Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
England - Championship
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Championship Predictions
Struggling Derby County face another stern test as they welcome Wrexham to Pride Park in Championship Round 9 fixture on Saturday. The Rams have dropped points in seven of their eight Championship matches this season and are likely to struggle against a Wrexham side that has made a stronger start to the campaign. This is why we are favoring the away team in our prediction.
Far from their strong finish last season, Derby County appear set for a tough campaign in the Championship this term. The Rams needed Mohammed Fuseini's stoppage-time equalizer against Burnley to salvage a 1–1 draw and avert what would have been four consecutive defeats in the league before the international break.
That result saw them drop points in seven of their eight league matches, leaving them already in the bottom three with relegation battle looming. They are also winless in their four home league matches, losing the last three.
Wrexham edged visiting Southampton 2–1 in a feisty Round 8 clash before the international break. Keven Schlotterbeck's 89th-minute own goal proved decisive, securing all three points for the hosts.
The Red Dragons have now avoided defeat in four of their last five Championship matches (W2, D2) and are unbeaten in three of their four away league fixtures.
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Derby County v Wrexham Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.65 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
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2.63 | 3.24 | 2.59 |
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2.63 | 3.24 | 2.59 |
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2.63 | 3.24 | 2.59 |
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2.65 | 3.25 | 2.56 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Derby County and Wrexham?
Our prediction for the Derby County vs Wrexham match is: Wrexham wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Derby County and Wrexham in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.27% for a win of Derby County against Wrexham with odds of 2.77 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Derby County vs Wrexham is 29.1% with odds of 3.35 at Shangrila.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.63% chance ⭐ for a win of Wrexham vs Derby County with odds of 2.62 at Bet365.
Derby County vs Wrexham Form
Derby County and Wrexham's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -3 |
|
22
|
5 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -7 |
Derby County and Wrexham Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sept 2026 - Championship
9 Sept 2026 - Championship
29 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
1 Sept 2026 - Championship
15 Aug 2026 - Championship
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
11 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
28 Aug 2026 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Sept 2026 - Championship
8 Sept 2026 - Championship
28 Aug 2026 - Championship
22 Aug 2026 - Championship
2 May 2026 - Championship
18 Apr 2026 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Sept 2026 - Championship
5 Sept 2026 - Championship
2 Sept 2026 - Championship
17 Aug 2026 - Championship
7 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup
2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
Derby County vs Wrexham Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Championship
27 Sept 2025 - Championship
Derby County vs Wrexham last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
R. O'Donnell
DefenderR. Offor
M. Johnston
MidfielderO. Fraulo
L. Travis
ForwardM. Fuseini
L. Salvesen
C. Blackett-Taylor
R. Brewster
D. Ward
DefenderJ. Worrall
A. James
MidfielderM. James
G. Dobson
L. O'Brien
ForwardS. Smith
R. Longman
B. Cadamarteri
Missing players
J. Widell Zetterstrom
DefenderC. Forsyth
C. Taylor
M. Clarke
D. Murkin
ForwardP. Agyemang
L. Cacace
M. Cleworth
S. Revan
MidfielderB. Sheaf
G. Thomason
ForwardN. Broadhead
Most goals and assists
Derby County and Wrexham Stats in Championship
Derby County - Wrexham Key Points
- Derby County have failed to win seven of their eight Championship matches this season.
- Derby County are winless in their four home league matches this season, losing the last three.
- Wrexham are unbeaten in three of their four Championship away matches this season.
- Wrexham have avoided defeat in four of their last five league matches.
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Our Derby County vs Wrexham Prediction
Another difficult outing appears to await Derby County on Saturday. They have picked up just one point from their last four Championship matches and head into this contest with the fewest home points so far, having collected just one.
Wrexham have been far more promising than their opponents. They headed into the break on the back of an impressive victory over Southampton and have been competitive throughout. With Derby County yet to snap their dismal start, our Derby County vs Wrexham prediction is Wrexham wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.