Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A
Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Serie A Predictions
It has been a disappointing season for Atalanta and Fiorentina, both in Serie A and Europe. The two will meet on the final day, hoping to sign off on a high. Atalanta will wrap up the season in seventh place, and Fiorentina are seven points above the drop zone. Inconsistent runs have seen neither team manage more than six points in their last five league games, and a prediction for a draw could pass here.
Fiorentina have in the past few rounds blown hot and cold. We were never sure which side would turn up, but they warmed up for this game with a 2-0 away win at Juventus.
That was their ninth victory in the league, having earlier drawn 14 and lost as many.
Atalanta will be playing in the Conference League next season, a massive drop, having been in the Champions League this season. That is the depiction of their campaign in 2025/26.
Their final home game of the season didn’t have much to celebrate as home fans endured a 1-0 defeat against Bologna. Having beaten Bologna 2-0 in the first meeting this season, though, means they will finish ahead of them.
La Dea have managed just one win in the last seven matches in all competitions. It hasn’t been any better on the road with just two wins (3D, 4L) in their last nine outings.
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Fiorentina v Atalanta Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.85 | 3.55 | 2.48 |
|
|
2.89 | 3.44 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.82 | 3.48 | 2.43 |
|
|
2.88 | 3.5 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.84 | 3.45 | 2.38 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fiorentina and Atalanta?
Our prediction for the Fiorentina vs Atalanta match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 22/05/2026 between Fiorentina and Atalanta in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.23% for a win of Fiorentina against Atalanta with odds of 2.95 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fiorentina vs Atalanta is 35.72% with odds of 3.62 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Atalanta vs Fiorentina with odds of 2.52 at 888Starz.
Fiorentina - Atalanta Prediction and Best Odds:
| Fiorentina Atalanta Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 39.23% | 2.95 at Tonybet |
| Under 2.5 | 51.29% | 2.26 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Fiorentina | 16.86% | 7.5 at LSbet |
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Form
Fiorentina and Atalanta's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | +15 |
|
15
|
42 | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | -9 |
Fiorentina and Atalanta Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Serie A
10 May 2026 - Serie A
4 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
26 Apr 2026 - Serie A
16 Apr 2026 - Conference League
13 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Conference League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Serie A
4 May 2026 - Serie A
20 Apr 2026 - Serie A
9 Apr 2026 - Conference League
4 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Conference League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Serie A
10 May 2026 - Serie A
2 May 2026 - Serie A
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 May 2026 - Serie A
2 May 2026 - Serie A
22 Apr 2026 - Coppa Italia
11 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
10 Mar 2026 - Champions League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2026 - Serie A
27 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Apr 2026 - Serie A
6 Apr 2026 - Serie A
18 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Serie A
Fiorentina vs Atalanta Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Sept 2024 - Serie A
2 Jun 2024 - Serie A
24 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
3 Apr 2024 - Coppa Italia
Fiorentina against Atalanta Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
L. Lezzerini
D. De Gea
DefenderL. Balbo
N. Fortini
M. Pongracic
N. Fagioli
C. Ndour
M. Solomon
R. Braschi
G. Puzzoli
M. Carnesecchi
F. Rossi
DefenderM. Bakker
R. Obric
S. Kolasinac
B. Djimsiti
D. Zappacosta
E. Silva
N. Zalewski
ForwardN. Krstovic
C. De Ketelaere
D. Vavassori
G. Scamacca
Missing players
L. Ranieri
F. Parisi
MidfielderJ. Fazzini
ForwardM. Kean
O. Kossounou
L. Bernasconi
Most goals and assists
Fiorentina
Atalanta
M. Kean
(8 Goals)
G. Scamacca
(10 Goals)
, 
N. Krstovic
(10 Goals)
A. Gudmundsson
(4 Assists)
N. Krstovic
(5 Assists)
, 
N. Zalewski
(5 Assists)
, 
C. De Ketelaere
(5 Assists)
Fiorentina - Atalanta Key Points
- Fiorentina have drawn 14 times this season.
- Atalanta have drawn 13 times in Serie A so far.
- Atalanta have managed just one win in their last seven outings.
- At home Fiorentina are unbeaten in five league games, drawing four.
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Our Fiorentina vs Atalanta Prediction
With a combined 27 draws in Serie A and 24 wins, neither of these sides can say they’ve had a great season domestically. Fiorentina actually drew more matches than they won, and survival was a major achievement even as they’ll miss out on Europe.
There isn’t much more to play for ahead of this match apart from Fiorentina looking to leap higher than 15th. That could be slowed down by a hone unbeaten run of five games which has just one win. Our prediction for Fiorentina v Atalanta is a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Fiorentina Atalanta
| Fiorentina vs Atalanta | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina wins | 2.85 | 2.95 | +3.5% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.62 | +2.0% |
| Atalanta wins | 2.44 | 2.52 | +3.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fiorentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.1% and is now 33.9% (-1.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
