Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Derby County
10/10/2026 10:00
Wrexham

Prediction :

 

Wrexham wins

 
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 by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions

Struggling Derby County face another stern test as they welcome Wrexham to Pride Park in Championship Round 9 fixture on Saturday. The Rams have dropped points in seven of their eight Championship matches this season and are likely to struggle against a Wrexham side that has made a stronger start to the campaign. This is why we are favoring the away team in our prediction. 

Far from their strong finish last season, Derby County appear set for a tough campaign in the Championship this term. The Rams needed Mohammed Fuseini's stoppage-time equalizer against Burnley to salvage a 1–1 draw and avert what would have been four consecutive defeats in the league before the international break. 

That result saw them drop points in seven of their eight league matches, leaving them already in the bottom three with relegation battle looming. They are also winless in their four home league matches, losing the last three. 

Wrexham edged visiting Southampton 2–1 in a feisty Round 8 clash before the international break. Keven Schlotterbeck's 89th-minute own goal proved decisive, securing all three points for the hosts. 

The Red Dragons have now avoided defeat in four of their last five Championship matches (W2, D2) and are unbeaten in three of their four away league fixtures.

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Derby County v Wrexham Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.65 3.25 2.55
1xbet
2.63 3.24 2.59
Melbet
2.63 3.24 2.59
Betwinner
2.63 3.24 2.59
22bet
2.65 3.25 2.56
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Wrexham?

Our prediction for the Derby County vs Wrexham match is: Wrexham wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Derby County and Wrexham in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.27% for a win of Derby County against Wrexham with odds of 2.77 at Shangrila.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Wrexham is 29.1% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
  • Our prediction model gives a 45.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Derby County with odds of 2.62 at Bet365.

Derby County vs Wrexham Form

Derby County and Wrexham's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
14 Wrexham
10 8 2 4 2 -3
22 Derby County
5 8 1 2 5 -7

Derby County and Wrexham Last Matches

Derby County
Derby County Last matches
L W L L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Birmingham

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
West Brom

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Birmingham

9 Sept 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  1
West Brom

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  3
Swansea

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Derby County
2 :  2
Cardiff

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Derby County
1 :  2
Lincoln City

28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Derby County
1 :  2
Valencia
L D L W L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
3 :  0
Derby County

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Portsmouth
0 :  2
Derby County

15 Aug 2026 - Championship

Charlton Athletic
2 :  1
Derby County

4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Rotherham
1 :  1
Derby County

1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burton Albion
1 :  0
Derby County
Wrexham
Wrexham Last matches
L W D D L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Southampton

11 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
6 :  0
Wrexham

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Burnley

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Wrexham

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Wrexham

28 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Birmingham
W D D L D W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Burnley

28 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  2
Birmingham

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford

2 May 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  2
Middlesbrough

18 Apr 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
2 :  0
Stoke
L L D W D L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Ham
6 :  0
Wrexham

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  0
Wrexham

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

Millwall
0 :  3
Wrexham

17 Aug 2026 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Wrexham

7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Middlesbrough
1 :  0
Wrexham

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Sunderland
1 :  0
Wrexham

Derby County vs Wrexham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Derby County

0 %

Draw

50 %

Wrexham

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
100%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
1.5
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Championship

Derby County
1 :  2
Wrexham

27 Sept 2025 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Derby County
Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction

Derby County vs Wrexham last Lineups

Derby County

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

31
J. Vickers
23
J. Ward
6
S. Langas
28
D. Sanderson
18
C. Taylor
8
B. Clark
4
D. Ozoh
20
A. Mowatt
26
R. Hedges
9
C. Morris
11
S. Szmodics
19
K. Moore
17
C. O`Hare
10
J. Windass
3
J. Ekomie
8
B. Whiteman
18
B. Sheaf
12
I. Kabore
2
C. Doyle
5
D. Hyam
26
Z. Vyner
22
A. Patterson

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Wrexham

Substitutes

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

R. O'Donnell

Defender

R. Offor

M. Johnston

Midfielder

O. Fraulo

L. Travis

Forward

M. Fuseini

L. Salvesen

C. Blackett-Taylor

R. Brewster

Wrexham
Wrexham
Goalkeeper

D. Ward

Defender

J. Worrall

A. James

Midfielder

M. James

G. Dobson

L. O'Brien

Forward

S. Smith

R. Longman

B. Cadamarteri

Missing players

Derby County
Derby County
Goalkeeper

J. Widell Zetterstrom

Defender

C. Forsyth

C. Taylor

M. Clarke

D. Murkin

Forward

P. Agyemang

Wrexham
Wrexham
Defender

L. Cacace

M. Cleworth

S. Revan

Midfielder

B. Sheaf

G. Thomason

Forward

N. Broadhead

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Derby County
CD Huachipato Wrexham
Top Goalscorer
Rep. of Ireland S. Szmodics (2 Goals) , 
England B. Clark (2 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales K. Moore (3 Goals)
Best assists
England B. Clark (2 Assists)
Best assists
England D. Imray (2 Assists)

Derby County and Wrexham Stats in Championship

Derby County
Derby County
Wrexham
Wrexham
13%
Wins
25%
63%
Losses
25%
25%
Draws
50%
2.63
Average goals per match
2.63
0.88
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.75
Goals conceded per match
1.5
38%
Under 2.5 goals
50%
63%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
13%
No goals conceded
25%
50%
BTTS
63%

Derby County - Wrexham Key Points

  1. Derby County have failed to win seven of their eight Championship matches this season.
  2. Derby County are winless in their four home league matches this season, losing the last three.
  3. Wrexham are unbeaten in three of their four Championship away matches this season.
  4. Wrexham have avoided defeat in four of their last five league matches.
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Our Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction

Another difficult outing appears to await Derby County on Saturday. They have picked up just one point from their last four Championship matches and head into this contest with the fewest home points so far, having collected just one.

Wrexham have been far more promising than their opponents. They headed into the break on the back of an impressive victory over Southampton and have been competitive throughout. With Derby County yet to snap their dismal start, our Derby County vs Wrexham prediction is Wrexham wins.

Prediction :

 

Wrexham wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.