Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
Inter Milan travel to Fiorentina this weekend looking to maintain their Serie A title push. They enter the weekend still top of the standings and with a 40-point advantage on their hosts, who are 16th. Read on to find our prediction for this match.
Fiorentina are witnessing a change in fortunes and will come into this match confident of victory. The hosts were able to advance to the UEFA Conference League quarter-finals in midweek at the expense of Rakow.
They won both legs of their round of 16 tie with the Polish side, with the second leg in Poland this week ending 2-1. Unbeaten in four games, Fiore have won their last three matches with a 4-1 hammering of Cremonese sandwiched between the Rakow matches.
That win over their fellow league strugglers saw the Viola move four points clear of the relegation zone.
It is unusual to see Inter not involved in Europe at this stage of the season. They were ousted from the Champions League last month, and now their focus is only on the league and Coppa Italia.
Since their elimination from Europe, the Nerrazzuri have been a pale shadow of themselves. They have won just one of their last four and have seen their blistering pace to the league title reduced.
Christian Chivu’s men were held to a 1-1 draw by Atalanta last time out, with that result following a 1-0 loss to rivals Milan. They now sit eight points ahead of their city rivals with nine games to play.
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Fiorentina v Inter Milan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5.4 | 4.3 | 1.65 |
|
|
5.1 | 4.08 | 1.63 |
|
|
5.35 | 4.18 | 1.6 |
|
|
5.25 | 4.2 | 1.62 |
|
|
5.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Inter Milan?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Inter Milan match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/03/2026 between Fiorentina and Inter Milan in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.12% for a win of Fiorentina against Inter Milan with odds of 5.6 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Inter Milan is 21.43% with odds of 4.3 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Inter Milan vs Fiorentina with odds of 1.69 at 888Starz.
Fiorentina - Inter Milan Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Inter Milan Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Inter Milan wins | 48.45% | 1.69 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.31% | 1.93 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 57.92% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Inter Milan | 22.85% | 4.6 at LSbet |
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Form
Fiorentina and Inter Milan's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
87 | 38 | 27 | 6 | 5 | +54 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
Fiorentina and Inter Milan Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Conference League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
7 Feb 2026 - Serie A
27 Jan 2026 - Coppa Italia
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
16 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Conference League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
31 Jan 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
28 Feb 2026 - Serie A
24 Feb 2026 - Champions League
14 Feb 2026 - Serie A
4 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
23 Jan 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
3 Mar 2026 - Coppa Italia
21 Feb 2026 - Serie A
18 Feb 2026 - Champions League
8 Feb 2026 - Serie A
1 Feb 2026 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Oct 2025 - Serie A
10 Feb 2025 - Serie A
1 Dec 2024 - Serie A
28 Jan 2024 - Serie A
3 Sept 2023 - Serie A
24 May 2023 - Coppa Italia
Fiorentina against Inter Milan Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Substitutes
O. Christensen
P. Leonardelli
DefenderP. Comuzzo
E. Kouadio
D. Rugani
L. Balbo
MidfielderG. Fabbian
J. Fazzini
J. Harrison
R. Piccoli
R. Di Gennaro
J. Martinez
DefenderY. Maye
M. Darmian
S. De Vrij
F. Acerbi
A. Diouf
D. Frattesi
P. Sucic
A. Bonny
Luis Henrique
M. Spinacce
Missing players
L. Lezzerini
DefenderN. Fortini
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Inter Milan
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
L. Martinez
(17 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
F. Dimarco
(17 Assists)
Fiorentina - Inter Milan Key Points
- Six of Fiorentina’s last 10 games have seen both teams score.
- Inter have conceded in six of their last 10 outings.
- Inter have scored 65 goals in the league so far.
- Fiorentina have scored eight goals in their last three fixtures.
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Our Fiorentina vs Inter Milan Prediction
Our prediction for Fiorentina v Inter Milan is for BTTS. Inter are struggling at the moment and will want to get back to winning ways and continue with their title charge. As the league’s most potent side, the visitors should be able to find a way past a porous Fiore backline.
The hosts, sensing blood after their visitors’ recent struggles, will fancy their chances here. They have been in great form and arrive for this tie having won three games in a row.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Inter Milan
| Fiorentina vs Inter Milan | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 4.8 | 5.6 | +16.7% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.3 | +10.3% |
| Inter Milan wins | 1.65 | 1.69 | +2.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Inter Milan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 2.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 60.6% and is now 59.2% (-1.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
