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by Steve Ashfield in World Cup Predictions
France are in the driving seat at the top of World Cup Qualifying Group D. With two games to play, France top the group, three points ahead of visitors Ukraine. Can Les Bleus clinch their place in next year's finals? Read our match prediction below.
It's all going well for France in this group. They remain unbeaten and will be in the play-offs but will want to finish top of the group and automatically qualify for the finals in North America next summer. With a three point lead and having already beaten Ukraine on their travels, France are on their way to the finals. Even if they were to lose this game, their final group fixture is away at bottom-side Azerbaijan next week.
Ukraine have the handicap of still not being able to play their home fixtures in their own country. They are second in the group, three points ahead of third placed Iceland who they 'host' in Poland in their final game. Even if they lose here, Ukraine should retain their hopes of qualifying for the first time since 2006.
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The Best Betting Odds for France v Ukraine Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.17 | 7 | 15 |
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1.18 | 7 | 19 |
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1.18 | 6 | 15 |
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1.17 | 6 | 13 |
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1.16 | 7 | 15 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between France and Ukraine?
Our prediction for the France vs Ukraine match is: France wins and leads at half and full time.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/11/2025 between France and Ukraine in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.33% for a win of France against Ukraine with odds of 1.19 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between France vs Ukraine is 19.3% with odds of 7.5 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 24.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Ukraine vs France with odds of 19 at Betfred.
France vs Ukraine Form
France and Ukraine's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
|
2
|
7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
France and Ukraine Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
8 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
France vs Ukraine Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2021 - World Cup
24 Mar 2021 - World Cup
7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies
France - Ukraine: Form Analysis
France have won three of their four games in this group. Their first three matches all ended in victory and their campaign began with a vital 2-0 away win against Ukraine with a goal in each half.
Wins against Iceland (after trailing) and Azerbaijan followed. Their winning run ended when being held to a 2-2 draw in Iceland, a game in which they both trailed and led. France are unbeaten in their last five matches since being beaten by Spain in the Nations League.
Ukraine made a poor start to this group.
Ukraine have it all to do if they want to win this group and automatically qualify for the finals. They are in second place, three points adrift of France. They have been playing catch-up ever since losing to France in their opening group fixture.
An away draw in Azerbaijan (after leading) hurt them even more before wins over Iceland and Azerbaijan. They will need to tighten up at the back as four goals have been conceded in their last two fixtures. Only three of their last seven games have been won.
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France vs Ukraine last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Missing players
A. Rabiot
O. Zinchenko
France & Ukraine Squad Analysis
France have some injury problems ahead of this qualifier against Ukraine. Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue are both going to be missing for the home side. A further blow came when Randal Kolo Muani was injured playing for Tottenham.
Kante makes his return for France.
The injuries mean a recall for N'Golo Kante who helped France win the World Cup seven years ago. He's been showing impressive form in Saudi Arabia for Al-Ittihad. Rayan Cherki has also been impressing for Manchester City in recent weeks as had Crystal Palace striker Jean-Philippe Mateta.
France will have Kylian Mbappe fit for this game and he scored in the first three games that Les Bleus played in this group.
Ukraine will be without Artem Dovbyk for this trip to Paris. He injured his hip at the weekend playing for Roma in Serie A.
Also missing for the visitors will be Volodymyr Brazhko. Ukraine's qualification hopes won't end if they fail to win this game but will want a good display ahead of their final game against Iceland..
Most goals and assists
France - Ukraine Key Points
- France are unbeaten in their last five games against Ukraine.
- In 13 previous meetings, Ukraine have only beaten France once.
- Ukraine have only won two of their four group games.
- France are unbeaten in their last four matches.
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Our France vs Ukraine Prediction
France are on their way to North America and everything is in their favor in this group. A three-point lead over Ukraine makes France the hot favorites to win this group. A win over Ukraine will ensure that they won't need to go into the play-offs.
A win for Ukraine would shake this group up but at present they are five behind France in terms of goal difference. Just one point from their first two group games and conceding seven goals hasn't helped them. Our main France v Ukraine prediction is France wins and leads at half and full time.
France vs Ukraine - Other Interesting Predictions
Kylian Mbappe to score
Get up to €100 to bet on the France vs. Ukraine game

You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between France and Ukraine when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on World Cup!
France vs Ukraine match : Frequently asked questions
This World Cup qualifying match between France and Ukraine is being played on Thursday November 13. It is due to kick-off at 19:45 UK time.
France is the host nation in this World Cup qualifying match against Ukraine. The game will be played at the Parc de Princes in Paris.
To watch this game live in the UK you need to subscribe to Sports. If you go to our football livescore, you will be able to read updated statistics and live text commentary which will help you with your in-play wagers.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.