Watford vs Burnley Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Watford
10/10/2026 09:00
Burnley

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Championship Predictions

Matchday nine in the EFL Championship sees Watford take on Burnley at Vicarage Road. Neither side has been in promising form heading into this clash, but with the visitors seeing both teams score in each of their last eight league games, our prediction is for both teams to find the net.

Watford went into the international break on the back of two consecutive league defeats against Stoke City (2-1) and Bristol City (1-0). 

Things are even worse when looking at the bigger picture, as they have won once in their last seven games. There is reason to believe a turnaround could be just around the corner given their promising run at Vicarage Road this season.

The Hornets were on a three-match unbeaten league run at this venue (W2, D1) before their latest defeat to Stoke City. This should give them reason to be optimistic about a response.

Burnley, meanwhile, are the only team in the Championship this season that has yet to record a win. Nicky Hayen's men are winless in eight games and are anchored at the bottom of the table with four points.

The Clarets played out a 1-1 home draw against Derby County before the international break. It was their third draw in five league games.

Away from home, their form has been erratic with three losses in four outings, suggesting they could struggle again.

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Watford v Burnley Best Betting Odds

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3 3.45 2.22
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2.97 3.46 2.25
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2.97 3.46 2.25
Betwinner
2.97 3.46 2.25
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2.97 3.46 2.25
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Burnley?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Burnley match is: BTTS.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2026 between Watford and Burnley in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.95% for a win of Watford against Burnley with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Burnley is 25.77% with odds of 3.5 at Betway.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.28% chance ⭐ for a win of Burnley vs Watford with odds of 2.32 at Shangrila.

Watford vs Burnley Form

Watford and Burnley's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
20 Watford
8 8 2 2 4 -3
24 Burnley
4 8 0 4 4 -8

Watford and Burnley Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D L L W L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Watford

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Stoke

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Preston North End

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham
W W L D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Stoke

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Preston North End

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
West Ham

25 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  5
Peterborough

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Watford
2 :  1
Southampton

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Watford
1 :  0
Crawley Town
L D D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

18 Sept 2026 - Championship

Bristol City
1 :  0
Watford

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

West Brom
1 :  0
Watford

1 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  0
Watford

22 Aug 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Watford

14 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Barnet
2 :  2
Watford

11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
2 :  1
Watford
Burnley
Burnley Last matches
L D L D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
100% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Burnley

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Burnley

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  2
Bristol City

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Burnley
L D D D L D
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

19 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Derby County

5 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  2
Bristol City

2 Sept 2026 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Middlesbrough

16 Aug 2026 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  2
West Ham

8 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Burnley
1 :  1
Notts County

2 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Burnley
0 :  1
Torino FC
L L D L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

12 Sept 2026 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  1
Burnley

8 Sept 2026 - Championship

Wrexham
1 :  1
Burnley

29 Aug 2026 - Championship

Norwich
4 :  1
Burnley

26 Aug 2026 - Carabao Cup

Bradford City FC
0 :  0
Burnley

23 Aug 2026 - Championship

West Brom
3 :  1
Burnley

26 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies

Ajax
2 :  1
Burnley

Watford vs Burnley Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

17 %

Draw

33 %

Burnley

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
66.67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored
1.17
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

18 Apr 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Burnley

21 Dec 2024 - Championship

Burnley
2 :  1
Watford

14 Feb 2023 - Championship

Burnley
1 :  1
Watford

12 Aug 2022 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Burnley

30 Apr 2022 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  2
Burnley

5 Feb 2022 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  0
Watford
Watford vs Burnley Prediction

Watford vs Burnley last Lineups

Watford

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

1
F. Ravaglia
29
B. Mlacic
6
M. Pollock
4
K. Keben
21
A. Nabizada
5
H. Kyprianou
39
E. Kayembe
11
R. Vata
17
I. Bravo
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
20
M. Doumbia
11
Z. Amdouni
7
J. Bruun Larsen
23
L. Pires
5
R. Hatate
29
J. Laurent
10
M. Edwards
44
Igor
3
M. Alleyne
15
A. Ahmedhodzic
14
C. Roberts
37
G. Coudert

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Burnley

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

S. Walker

D. Bachmann

Defender

J. Clarridge

A. Eames

Midfielder

N. Chikovani

J. Grieves

Forward

O. Maamma

S. Mavididi

M. Boadu

Burnley
Burnley
Goalkeeper

M. Weiss

Defender

K. Walker

H. Ekdal

O. Sonne

Midfielder

U. Raghouber

Forward

J. Vardy

L. Ramazani

A. Broja

A. Hountondji

Missing players

Watford
Watford
Defender

M. Bola

J. Zemura

J. Ngakia

Midfielder

E. Bove

Forward

K. Baah

Burnley
Burnley
Defender

J. Beyer

B. Humphreys

Midfielder

J. Cullen

Forward

A. Barnes

J. Banel

D. Satpaev

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Burnley
Top Goalscorer
Afghanistan A. Nabizada (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands Z. Flemming (2 Goals) ,  Switzerland Z. Amdouni (2 Goals)
Best assists
Germany O. Traore (1 Assists) , 
Spain I. Bravo (1 Assists) , 
Congo E. Kayembe (1 Assists)
Best assists
Denmark J. Bruun Larsen (1 Assists) , 
Switzerland Z. Amdouni (1 Assists) , 
Japan R. Hatate (1 Assists) , 
Belgium L. Ramazani (1 Assists) , 
Brazil Igor (1 Assists) , 
Brazil L. Pires (1 Assists)

Watford and Burnley Stats in Championship

Watford
Watford
Burnley
Burnley
25%
Wins
0%
50%
Losses
50%
25%
Draws
50%
2.13
Average goals per match
3.25
0.88
Goals scored per match
1.13
1.25
Goals conceded per match
2.13
63%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
38%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
0%
No goals conceded
0%
63%
BTTS
100%

Watford - Burnley Key Points

  1. Watford have seen both teams score in two of their last three EFL Championship games.
  2. Burnley have scored in nine of their last ten matches across all competitions this season.
  3. Both teams scored in each of Watford's four home league games.
  4. Burnley have seen both teams score in each of their last three league meetings with Watford.
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Our Watford vs Burnley Prediction

Watford and Burnley are both in poor form and neither side can be trusted to step up to the plate. However, this encounter could be filled with goals given that the last two Championship encounters between the two sides last season ended 2-1 in favour of the visitors.

Watford may be performing better at home this season in the league but the failure to keep a clean sheet in four of those encounters has us backing both teams to score. Also, Burnley have seen their last eight league games this season end with BTTS. Our Watford vs Burnley prediction: BTTS.

Prediction :

 

BTTS

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.