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Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

WTA 2 USA
Coco Gauff
01/05/2025 10:00
WTA 7 Poland
Iga Swiatek

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek to win

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

Defending champion Iga Swiatek is attempting to reach a third successive Madrid Open. Standing between her and the final is the fourth seed Cori Gauff. Can the American end Swiatek's title reign? Here's our match prediction.

Probably even Swiatek herself is never quite sure what's going to happen next. After two three-setters so far in this tournament, the world number two lost the first set against Madison Keys on Wednesday 6-0. Swiatek bounced back well to win the next two sets for the loss of only five games.

A win over Gauf will take the 23-year-old into her first singles final since winning at Roland Garros last June. Her record against the American is impressive with 11 wins in 14 matches. All five played on clay have been won by the Pole. Only one previous match has gone to a final set.

Cori Gauff has only ever made it to two WTA Tour clay court finals, both in 2021. One title was won, the other saw her be losing finalist at Roland Garros.

Like her opponent, Gauff has lost a set 6-0 in this tournament. That was her first of the event and since then she's won eight in a row. The quarter-finals saw her get the better of Mirra Andreeva 7-5 6-1. We tip Swiatek to win this.

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The Best Betting Odds for Coco Gauff v Iga Swiatek Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.5 1.53
William Hill
2.3 1.62
Betway
2.4 1.55
Ladbrokes
2.37 1.55
Unibet
2.55 1.54
Check all Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek odds
Up to $300 to bet on Coco Gauff - Iga Swiatek! 

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Who will win the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek to win.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek game on 01/05/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:

  • Coco Gauff has a 40.07% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 2.55.
  • Iga Swiatek has a 59.93% probability of winning facing Coco Gauff ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at William Hill.

Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Coco Gauff has a 40.07 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Coco Gauff40.07 %
Iga Swiatek59.93 %

Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Form

Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek Last Matches

Coco Gauff Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Mirra Andreeva
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

28 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Belinda Bencic
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Ann Li
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Dayana Yastremska
1 :  2
Coco Gauff

19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Jasmine Paolini

17 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Ella Seidel
Iga Swiatek Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Madison Keys
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Diana Shnaider
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Linda Noskova
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open

Alexandra Eala
1 :  2
Iga Swiatek

19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Jelena Ostapenko
2 :  1
Iga Swiatek

16 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open

Jana Fett
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek

Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Coco Gauff

33 %

Iga Swiatek

67 %

5 Jan 2025 - United Cup

Coco Gauff
2 :  0
Iga Swiatek

5 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
0 :  2
Coco Gauff

6 Jun 2024 - WTA French Open

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

16 May 2024 - WTA Rome

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

1 Nov 2023 - WTA Doha

Iga Swiatek
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

7 Oct 2023 - WTA China Open

Coco Gauff
0 :  2
Iga Swiatek
Compare Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek with our comparison tool.

Coco Gauff - Iga Swiatek Key Points

  1. Swiatek has won 11 of her previous 14 matches against Gauff.
  2. Gauff has lost all five of her clay court matches against Swiatek in straight sets.
  3. Swiatek is the defending champion in this tournament.
  4. Gauff hasn't reached a clay court final in four years.
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Our Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Prediction

Iga Swiatek didn't look like reaching the semi-finals when losing the first set against Madison Keys 6-0. Then again, Gauff probably wasn't expecting a deep run when losing a set by the same scoreline in her first match.

Swiatek has won all of her previous clay court matches against Gauff in straight sets. There is still a worrying degree of inconsistency with the Pole so perhaps low stakes but she battled back well to beat Keys. Our Iga Swiatek v Cori Gauff prediction is Iga Swiatek to win.

Prediction :

 

Iga Swiatek to win

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
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