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by Daniel Ngulu | in World Cup Predictions
Gambia will extend their stay in Nairobi, where they are set to welcome Burundi for their 2026 World Cup qualification match. In the last round the two nations had contrasting outcomes, seeing Gambia rise to fourth as Burundi stayed third. Read on for our prediction.
Gambia secured their second win in the group last week after beating Kenya 3-1 in Nairobi. That came a little too late though, as John McKinstry’s side can’t make it to the top two.
It will be good for their momentum, though, as they head into this clash unbeaten in three. Gambia only suffered two defeats in their last 10 games.
Burundi claimed a 3-2 win over Gambia in their first meeting in this group and will be gunning for a double. However, they aren’t coming into this game in great shape.
The visitors are fresh from a 1-0 defeat to group leaders Ivory Coast. That marked a fifth loss for Burundi across their last eight matches. It was also the sixth time in those eight outings that they failed to score.
While the journey has ended for Gambia, Burundi still have some hope. They can finish second, but that’s not entirely in their hands. If Gabon avoid defeat in their clash with Ivory Coast, Burundi would be unable to finish at least second.
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The Best Betting Odds for Gambia v Burundi Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.62 | 3.7 | 6 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.6 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.67 | 3.75 | 5 |
|
|
1.66 | 3.68 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Gambia and Burundi?
Our prediction for the Gambia vs Burundi match is: both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2025 between Gambia and Burundi in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.81% for a win of Gambia against Burundi with odds of 1.7 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Gambia vs Burundi is 12.23% with odds of 3.75 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Burundi vs Gambia with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Gambia vs Burundi Form
Gambia and Burundi's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
|
4
|
7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Gambia and Burundi Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
8 Sep 2024 - AFCON
8 Jun 2024 - World Cup
23 Jan 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
18 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
4 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - AFCON
13 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
Gambia vs Burundi Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Gambia - Burundi Key Points
- Both sides scored in the only meeting between these two nations.
- Gambia’s last four outings produced 12 goals.
- Both sides scored in Gambia’s last three games.
- Half of Burundi’s last eight away matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Burundi failed to score in only four of their last 10 away matches.
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Our Gambia vs Burundi Prediction
Five of Burundi’s last 10 away outings ended in defeat. That will not be a great stat to start with, going into a game they need to win. It gets better though, seeing that they scored in six of their last 10 away matches, and they have the head-to-head advantage on Gambia.
However, Gambia will come into this clash in confident form, having downed Kenya last time out. The hosts are not doing so well defensively, failing to keep a clean sheet in the last four games, and their encounters have been high-scoring. Our prediction for Gambia v Burundi is for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Gambia vs. Burundi game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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