Greece vs Italy Prediction & Betting Tips - International Friendlies

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International - International Friendlies

Greece
07/06/2026 15:00
Italy

Prediction :

 

Italy wins

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Football Predictions

Both Greece and Italy, who failed to qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup, will clash at Pankritio Stadium in what is their final international friendly game ahead of the Nations League in September. The home team have struggled for decent results, going four games without a win, and this leads us to favour an away win as our prediction.

Greece had it tough in the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers. They finished in third place with seven points in Group C and were four points behind securing a playoff spot.

Coming into this clash, their performance has left much to be desired for a side fine-tuning preparations for the Nations League campaign in September.

A 2-2 draw last time out against Sweden in an international friendly may appear as a decent result. Still, it worsened the National's struggles, extending their winless run to four matches across all competitions.

Italy, meanwhile, secured the promotion play-off spot in Group I of the FIFA World Cup European qualifiers and were a massive six points behind first-placed Norway.

Azzuri had no trouble easing past Northern Ireland in the play-off semi-finals before a shock 4-1 defeat on penalties against Bosnia & Herzegovina in the final. This ended their hopes of reaching the finals for the third successive time.

Heading into this clash, their recent match was an international friendly against Luxembourg, which they won 1-0 on the road.

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Greece v Italy Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.32 3.2 2.8
Melbet
2.67 3.3 2.66
Betwinner
2.89 3.32 2.47
Bet365
2.75 3.3 2.5
Roobet
2.66 3.25 2.62
Check all Greece vs Italy odds

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What is the prediction for the football match between Greece and Italy?

Our prediction for the Greece vs Italy match is: Italy wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/06/2026 between Greece and Italy in International Friendlies :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.93% for a win of Greece against Italy with odds of 2.89 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Greece vs Italy is 15.66% with odds of 3.55 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 49.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Greece with odds of 3.08 at 888Starz.

Greece - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:

Greece Italy Prediction Probability Odds
Italy wins 49.41% 3.08 at 888Starz
Over 2.5 goals 60% 2.23 at Betwinner
Both Team To Score: No 58.33%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Italy 24.11% 7.25 at LSbet

Greece vs Italy Form

Greece and Italy Last Matches

Greece
Greece Last matches
L W D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Greece
3 :  2
Scotland

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
3 :  1
Greece
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

27 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Greece
0 :  1
Paraguay

15 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Greece
3 :  2
Scotland

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
0 :  3
Denmark

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Greece
5 :  1
Belarus

10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  0
Bulgaria

7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies

Greece
4 :  1
Slovakia
W L L D D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Sweden
2 :  2
Greece

31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies

Hungary
0 :  0
Greece

18 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Belarus
0 :  0
Greece

12 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Denmark
3 :  1
Greece

9 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Scotland
3 :  1
Greece

23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Scotland
0 :  3
Greece
Italy
Italy Last matches
W W L W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Italy

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel
L W W W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Northern Ireland

16 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Italy
1 :  4
Norway

14 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Italy
3 :  0
Israel

5 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Italy
5 :  0
Estonia

9 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Italy
2 :  0
Moldova

20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  2
Germany
L W W W D W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

3 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies

Luxembourg
0 :  1
Italy

31 Mar 2026 - World Cup

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  1
Italy

13 Nov 2025 - World Cup

Moldova
0 :  2
Italy

11 Oct 2025 - World Cup

Estonia
1 :  3
Italy

8 Sept 2025 - World Cup

Israel
4 :  5
Italy

6 Jun 2025 - World Cup

Norway
3 :  0
Italy

Greece vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Greece

0 %

Draw

0 %

Italy

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
2.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

12 Oct 2019 - Euro

Italy
2 :  0
Greece

8 Jun 2019 - Euro

Greece
0 :  3
Italy
Greece vs Italy Prediction

Players list

Greece
Greece
Goalkeeper

O. Vlachodimos

Defender

N. Triantis

P. Retsos

P. Chatzidiakos

G. Kyriakopoulos

K. Koulierakis

G. Vagiannidis

Midfielder

C. Mouzakitis

Forward

G. Masouras

A. Douvikas

C. Tzolis

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

G. Donnarumma

Defender

D. Bartesaghi

H. Ahanor

P. Comuzzo

F. Chiarodia

Midfielder

L. Lipani

N. Pisilli

C. Ndour

Forward

L. Koleosho

F. Esposito

J. Ekhator

Substitutes

Greece
Greece
Goalkeeper

C. Mandas

K. Tzolakis

Defender

K. Kostoulas

A. Douvikas 88'

K. Mavropanos

K. Tsimikas

G. Kyriakopoulos 62'

A. Ntoi

L. Rota

K. Koulierakis 46'

Midfielder

S. Kontouris

T. Androutsos

N. Triantis 62'

C. Zafeiris

C. Mouzakitis 76'

D. Kourbelis

Forward

A. Tetteh

G. Vagiannidis 76'

V. Pavlidis

C. Tzolis 88'

A. Kyziridis

G. Masouras 62'

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

G. Daffara

L. Palmisani

Defender

F. Mane

H. Ahanor 46'

L. Reggiani

P. Comuzzo 55'

N. Fortini

Midfielder

C. Favasuli

S. Fini 74'

G. Faticanti

L. Koleosho 87'

M. Dagasso

L. Lipani 74'

T. Berti

Forward

A. Cacciamani

S. Fini

J. Ekhator 46'

S. Inacio

F. Camarda

F. Esposito 87'

Greece - Italy Key Points

  1. Greece are winless in their last four matches across all competitions.
  2. Italy have won two of their last three matches across all competitions.
  3. Greece have lost two of their last three home matches.
  4. Italy have won their last two meetings with Greece.
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Our Greece vs Italy Prediction

Greece have shown signs of vulnerability in their recent performances and doesn't appear to be a side that could cause trouble for the visiting team. They have gone four matches without a win and have lost two of their last three home games.

Italy have dominated this fixture in recent years and remains unbeaten in six meetings with Greece. Notably, they are riding a two-match winning streak and are in a good position to make it three wins in a row, having won two of their last three away matches. Our Greece vs Italy prediction: Italy wins.

Prediction :

 

Italy wins

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Greece Italy

Greece vs Italy Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Greece wins 2.41 2.89 +19.9%
Draw 3.46 3.55 +2.6%
Italy wins 2.88 3.08 +6.9%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Italy is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 6.9% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 34.7% and is now 32.5% (-2.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.