WTA - WTA Mutua Madrid Open


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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Defending champion Iga Swiatek is attempting to reach a third successive Madrid Open. Standing between her and the final is the fourth seed Cori Gauff. Can the American end Swiatek's title reign? Here's our match prediction.
Probably even Swiatek herself is never quite sure what's going to happen next. After two three-setters so far in this tournament, the world number two lost the first set against Madison Keys on Wednesday 6-0. Swiatek bounced back well to win the next two sets for the loss of only five games.
A win over Gauf will take the 23-year-old into her first singles final since winning at Roland Garros last June. Her record against the American is impressive with 11 wins in 14 matches. All five played on clay have been won by the Pole. Only one previous match has gone to a final set.
Cori Gauff has only ever made it to two WTA Tour clay court finals, both in 2021. One title was won, the other saw her be losing finalist at Roland Garros.
Like her opponent, Gauff has lost a set 6-0 in this tournament. That was her first of the event and since then she's won eight in a row. The quarter-finals saw her get the better of Mirra Andreeva 7-5 6-1. We tip Swiatek to win this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Coco Gauff v Iga Swiatek Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.5 | 1.53 |
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2.3 | 1.62 |
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2.4 | 1.55 |
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2.37 | 1.55 |
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2.55 | 1.54 |
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Who will win the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek match is: Iga Swiatek to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek game on 01/05/2025 of the current WTA Mutua Madrid Open season:
- Coco Gauff has a 40.07% chance to win against Iga Swiatek according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 2.55.
- Iga Swiatek has a 59.93% probability of winning facing Coco Gauff ⭐ with odds of 1.62 at William Hill.
Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Coco Gauff has a 40.07 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Coco Gauff | 40.07 % |
Iga Swiatek | 59.93 % |
Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Form
Coco Gauff and Iga Swiatek Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
17 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
29 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
19 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
16 Apr 2025 - WTA Stuttgart Open
Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
5 Jan 2025 - United Cup
5 Nov 2024 - WTA Doha
6 Jun 2024 - WTA French Open
16 May 2024 - WTA Rome
1 Nov 2023 - WTA Doha
7 Oct 2023 - WTA China Open
Coco Gauff - Iga Swiatek Key Points
- Swiatek has won 11 of her previous 14 matches against Gauff.
- Gauff has lost all five of her clay court matches against Swiatek in straight sets.
- Swiatek is the defending champion in this tournament.
- Gauff hasn't reached a clay court final in four years.
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Our Coco Gauff vs Iga Swiatek Prediction
Iga Swiatek didn't look like reaching the semi-finals when losing the first set against Madison Keys 6-0. Then again, Gauff probably wasn't expecting a deep run when losing a set by the same scoreline in her first match.
Swiatek has won all of her previous clay court matches against Gauff in straight sets. There is still a worrying degree of inconsistency with the Pole so perhaps low stakes but she battled back well to beat Keys. Our Iga Swiatek v Cori Gauff prediction is Iga Swiatek to win.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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