Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
The Premier League title race takes centre stage on Sunday, as table-topping Arsenal and chasing Chelsea clash in a titan’s tussle that could reshape the scene at the summit. The Gunners lead the league standings, while the Blues are in second place after 12 games. Check out our match prediction below!
Mikel Arteta’s side are set to enter a second London Derby in succession following a 4-1 thrashing of Tottenham, which took them six points clear of the chasing pack led by their upcoming opponents. While the league cannot be won in November, a victory here will further solidify them as the favourites to secure their first Prem title since 2003-04.
However, after a stuttering start to the season, Chelsea have come on leaps and bounds recently and are now looking like a force that cannot be overlooked. Three points for the Club World Cup winners here will announce them as genuine title challengers heading into the busy festive period. Let’s get into the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Chelsea v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3 | 3.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.25 | 2.55 |
|
|
3.01 | 3.2 | 2.46 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.05 | 2.46 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Chelsea and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Chelsea vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Chelsea and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.33% for a win of Chelsea against Arsenal with odds of 3.15 at Shangrila.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Chelsea vs Arsenal is 16.81% with odds of 3.27 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.86% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Chelsea with odds of 2.55 at Stake.
Chelsea - Arsenal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Chelsea Arsenal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins | 48.86% | 2.55 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.63% | 2.07 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 55% | |
| Half-time : Chelsea / Full-time : Arsenal | 19.74% | 29 at Bet365 |
Chelsea vs Arsenal Form
Chelsea and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
49 | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +26 |
|
8
|
31 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +10 |
Chelsea and Arsenal Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
22 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
30 Sept 2025 - Champions League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
23 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Nov 2025 - Champions League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
29 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2025 - Premier League
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
4 Oct 2025 - Premier League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
4 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
18 Oct 2025 - Premier League
28 Sept 2025 - Premier League
24 Sept 2025 - Carabao Cup
Chelsea vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Mar 2025 - Premier League
10 Nov 2024 - Premier League
23 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Oct 2023 - Premier League
2 May 2023 - Premier League
6 Nov 2022 - Premier League
Chelsea - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Chelsea will enter this match brimming with confidence, following a comprehensive 3-0 victory over Barcelona in the Champions League, which took them to sixth in the League Phase standings.
That result marked the Blues’ third consecutive clean sheet in all competitions and sixth match unbeaten. They have also scored two or more goals in five matches during this unbeaten run.
The hosts have been good at home too, winning five of their last six games across all competitions, but they are winless in their last six against the Gunners here at Stamford Bridge (D3 L3).
Arsenal are unbeaten against this opponent in their last seven meetings (home or away)!
Arsenal return to domestic duty following another excellent performance in the Champions League in midweek when they maintained their perfect record by beating Bayern Munich 3-1.
The Gunners are now riding a remarkable 16-match unbeaten run in all competitions (W14 D2) and have kept 11 clean sheets during this period. Their only defeat this term came at the end of August at Anfield.
The visitors are also unbeaten in their last seven away games and shut out opponents in five of those matches. They have only lost three of their last 40 London Derbies since the start of 2022-23, with just one of those defeats coming on the road.
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Chelsea against Arsenal Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
F. Jorgensen
DefenderB. Badiashile
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderC. Palmer
A. Santos
ForwardJ. Gittens
A. Garnacho
L. Delap
K. Arrizabalaga
DefenderB. White
MidfielderC. Norgaard
M. Odegaard
M. Lewis-Skelly
N. Madueke
E. Nwaneri
V. Gyokeres
G. Jesus
Missing players
L. Colwill
MidfielderR. Lavia
ForwardM. Mudryk
W. Saliba
Chelsea & Arsenal Squad Analysis
In the absence of Cole Palmer, Pedro Neto has become indispensable for Enzo Maresca. The Portuguese international has been involved in five goals in his last five league matches and is now looking to score in three straight Prem games for the first time.
Liam Delap netted his first UCL goal in the victory over Barca and could be brought into the starting 11 to provide the Blues with a physical presence up front against Arsenal’s formidable defence.
Malo Gusto only lasted until half-time in midweek, which should mean Reece James will return to right-back. Romeo Lavia, Levi Colwill and Dario Essugo are also sidelined for the hosts through injury, while Mykhaylo Mudryk remains unavailable due to a provisional doping ban.
“Yeah, we have another day tomorrow, so let’s see how everybody is tomorrow!”
We’ve said it before, Mikel Arteta is about as helpful as a paper umbrella in a hurricane when it comes to providing team news, and the statement above is what he offered about his squad in his pre-match presser.
Arteta was able to welcome Gabriel Martinelli, Noni Madueke and Martin Odegaard back to the squad in the past week, and all three should be in contention for this one. Gabriel Magalhaes, Viktor Gyokeres, Kai Havertz and Gabriel Jesus are still sidelined.
Eberechi Eze could be one to watch here, having registered four goal involvements in his last two games, while he also recorded a goal and an assist against the Blues for Palace last season.
Most goals and assists
Chelsea
Arsenal
E. Fernandez
(6 Goals)
, 
Joao Pedro
(6 Goals)
V. Gyokeres
(5 Goals)
, 
L. Trossard
(5 Goals)
R. James
(4 Assists)
L. Trossard
(4 Assists)
Chelsea - Arsenal Key Points
- Chelsea are winless in their last seven matches against this opponent.
- Arsenal have only lost one match across all competitions this season.
- Arsenal are on a 16-match unbeaten run across all competitions.
- Arsenal have scored two or more goals in each of their last six matches.
- Arsenal have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven away games.
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Our Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction
After an underwhelming start to the season, Chelsea are now in top gear, churning out results and winning games even without the services of Cole Palmer. However, this is a true test for them against arguably the best team in Europe at this moment.
Arsenal are coming into this fixture off the back of a statement victory over Barcelona in the Champions League, which extended their current unbeaten run to 16 matches in all competitions. The Gunners are also unbeaten in their last seven games against this opponent, and we feel they will avoid defeat in this one as well. Our Chelsea vs Arsenal prediction is Arsenal draw no bet.
Chelsea vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5
Arsenal are the stingiest defence in the Premier League this season (o.52 xGA per 90) and have kept clean sheets in five of their last seven away games. Additionally, both games between these sides last season produced fewer than three goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Chelsea Arsenal
| Chelsea vs Arsenal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 3.9 | 3.15 | -19.2% |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.27 | -2.4% |
| Arsenal wins | 1.91 | 2.55 | +33.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Arsenal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 33.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 39.2% (-13.1%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Chelsea vs. Arsenal game
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Chelsea vs Arsenal - FAQs
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal will take place on November 30 at 16:30 GMT.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal will be played at Stamford Bridge in London.
The Premier League match between Chelsea and Arsenal will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can keep up with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
