Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Stamford Bridge sets the stage for the sizzling Sunday showdown, with Chelsea playing host to Manchester City on Matchday 32 in the Premier League. The Blues are in sixth place, while the Citizens are second as we enter the final stretch of the season. Check out our match prediction below!
Chelsea’s hopes of featuring in Europe’s elite club competition next season received a major boost last week following confirmation that the EPL will be allowed five teams in the 2026-27 Champions League. However, the West Londoners will need to turn things around here, having gone into the international break after back-to-back league defeats.
Meanwhile, the EPL title race is now once again wide-open after Arsenal suffered a costly defeat at home to Bournemouth on Saturday. Pep Guardiola’s side still trail the Gunners by nine points, but they have two games in hand and are set to face Mikel Arteta’s men at home next weekend at the Etihad in a potential league decider. Let’s get into the key stats!
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Chelsea v Manchester City Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.95 | 1.99 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.88 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.54 | 3.88 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.85 | 1.94 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Manchester City?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Manchester City match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2026 between Chelsea and Manchester City in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 24.11% for a win of Chelsea against Manchester City with odds of 3.68 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Manchester City is 23.97% with odds of 4.03 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester City vs Chelsea with odds of 2.02 at 888Starz.
Chelsea - Manchester City Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Manchester City Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester City wins | 51.91% | 2.02 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63.21% | |
| Both Team To Score | 53.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester City/Manchester City | 20.9% | 3.1 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Manchester City Form
Chelsea and Manchester City's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
78 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 |
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
Chelsea and Manchester City Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
10 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Carabao Cup
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
28 Feb 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
Chelsea vs Manchester City Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - FA Cup
17 Feb 2024 - Premier League
Chelsea - Manchester City: Form Analysis
Fair to say, March was a tough month for Chelsea. After sneaking past Wrexham in the FA Cup quarter-final, they suffered four consecutive defeats, a period during which they were dumped out of the UCL.
However, the international break may have been just what the doctor ordered for the Blues, as they returned to action with an emphatic 7-0 victory over Port Vale to secure their spot in the FA Cup semis last week.
That victory followed four games without victory at Stamford Bridge for this week’s hosts (D2 L2). They have earned only 23 points in 15 league home games this season, which is the 12th-best record in the division.
Chelsea are winless in their last five EPL home games against Man City!
Meanwhile, Manchester City went into the international break off the back of winning the Carabao Cup against Arsenal and returned with a 4-0 hammering of Liverpool in the FA Cup last week.
However, the Citizens will now be hoping to get back to winning ways in the top flight following back-to-back draws against West Ham United and Nottingham Forest on MD30 and 31, respectively.
The visitors are unbeaten in their last four away league games ahead of this one (W2 D2). They have taken 25 points from their 15 league games on the road this term - the joint-second-highest tally in the top flight.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Chelsea against Manchester City Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderM. Sarr
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderR. Lavia
D. Essugo
L. Delap
A. Garnacho
M. Guiu
J. Trafford
DefenderR. Ait-Nouri
N. Ake
MidfielderM. Kovacic
N. Gonzalez
Savinho
T. Reijnders
P. Foden
O. Marmoush
Missing players
L. Colwill
MidfielderE. Fernandez
ForwardM. Mudryk
J. Gittens
J. Stones
R. Dias
J. Gvardiol
Chelsea & Manchester City Squad Analysis
The biggest talking point around Chelsea in recent weeks has been the ban handed to Enzo Fernandez. Despite attempting to clear the air with management, Liam Rosenior confirmed that the former Benfica man will not be allowed to return for this match.
Cole Palmer is therefore likely to move into the number 10 role this weekend behind Joao Pedro. The Brazilian has 13 goal contributions in his last 10 league games, including six in his last five EPL home matches.
During his pre-match press conference, Rosenior confirmed that Reece James, Trevoh Chalobah and Levi Colwill are back in training but are still a few weeks away from returning to action. Jamie Gittens and Filip Joregensen are still sidelined through injury.
Erling Haaland has three goal contributions in his last three league games against Chelsea!
The Norwegian’s output has dipped significantly since the start of the year, but he netted a hat-trick in the victory over Liverpool in the FA Cup last week, and will be determined to follow up in this match.
Antoine Semenyo moved to 24 goal contributions for the season by setting up Haaland for his second against the Reds, and the Ghanaian will almost certainly operate as part of the midfield attacking trio this week, along with Jeremy Doku and Rayan Cherki.
The visitors will be missing three players for this trip to the capital - all defensive - in John Stones, Rube Dias and Josko Gvardiol.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Manchester City
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
E. Haaland
(27 Goals)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
R. Cherki
(12 Assists)
Chelsea - Manchester City Key Points
- Six of Chelsea’s last eight league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Chelsea have only kept one clean sheet in their last six home games in all competitions.
- Chelsea and Man City have the highest (1.91) and second-highest (1.84) xG per 90 in the EPL this season, respectively.
- Five of Man City’s last seven league games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Both teams scored in the last two league matches between these sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction
Chelsea endured a difficult run of results leading up to the March international break, but they returned to action with a massive victory over Port Vale, which would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence.
However, despite an underwhelming run of their own last month, it’s tough to write off Man City after seeing them lift the Carabao Cup and smash four without response past Liverpool last week. Both teams scored in the last two matches between these sides, and we’re expecting the same in this one. Our Chelsea vs Manchester City prediction is BTTS.
Chelsea vs Manchester City Alternative Predictions
More than 2.5 goals
Seven of Chelsea’s last eight games in all competitions have ended with over 2.5 goals, while five of Man City’s last seven have seen three or more goals strike the back of the net.
Manchester City wins
Manchester City are unbeaten in their last eight league games, while Chelsea have lost three of their last four in the top flight. Additionally, City are unbeaten in their last five league visits to Stamford Bridge.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Manchester City
| Chelsea vs Manchester City | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 3 | 3.68 | +22.7% |
| Draw | 3.83 | 4.03 | +5.2% |
| Manchester City wins | 2.38 | 2.02 | -15.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester City is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.0% and is now 49.5% (7.5%)
Chelsea vs Manchester City - FAQs
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester City will take place on April 12 at 16:30 (UK time).
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester City will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Manchester City will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
