Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction & Betting Tips - Liga Portugal
Portugal - Liga Portugal
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Joseph King | in Liga Portugal Predictions
Matchday 29 in Portugal’s Primeira Liga sees visiting Sporting Lisbon in a must-win situation when they travel to Estrela Amadora. Leões have very little margin for error as they try to hunt down leaders Porto for the league title. Will the Tricolores be able to spoil the party? Check out our match prediction below!
As things stand, Sporting trail Porto by five points but have a game in hand, meaning the advantage could be cut down to two points.
In their last outing, the visitors suffered a 1-0 home loss to Arsenal in the UCL quarter-finals first leg, giving up the goal in stoppage time. Sporting were previously on record-breaking 17-match winning streak at the Jose Alvalade Stadium across all competitions.
They’ll now look to get back on track in the league, where they have produced some devastating attacking displays. The visitors are the top-scoring side in the country by a large margin, netting 72 goals in 27 matches for an average of 2.67 goals per contest.
Estrela will attempt to put some breathing space between themselves and the relegation playoff spot, which they currently lead by three points.
The hosts are coming off a 2-0 away defeat to Nacional last weekend, but managed a convincing 4-0 victory over Casa Pia in their last home fixture. That was, however, their only win in the last seven matches overall.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Estrela Amadora v Sporting Lisbon Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
11 | 6.2 | 1.24 |
|
|
9.3 | 6.9 | 1.25 |
|
|
9.3 | 6.9 | 1.25 |
|
|
12 | 6 | 1.22 |
|
|
11 | 6.2 | 1.22 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon?
Our prediction for the Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon match is: Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2026 between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon in Liga Portugal :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.13% for a win of Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon with odds of 12 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon is 24.49% with odds of 6.9 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Sporting Lisbon vs Estrela Amadora with odds of 1.26 at Tonybet.
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Prediction and Best Odds:
| Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 57.37% | 1.26 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.75% | |
| Both Team To Score: No | 50.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Sporting Lisbon/Sporting Lisbon | 29.38% | 1.73 at Bet365 |
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Form
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon's standings in the Liga Portugal
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | +65 |
|
15
|
30 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -18 |
Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
8 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
20 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
7 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
19 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
14 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
31 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
25 Jan 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2026 - Champions League
3 Apr 2026 - Liga Portugal
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
3 Mar 2026 - Taca de Portugal
27 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
15 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - Liga Portugal
21 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
9 Feb 2026 - Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026 - Champions League
Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Nov 2025 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2025 - Liga Portugal
1 Nov 2024 - Liga Portugal
29 Mar 2024 - Liga Portugal
5 Nov 2023 - Liga Portugal
Estrela Amadora against Sporting Lisbon Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
D. Grilo
DefenderL. Patrick
J. Encada
Otavio
T. Moustier
A. Sola
ForwardS. Van Hooijdonk
J. Meirele
J. Cabral
J. Virginia
DefenderG. Vagiannidis
O. Diomande
R. Mangas
MidfielderH. Morita
G. Kochorashvili
ForwardS. Faye
R. Nel
G. Quenda
Missing players
L. Guilherme
ForwardF. Ioannidis
Most goals and assists
Estrela Amadora
Sporting Lisbon
L. Suarez
(28 Goals)
A. Marcus
(5 Assists)
F. Trincao
(11 Assists)
Estrela Amadora - Sporting Lisbon Key Points
- Sporting are unbeaten away from home in the league this season, winning 10 and drawing four.
- There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 19 of Sporting’s 27 league matches this season.
- Estrela have seen over 2.5 goals in eight of their 14 home Primeira Liga fixtures.
- The last five meetings between these two teams have seen Sporting win and over 2.5 goals scored.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon Prediction
This certainly has the potential to be a tricky fixture for Sporting, given it’s away from home and sandwiched in between their UCL quarter-final matches against Arsenal.
However, Leões have been extremely professional this season when it comes to taking care of business in the league and should have far too much for Estrela to cope with, even if some of their attention might be on the trip to the Emirates. Our Estrela vs Sporting prediction: Sporting wins + over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Estrela Amadora Sporting Lisbon
| Estrela Amadora vs Sporting Lisbon | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Estrela Amadora wins | 12 | 12 | 0% |
| Draw | 5.75 | 6.9 | +20.0% |
| Sporting Lisbon wins | 1.19 | 1.26 | +5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Sporting Lisbon is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 84.0% and is now 79.4% (-4.7%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Estrela Amadora vs. Sporting Lisbon game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Estrela Amadora and Sporting Lisbon when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Liga Portugal!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
