Europe - Champions League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Champions League Predictions
Fenerbahce have a date with destiny when they take on Benfica in the playoff round of the Champions League qualifiers. The Turkish giants are looking to end a 16-year wait for a main draw slot in the Champions League. A tough run of two matches against Benfica stands in the way, and below we have the match preview and a prediction.
Fenerbahce have had near misses at this stage in recent years and will be looking to make it count this time. Last season their Champions League experience ended at the third qualifying round. Their opponents, Benfica, are more experienced in the competition.
Last season the Portuguese side, two-time champions of Europe, reached the Round of 16. The visitors reached at least the group stage/league phase in each of the last four seasons and five of the past six campaigns. Can they extend the trend, or will Fenerbahce pull the rug out from under their feet? Read on for our overview.
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The Best Betting Odds for Fenerbahce Istanbul v Benfica Lisbon Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.55 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
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|
2.6 | 3.5 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.5 | 3.4 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.75 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Benfica Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon match is: Benfica wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/08/2025 between Fenerbahce Istanbul and Benfica Lisbon in Champions League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.13% for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul against Benfica Lisbon with odds of 2.61 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon is 20.15% with odds of 3.75 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Benfica Lisbon vs Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 2.6 at Bet365.
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon Form
Fenerbahce Istanbul and Benfica Lisbon Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 May 2025 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Super Lig
9 May 2025 - Super Lig
26 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
24 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
20 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
25 May 2025 - Taca de Portugal
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Liga Portugal
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
31 Jul 2025 - Portugal Super Cup
16 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
3 May 2025 - Liga Portugal
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
14 Aug 2018 - Champions League
7 Aug 2018 - Champions League
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Benfica Lisbon: Form Analysis
Fenerbahce takes the first leg of this tie at home and will be rightly motivated after turning around their third-round tie against Feyenoord. The Turkish giants lost 2-1 away to Feyenoord and fell behind in the return leg at home.
However, Jose Mourinho’s side switched gears to shock the Dutch side 5-2 on the night and 6-4 on aggregate. There was a sense of anticlimax, though, in the way they started their domestic campaign.
Fener played to an ill-tempered 0-0 draw with Goztepe. In the game, Anderson Talisca failed to convert a last-minute penalty.
Benfica are bidding for a Champions League main draw slot for the 15th time in 16 seasons.
Benfica have had a fast start to the season and will also seek to extend their dominant ways in this fixture. The Portuguese side is unbeaten in the last three meetings with Fenerbahce.
The last time they faced off was in this same competition, at the third qualifying round in 2018/19. Benfica progressed with a 2-1 win on aggregate. With four straight wins to open their season, they'll feel confident of claiming an away win here.
In the third qualifying round, they thrashed Nice 4-0 on aggregate with home and away wins. That was after beating Sporting 1-0 in the Portuguese Super Cup. Right ahead of this game, they beat Estrela 1-0 in a perfect start to the Primeira Liga.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Fenerbahce Istanbul & Benfica Lisbon Squad Analysis
Fenerbahce will be parading a richer squad list this season, as Jose Mourinho can count on, among others, loanee Jhon Duran. The Colombian had a massive impact against Feyenoord, scoring to give Fener the lead at home.
He, however, left the game injured but recovered in time for the league opener. Mourinho will hope he gets fully fit for this. Youssef En Nesyri is another key player Fenerbahce will be parading.
A seasoned campaigner in Europe, the Moroccan had his impact in the third round with a goal and assist. Meanwhile, Benfica will be facing their former player, Anderson Talisca, who also scored against Feyenoord.
Talisca will be looking to rise after missing a last-minute penalty against Goztepe.
On the other side, there will be a lot of hopes Benfica faithful will place on Fredrik Aursnes’ shoulders. The Norwegian was outstanding across the two legs as Benfica took on Nice in the third round.
He had three goal contributions in the four they netted against the French side, scoring once and assisting twice. Benfica are having a great season so far, with four clean sheets in as many matches.
In realizing such success, Nicolas Otamendi has been crucial with a number of man-of-the-match performances. This will be another game the experienced Argentine will be relied upon by the Portuguese side.
Most goals and assists
Fenerbahce Istanbul
Benfica Lisbon
V. Pavlidis
(1 Goals)
Fenerbahce Istanbul - Benfica Lisbon Key Points
- Fenerbahce are winless in three of their last four Champions League games.
- Fenerbahce failed to win in five of their last nine competitive home matches.
- Benfica are unbeaten in the last three meetings with Fenerbahce.
- Benfica are unbeaten in regular time in the last eight games.
- Benfica have four straight wins ahead of this match.
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Our Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon Prediction
In Fenerbahce’s last eight seasons taking part in the Champions League qualifiers, they failed to make it to the main draw. The last time they got to the group/league stage was 2008/09, and the possibility of missing out again lurks here too.
They haven't had a solid start to the season, and in this match, they face one of the top sides in Europe. Benfica are enjoying an unbeaten start to the season and are favorites to carry the day here. In the last round, they won home and away at Nice. Our prediction for Fenerbahce v Benfica is that Benfica wins the match.
Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon - Other Interesting Predictions
Benfica to keep a clean sheet.
Fenerbahce failed to score in their last match, yet they were facing a much weaker opponent than Benfica. The Turkish side even missed a penalty late in the match. Now they get to face one of the best defensive sides around, and it will be a tough outing even as they play at home.
Three of Benfica’s four matches so far have been away from home, and they kept clean sheets. Our second prediction here is for the visitors to keep a clean sheet.
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Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Benfica Lisbon match : Frequently asked questions
The Fenerbahce v Benfica game will be played at the Ulker Stadium in Istanbul.
The Fenerbahce v Benfica game will be played on Wednesday, 20th August.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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