Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Oklahoma City Thunder will travel to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets in the NBA on Sunday night. The Nuggets (33-16) are second in the Western Conference, while OKC (38-11) lead the standings. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Denver Nuggets have been slowly gaining on the Western Conference leaders lately, having won eight of their last 11 games following a 122-107 victory over the Clippers on Friday.
Nikola Jokic made his long-awaited return in that match and looked excellent, scoring a team-high 31 points, along with 12 rebounds and five assists in just 25 minutes on the court.
A victory for the Nuggets here will bring them four wins behind the top seeds. This is the first time these sides will meet since their thrilling Playoff series last season, which OKC won 4-3.
Meanwhile, the Oklahoma City Thunder have not been at their best of late, having now lost three of their last four games following a 123-111 hiding by the Timberwolves on Thursday.
Still, it feels like just a matter of time until they move back into top gear. OKC are still ranked first in defensive rating and are the highest scoring team in the league. They also have Isaiah Hartenstein back, which is a major boost.
The Thunder are 17-6 on the road. They will have to make do without Alex Caruso, Nikola Topic, Jalen Williams and Ajay Mitchell for this match.
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Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 1.43 |
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|
2.9 | 1.41 |
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|
2.9 | 1.41 |
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|
3 | 1.37 |
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|
2.93 | 1.41 |
|
Who will win the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder match is: Denver Nuggets +5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder game on 01/02/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Denver Nuggets has a 47.73% chance to pick up the win against Oklahoma City Thunder according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 3.
- There is a probability of 52.27% ⭐ for Oklahoma City Thunder to win vs Denver Nuggets with odds of 1.43 at Bet365.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Form
Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
0.78 | 82 | 64 | 18 | |
|
5
|
0.659 | 82 | 54 | 28 | 12 |
Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
29 Jan 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Jan 2026 - NBA
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7 Jan 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
29 Jan 2026 - NBA
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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
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Players list
J. Pickett
J. Murray
S. Jones
P. Watson
L. Dort
C. Wallace
Substitutes
J. Strawther
H. Tyson
B. Barnhizer
I. Joe
A. Caruso
A. Wiggins
J. Williams
O. Dieng
Denver Nuggets - Oklahoma City Thunder Key Points
- The Nuggets have won eight of their last 11 games.
- The Nuggets have the second-best cover rate in the NBA this season at 59.2% (29-20-0 ATS).
- The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last 12 games between these teams at this venue.
- The Thunder have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four games when installed as favourites.
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Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction
The Thunder are capable of blowing past any team in the NBA on their day, but they are missing a few key players at present, and have now failed to cover the spread in their last four games, while losing three of those outright.
The Nuggets are without Aaron Gordon and Christian Braun, but they’ve been winning games, and Jokic’s return is a massive boost. Given how these sides have performed recently, we fancy the Nuggets as the underdogs at home in this one. Our Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder prediction is Denver Nuggets +5.5.
If your team in the Denver Nuggets and Oklahoma City Thunder game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
