Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Golden State Warriors will travel to the American Airlines Center to face the Dallas Mavericks in the NBA on Thursday. The Mavericks (18-26) are 12th in the Western Conference standings, while the Dubs (25-20) are eighth. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Dallas Mavericks have come to life in recent weeks, and they are now on a three-game winning run after beating the Knicks 114-97 on Monday.
The Mavericks played arguably their best half of the season against the Knicks, building up a 28-point lead by halftime. Max Christie finished as the team’s top scorer with 26 points.
Notably, Dallas have won their last four home games and are now 13-11 at the American Airlines Center this season. However, Anthony Davis, Kyrie Irving and Daniel Gafford are all major doubts for this one.
Meanwhile, the Golden State Warriors have picked up six wins from their last eight games, but they will be hoping to bounce back from a 145-127 loss to the Raptors on Tuesday.
Jimmy Butler, who is ruled out for the season, is a major concern for the Warriors. His absence adds to the weight on Steph Curry, but Buddy Hield and Jonathan Kuminga stepped up in the last game, and need to continue in that vein.
The Dubs are 8-13 on the road, but beat this opponent by 10 at home last month. Butler and Seth Curry are out, while Gary Payton II is a doubt.
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Dallas Mavericks v Golden State Warriors Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 1.41 |
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2.94 | 1.4 |
|
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2.82 | 1.43 |
|
|
2.9 | 1.44 |
|
|
2.81 | 1.44 |
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Who will win the Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors match is: Dallas Mavericks +5.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors game on 22/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Dallas Mavericks has a 53.03% chance to pick up the win against Golden State Warriors according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.
- There is a probability of 46.97% ⭐ for Golden State Warriors to win vs Dallas Mavericks with odds of 1.44 at Tonybet.
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Form
Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
20
|
0.451 | 82 | 37 | 45 | |
|
23
|
0.317 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 1 |
Dallas Mavericks and Golden State Warriors Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Jan 2026 - NBA
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2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
19 Jan 2026 - NBA
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Jan 2026 - NBA
19 Jan 2026 - NBA
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11 Jan 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
20 Jan 2026 - NBA
19 Jan 2026 - NBA
17 Jan 2026 - NBA
15 Jan 2026 - NBA
13 Jan 2026 - NBA
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
5 Jan 2026 - NBA
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14 Dec 2025 - NBA
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
25 Dec 2025 - NBA
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15 Dec 2024 - NBA
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5 Apr 2024 - NBA
Players list
M. Christie
N. Marshall
C. Martin
M. Moody
B. Podziemski
S. Curry
G. Santos
D. Green
Substitutes
K. Thompson
M. Kelly
R. Nembhard
B. Williams
J. Hardy
D. Russell
P. Washington Jr.
W. Richard
B. Hield
G. Payton II
D. Melton
P. Spencer
J. Kuminga
Dallas Mavericks - Golden State Warriors Key Points
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in each of their last three games.
- The Mavericks have won their last four home games when installed as the underdog against this opponent.
- The Mavericks have covered the spread in their last six home games against the Warriors.
- The Warriors have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine away games against this opponent.
- The Warriors are 8-13 on the road this season.
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Our Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction
Despite their injury report, the Mavericks have quietly racked up four wins in their last five games, and 13 of their 18 wins this season have come at home, where they are also 5-1 ATS in their last six when installed as the underdog.
While there is a case to be made that the Warriors were on the end of a back-to-back in the defeat to the Raptors, they have not been great on the road all season, and Jimmy Butler’s absence remains a major concern for the Dubs. Our Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors prediction is Dallas Mavericks +5.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
