Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Chelsea
30/12/2025 14:30
Bournemouth

Prediction :

 

Chelsea wins

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions

Both of these clubs had disappointing weekends. Chelsea were beaten at home by Aston Villa and are fifth in the Premier League. The Blues will hope to return to winning ways with a home victory over Bournemouth who are down at 15th in the table. Time for our match prediction.

Chelsea led at home to Aston Villa on Saturday but ended up losing 2-1. They are now 13 points behind league leaders Arsenal. Their main task now appears to be ensuring they secure Champions League football next season. Consistency is a bit of a problem for the club who are having a disappointing end to a year that has seen them win the Conference League and become club world champions.

Bournemouth suffered another heavy defeat at the weekend. The Cherries have gone nine league games without a win and are also likely to soon see Antoine Semenyo leave the club. They desperately need to get something from this game to avoid being dragged into a relegation battle.

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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Bournemouth Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.53 4.33 5.75
Betfred
1.6 4.33 5.5
William Hill
1.57 4 5
Unibet
1.52 4.4 6
Betway
1.57 4.33 5.25
Check all Chelsea vs Bournemouth odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Bournemouth?

Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Bournemouth match is: Chelsea wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/12/2025 between Chelsea and Bournemouth in Premier League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 54.66% for a win of Chelsea against Bournemouth with odds of 1.63 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Bournemouth is 30.46% with odds of 4.4 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 14.88% chance ⭐ for a win of Bournemouth vs Chelsea with odds of 6 at Unibet.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Form

Chelsea and Bournemouth's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Chelsea
Chelsea
29 18 8 5 5 11
15
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
22 18 5 7 6 -6

Chelsea and Bournemouth Last Matches

Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
D L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  3
Chelsea

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea
L W W D W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Aston Villa

13 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  0
Everton

30 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  1
Arsenal

25 Nov 2025 - Champions League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Barcelona

8 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  0
Wolves

25 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Sunderland
W L D L W D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle
2 :  2
Chelsea

16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup

Cardiff
1 :  3
Chelsea

9 Dec 2025 - Champions League

Atalanta
2 :  1
Chelsea

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

3 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Leeds
3 :  1
Chelsea

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Burnley
0 :  2
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Bournemouth Last matches
L L D D D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  1
Bournemouth

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth
W W D L D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  1
Burnley

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

2 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Everton

22 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  2
West Ham

26 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
2 :  0
Nottingham Forest

3 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
3 :  1
Fulham
D L L L D L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

5.33 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
3.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Brentford
4 :  1
Bournemouth

15 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
4 :  4
Bournemouth

29 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Sunderland
3 :  2
Bournemouth

9 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa
4 :  0
Bournemouth

2 Nov 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Bournemouth

18 Oct 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
3 :  3
Bournemouth

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Chelsea

50 %

Draw

50 %

Bournemouth

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (home team)
0.67
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

6 Dec 2025 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

14 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  1
Chelsea

19 May 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
Bournemouth

17 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
0 :  0
Chelsea

6 May 2023 - Premier League

Bournemouth
1 :  3
Chelsea

Chelsea - Bournemouth: Form Analysis

Chelsea's home loss to Aston Villa on Saturday was their fifth in this season's Premier League. They have gone two league games without a win but falling well behind the top three. Home form has seen them win four out of their nine league games with three being lost.

They are unbeaten in their last eight games against Bournemouth and looking at the form of their opponents, Chelsea will be confident of earning three points from this game. If that is the case it’ll be their fourth home win in six home league games.

Bournemouth desperately need a win.

Bournemouth had drawn their last two league games before being thrashed 4-1 at Brentford on Saturday. They have now gone nine league matches without a victory and seven on the road and are only nine points above the bottom three.

Earlier this month they drew 0-0 at home with Chelsea. On the road though they have been conceding goals galore. 21 have been put past them in their last six away league fixtures. The past two have seen them concede four goals and at least three in the last four. They have to find some way of tightening up their defence.

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Chelsea vs Bournemouth last Lineups

Chelsea

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
R. Sanchez
24
R. James
23
T. Chalobah
5
B. Badiashile
3
M. Cucurella
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
7
P. Neto
10
C. Palmer
49
A. Garnacho
20
Joao Pedro
22
E. Kroupi
24
A. Semenyo
16
M. Tavernier
20
A. Jimenez
4
L. Cook
8
A. Scott
3
A. Truffert
5
M. Senesi
18
B. Diakite
15
A. Smith
1
D. Petrovic

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Bournemouth

Missing players

Chelsea
Chelsea
Defender

L. Colwill

Midfielder

D. Essugo

R. Lavia

Forward

L. Delap

Estevao

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Defender

M. Akinmboni

Midfielder

B. Doak

V. Milosavljevic

T. Adams

Chelsea & Bournemouth Squad Analysis

Chelsea played well in the first half in Saturday's home game against Aston Villa. They didn't do so well in the second half and ended up losing 2-1. They will want to bounce back from that defeat with a win over Bournemouth.

The Blues have a doubt over Marc Cucurella who sustained a suspected hamstring injury against Villa. Scans are going to be held to determine how bad the injury is. Jorrel Hato will miss this game.

With a busy festive schedule, we can expect some squad rotation for this game. Estevao and Liam Delap came on in the game against Villa and may well start against Bournemouth. There could also be a recall for Wesley Fofana.

Last game for Semenyo?

This may well be the last game Antoine Semenyo plays for Bournemouth. He's expected to be leaving the club in the January transfer window, possibly to Chelsea.. The Cherries will miss him badly as he scored their only goal in Saturday's 4-1 loss at Brentford.

With their recent form being so disappointing, Bournemouth must wisely use the funds they get for Semenyo. They are likely to make several changes for this trip to Stamford Bridge with Justin Kluivert, Evanilson and David Brooks all possible starters.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Chelsea
CD Huachipato Bournemouth
Top Goalscorer
Brazil Joao Pedro (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ghana A. Semenyo (9 Goals)
Best assists
England R. James (12 Assists)
Best assists
Ghana A. Semenyo (3 Assists)
Argentina M. Senesi (3 Assists)

Chelsea and Bournemouth Stats in Premier League

Chelsea
Chelsea
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
44%
Wins
28%
28%
Draw
39%
28%
Losses
33%
2.72
Total goals per match
3.33
1.67
Goals scored per match
1.5
1.06
Goals conceded per match
1.83
61%
Over 2.5
61%
39%
Under 2.5
39%
56%
BTTS
61%
44%
Clean Sheet
28%

Chelsea - Bournemouth Key Points

  1. Chelsea have won three of their last five home league games.
  2. Bournemouth have gone nine league games without a win.
  3. Bournemouth have conceded 21 goals in their last six away games, eight in the last two.
  4. Chelsea are unbeaten in their last eight matches against Bournemouth.
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Our Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction

Chelsea suffered a disappointing home loss to in-form Aston Villa on Saturday. They certainly won't want to lose another game at Stamford Bridge as the Blues chase a place in next season's Champions League as their title challenge looks to be over.

They face a Bournemouth side that is on a long winless run and conceding far too many goals. If Semenyo does leave, signing a few defenders might be a good idea for the Cherries. Our main Chelsea v Bournemouth prediction is Chelsea wins.

Prediction :

 

Chelsea wins

 
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth - Other Interesting Predictions

Second half to have most goals scored

Odds 2
Of the last 11 goals scored in Chelsea games, eight have been scored in the second half.
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Chelsea vs Bournemouth match : Frequently asked questions

This game between Chelsea and Bournemouth is being played on Tuesday December 30. It is due to kick-off at 19:30 UK time.

Chelsea are the home side in this Premier League game. Therefore, the game will be played at Stamford Bridge in West London.

This game is being shown live on Sky Sports. You will need a subscription to view this channel. Go to our Premier League livescore and you will be able to read up-to-date statistics and live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction