Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Europa League Predictions
Thursday is a massive night for German Bundesliga club Freiburg. TheBreisgau Brazilians are playing in their first ever European quarter-final. Can they get a home first leg win over Celta Vigo in the Europa League? Read our match prediction below.
Home form for Freiburg has been strong in Europe with an unbeaten run of eight matches. Their away record isn’t so hot and they will be only too aware that it is of vital importance they secure a good lead to take to Spain for the second leg. Current form is a bit of a concern for the Germans though.
The Sky Blues are in European competition for the first time since the 2016-17 season. They are former Europa League semi-finalists but aren’t in the best of form at present. You will read in the form section of this preview why they are probably still having nightmares over what happened in a recent La Liga game.
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Freiburg v Celta Vigo Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.23 | 3.25 | 3.65 |
|
|
2.18 | 3.24 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.16 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.2 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Freiburg and Celta Vigo?
Our prediction for the Freiburg vs Celta Vigo match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/04/2026 between Freiburg and Celta Vigo in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.51% for a win of Freiburg against Celta Vigo with odds of 2.29 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Freiburg vs Celta Vigo is 25.24% with odds of 3.32 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.25% chance ⭐ for a win of Celta Vigo vs Freiburg with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
Freiburg - Celta Vigo Prediction and Best Odds:
| Freiburg Celta Vigo Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Celta Vigo wins | 43.25% | 3.65 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.88% | 2.24 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 73.81% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Celta Vigo | 15.57% | 7.75 at LSbet |
Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Form
Freiburg and Celta Vigo Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Bundesliga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
1 Mar 2026 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
10 Feb 2026 - DFB Pokal
1 Feb 2026 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
6 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
22 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - LaLiga
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2026 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
14 Feb 2026 - LaLiga
Freiburg - Celta Vigo: Form Analysis
Freiburg finished seventh in the league phase. All four of their home fixtures were won with six goals scored and just one conceded. They are now unbeaten in their last eight home European fixtures.
The last 16 saw them defeat Belgian club Genk, winning the home leg 5-1 but losing 1-0 on the road.
The only way into European football?
They are eighth in the Bundesliga and 12 points adrift of the final European qualifying position. Winning the Europa League looks like their best chance of European football next season. Three of their last five league matches have been lost.
While seven home league games have been won by them this season, the last two have been lost but one was to leaders Bayern Munich. Five of their last eight matches have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
Celta Vigo were down in 16th in the league phase. They won three out of four at home but only earned four points from as many away fixtures. In the Knockout Play-off round, the Sky Blues beat Lyon 3-1 on aggregate.
Six of their last eight away European fixtures have seen both teams score.
They are sixth in La Liga and won 3-2 at Valencia in their most recent game. Before that, they had been beaten 4-3 at home by Alaves after going 3-0 up in 37 minutes. Both teams have scored in six of their last seven matches.
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Freiburg against Celta Vigo Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Muller
J. Huth
DefenderB. Ogbus
L. Kubler
C. Gunter
A. Jung
MidfielderR. Tarnutzer
N. Hofler
ForwardD. Scherhant
C. Irie
L. Holer
M. Philipp
I. Villar
DefenderY. Lago
C. Dominguez
A. Nunez
M. Fernandez
MidfielderA. Antanon
J. El-Abdellaoui
M. Vecino
P. Duran
F. Lopez
F. Cervi
I. Aspas
Missing players
M. Rosenfelder
MidfielderD. Kyereh
P. Osterhage
C. Starfelt
J. Rueda
MidfielderH. Alvarez Antunez
M. Roman Gonzalez
Freiburg & Celta Vigo Squad Analysis
It's the biggest night in Freiburg's history and getting a lead to take to Celta Vigo for the second leg is their main target. Home form has been strong in this season's Europa League and they don't want that proud fact to bite the dust on Thursday.
They have only conceded two goals in five home European games this season but will be fully aware of the goalscoring threat that their opponents possess. Freiburg conceded three goals at home against Bayern Munich on Saturday.
Matanovic will make his return.
Injury doubts for this game include Patrick Osterhage, Lucas Holer and Jordy Makengo who were both injured at the weekend. Not playing at the weekend was top scorer Igor Matanovic and he'll be back for this vital Europa League game.
Celta Vigo will be without right-back Javi Reuda on Thursday. He may be a defender but scored in their 2-0 win at Lyon in the last 16. He'll be missing through suspension and also absent will be midfielder Miguel Roman
Most goals and assists
Freiburg
Celta Vigo
V. Grifo
(5 Goals)
W. Swedberg
(5 Goals)
V. Grifo
(4 Assists)
I. Aspas
(3 Assists)
Freiburg - Celta Vigo Key Points
- Both teams have scored in five of the last eight Freiburg matches.
- Six of the last eight away European games played by Celta Vigo have seen both teams score.
- In Freiburg home games, five of the last seven games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Of Celta Vigo’s last seven games, six saw both teams score.
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Our Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Prediction
A dull match does not look likely on Thursday. Celta Vigo only won one away game in the league phase but have won at PAOK and Lyon in the knockout stages. Each of their last 13 away European fixtures has seen them score.
Freiburg have won all five of their home games in this season’s Europa League as they make it to their first European quarter-final. This is a big challenge for them and our main Freiburg v Celta Vigo prediction is BTTS.
Freiburg vs Celta Vigo Alternative Predictions
Freiburg wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Freiburg Celta Vigo
| Freiburg vs Celta Vigo | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins | 2.49 | 2.29 | -8.0% |
| Draw | 3.66 | 3.32 | -9.3% |
| Celta Vigo wins | 2.94 | 3.65 | +24.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Celta Vigo is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 24.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 34.0% and is now 27.4% (-6.6%)
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Freiburg vs Celta Vigo - FAQs
Freiburg’s Europa League game against Celta Vigo will take place on Thursday April 9 with a 20:00 UK time kick-off.
Celta Vigo will head to the for this Europa League match. It's being played at the Europa Park Stadium in Freiburg, Germany.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
