic front. The Croatian champions have won just two of seven matches, with a further three ending in defeat.

Starting their season in the Champions League, Radomir Dalovic’s men lost 3-1 on aggregate to Ludogorets to drop to the Europa League. The Whites defeated Shelbourne 4-3 on aggregate in the last round thanks to a 3-1 victory in the return leg on the road. Rijeka are coming off a 2-0 home loss to Dinamo Zagreb.

PAOK are only making their third outing of the season. Razvan Lucescu’s men began their season in round three of these qualifiers, defeating Wolfsberger 1-0 over two legs.

They drew at home and looked destined for penalties, only for Mady Camara to secure victory in extra time in the return match. The Greek side is seeking to make the group/league stage of a UEFA tournament for the fourth time in the last five seasons.

PAOK defeated Rijeka over two legs in Conference League qualifying four seasons ago.

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HNK Rijeka v PAOK Thessaloniki Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
3.65 3.05 2.33
1xbet
3.37 2.96 2.43
Melbet
3.58 3.2 2.17
Betwinner
3.54 3.14 2.21
Bet365
3.3 2.9 2.38
Check all HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki odds

What is the prediction for the football match between HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki?

Our prediction for the HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki match is: under 2.5.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2025 between HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.42% for a win of HNK Rijeka against PAOK Thessaloniki with odds of 3.7 at BC Game.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki is 21.48% with odds of 3.2 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 43.11% chance ⭐ for a win of PAOK Thessaloniki vs HNK Rijeka with odds of 2.43 at 1xbet.

HNK Rijeka - PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction and Best Odds:

HNK Rijeka PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction Probability Odds
PAOK Thessaloniki wins 43.11% 2.43 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 55.03% 2.4 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score 57.14%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: PAOK Thessaloniki 18.7% 5.25 at LSbet

HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Form

HNK Rijeka and PAOK Thessaloniki Last Matches

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka Last matches
L W L D W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
0 :  2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

12 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  3
HNK Rijeka

9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Osijek
0 :  0
HNK Rijeka

6 Aug 2025 - Europa League

HNK Rijeka
1 :  2
Shelbourne Dublin

3 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets
3 :  1
HNK Rijeka
W L D W L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
0 :  2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

6 Aug 2025 - Europa League

HNK Rijeka
1 :  2
Shelbourne Dublin

3 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Rijeka
2 :  0
NK Slaven Belupo

22 Jul 2025 - Champions League

HNK Rijeka
0 :  0
Ludogorets

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
0 :  1
Goztepe Izmir

13 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

HNK Rijeka
2 :  1
Bravo Ljubljana
W D L L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Shelbourne Dublin
1 :  3
HNK Rijeka

9 Aug 2025 - Prva HNL

NK Osijek
0 :  0
HNK Rijeka

30 Jul 2025 - Champions League

Ludogorets
3 :  1
HNK Rijeka

18 May 2025 - Prva HNL

Hajduk Split
2 :  1
HNK Rijeka

14 May 2025 - Croatia Cup

NK Slaven Belupo
1 :  1
HNK Rijeka

10 May 2025 - Prva HNL

HNK Sibenik
0 :  1
HNK Rijeka
PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki Last matches
L D W W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Wolfsberger
0 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

PAOK Thessaloniki
0 :  0
Wolfsberger

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  3
PAOK Thessaloniki

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Apollon Limassol

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Go Ahead Eagles
3 :  3
PAOK Thessaloniki

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki
W W W W W D
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Aug 2025 - Europa League

PAOK Thessaloniki
0 :  0
Wolfsberger

23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

PAOK Thessaloniki
3 :  1
Apollon Limassol

11 May 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
1 :  0
AEK Athens

27 Apr 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  1
Panathinaikos Athens

6 Apr 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  1
Olympiacos

2 Mar 2025 - Superleague

PAOK Thessaloniki
2 :  0
Asteras Tripolis
L L L D W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

14 Aug 2025 - Europa League

Wolfsberger
0 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  3
PAOK Thessaloniki

19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Go Ahead Eagles
3 :  3
PAOK Thessaloniki

16 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

4 May 2025 - Superleague

Olympiacos
4 :  2
PAOK Thessaloniki

13 Apr 2025 - Superleague

Panathinaikos Athens
3 :  1
PAOK Thessaloniki

HNK Rijeka against PAOK Thessaloniki Lineups: Starting 11

HNK Rijeka

Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1

13
M. Zlomislic
23
J. Lasickas
45
A. Majstorovic
6
S. Radeljic
34
M. Devetak
8
D. Petrovic
4
N. Jankovic
26
T. Dantas
20
M. Ndockyt
17
L. Menalo
10
T. Fruk
9
F. Chalov
65
G. Konstantelias
18
L. Ivanusec
14
A. Zivkovic
8
S. Meite
27
M. Ozdoev
21
B. Rahman
5
G. Michailidis
16
T. Kedziora
3
J. Kenny
1
J. Pavlenka

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

PAOK Thessaloniki

Substitutes

HNK Rijeka
HNK Rijeka
Goalkeeper

A. Todorovic

Defender

A. Husic

L. Kitin

S. Butic

M. Ndockyt 75'

Midfielder

S. Ilinkovic

T. Dantas 75'

D. Kreilach

A. Gojak

Forward

D. Thaqi

B. Bogojevic

T. Fruk 85'

G. Rukavina

A. Juric

D. Cop

L. Menalo 62'

PAOK Thessaloniki
PAOK Thessaloniki
Goalkeeper

L. Gugeshashvili

A. Tsiftsis

Defender

G. Taylor

D. Bataoulas

J. Sastre

J. Kenny 60'

D. Lovren

Midfielder

M. Camara

M. Ozdoev 60'

D. Tsopouroglou

Forward

A. Mythou

F. Chalov 75'

G. Giakoumakis

K. Despodov

D. Chatsidis

L. Ivanusec 60'

HNK Rijeka - PAOK Thessaloniki Key Points

  1. PAOK have scored one goal in two Europa League qualifiers.
  2. Rijeka have scored just one goal in two home games in Europe.
  3. Rijeka have failed to score in two of their last three fixtures.
  4. Both of PAOK’s two matches in Europe have seen them keep a clean sheet.
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Our HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction

Rijeka have blown hot and cold so far in Europe, and aren’t the favourites to win here. They have struggled on the offensive end, scoring just one goal at home in the competition. This lack of potency has transferred to their domestic campaign, with the hosts failing to score in back-to-back league games.

PAOK, on the other hand, have looked sharp in defence and are yet to concede this season. Mixing this rigidity in defence with Rijeka’s bluntness, we could see a low-scoring outcome here. Our prediction for HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Salonica is for under 2.5.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis HNK Rijeka PAOK Thessaloniki

HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
HNK Rijeka wins 2.78 3.7 +33.1%
Draw 3.2 3.2 0%
PAOK Thessaloniki wins 2.64 2.43 -8.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • PAOK Thessaloniki is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 37.9% and is now 41.2% (3.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

HNK Rijeka vs PAOK Thessaloniki Prediction