Daria Kasatkina vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Prediction published on 01/07/2026, 21:26  by Daniel Ngulu | Modified on 01/07/2026 at 21:29 in Tennis Predictions

Naomi Osaka, the 14th seed at Wimbledon, faces Daria Kasatkina in the third round. This marks their fourth career meeting and second at a major. Straight-set outcomes in Osaka’s last six wins have her as the favorite in our prediction.

Kasatkina fought off the challenge of Janice Tjen to set up this showdown. The Russian battled her way to win after dropping the opening set via a breaker. A one-time quarter-finalist at SW19, Kasatkina is now seeking to move past the third round for the first time since 2018.

The 29-year-old has been bundled out of this major the last three seasons in this very round. With the two wins this week, Kasatkina has moved up to 61st in the live ranking.

Osaka is slowly getting closer to a return to the WTA’s top-10. The former world number one is now up to 13th in the live ranking. Her latest leap came after she outscored qualifier Anastasia Gasanova.

Yet to drop a set this week, Osaka won that second-round duel by the loss of five games. She has now won six of seven grass showdowns and is having one of her best grass campaigns.

Osaka, who is unbeaten against Kasatkina, arrived at the All England Club following a runner-up finish at Bad Homburg. The 28-year-old, a four-time Grand Slam champion, has never won a third-round tie at Wimbledon.