Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction & Betting Tips - Japan Women's Open
WTA - Japan Women's Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
New world number one Elena Rybakina has no seeded players between her and the Toray Pan Pacific Open final. The top seed faces unseeded Leylah Fernandez in the last eight of this outdoor hard court tournament. Rybakina recently beat her in straight sets. Our prediction is another win for Rybakina in straight sets.
In the last four, the winner will play either qualifier Maya Joint or lucky loser Kamilla Rakhimova.
Her win over Yulia Putintseva in the last round meant that Rybakina has gone top of the rankings and will be there at the end of 2026.
This year has seen Rybakina has won four titles this year, two of them being Grand Slams. Her most recent title triumph was in her last tournament. That was in Ningbo and it was Fernandez who she beat in the final. Only one match has been played this week with just five games lost against Putintseva.
Rybakina leads Fernandez 4-2 in previous meetings, 3-2 on this surface.
Leylah Fernandez only won four games in her most recent match with Rybakina. These two players met in this tournament last year and again Rybakina won in straight sets.
Fernandez has had wins over Himeno Sakatsume and fifth seed Elise Mertens so far this week.
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Elena Rybakina - Leylah Fernandez Key Points
- Rybakina is the new world number one.
- Rybakina has won four titles in 2026, two of them on outdoor hard courts.
- Rybakina recently beat Fernandez, losing only four games.
- Rybakina leads Fernandez 3-2 on this surface and had a straight sets win over her in this tournament last year.
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Our Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez Prediction
It's already been a massive week for top seed Elena Rybakina. Her win in the last round has taken her to the top spot in the rankings. The last title won was in Ningbo earlier this month when she beat Fernandez in the final for the loss of only four games.
Leylah Fernandez is in good form after that final in Ningbo. That form has continued in Tokyo with a seeded player beaten in the last round. We expect a different story here. Our Elena Rybakina v Leylah Fernandez is Elena Rybakina wins in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
