Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Italian Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
Karen Khachanov is the higher seed in this Italian Open quarter-final but it will be a surprise if he is the victor. The 15th seed faces Casper Ruud who is only seeded 23rd but has a far better clay court record. That's why this match prediction believes Ruud will reach the semi-finals.
For the winner, there's a match against either Rafael Jodar or Luciano Darderi.
Tuesday saw Khachanov end the run of qualifier Dino Prizmic who had beaten Novak Djokovic. The Russian won in straight sets to reach his first clay court quarter-final of the year. Before beating Prizmic, he needed three sets to defeat Botic van de Zandschulp.
Ruud leads Khachanov 2-1 in previous meetings. He won their only match on clay and that was in this tournament six years ago.
Casper Ruud is attempting to reach the last four in Rome for the fourth time. The former Roland Garros finalist has made a strong start to his clay court season with eight wins in ten matches. This is his second last eight appearance of 2026 on this surface.
Wins in Rome have come against Zachary Svajda, 11th seed Jiri Lehecka and eighth-seeded Lorenzo Musetti without dropping a set.
He has won the first set in five of his last seven matches.
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Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.22 | 4.3 |
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1.21 | 4.4 |
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.22 | 3.95 |
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1.22 | 3.95 |
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Who will win the Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov match is: Casper Ruud wins set one and match.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov game on 13/05/2026 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Casper Ruud has a 67.9% chance to win against Karen Khachanov according to Melbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.22.
- Karen Khachanov has a 32.1% probability of winning facing Casper Ruud ⭐ with odds of 4.4 at Betwinner.
Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Casper Ruud has a 67.9 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Casper Ruud | 67.9 % |
| Karen Khachanov | 32.1 % |
Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Form
Casper Ruud and Karen Khachanov Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
30 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
28 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
10 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
8 May 2026 - ATP Italian Open
27 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
25 Apr 2026 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
14 Apr 2026 - ATP Barcelona
Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
2 Aug 2025 - ATP Toronto
Casper Ruud - Karen Khachanov Key Points
- Ruud is yet to drop a set in this tournament with two seeds ranked higher than Khachanov beaten.
- Ruud has only lost 15 games in his three matches.
- Ruud won the only clay court match played between these two players.
- Ruud has won the first set in five of his last seven matches.
- Khachanov has lost the opening set in five of his last seven matches.
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Our Casper Ruud vs Karen Khachanov Prediction
Casper Ruud has been in excellent form in this Italian Open. He has already beaten two seeds who were both above himself and Karen Khachanov. No sets have been lost by the Dane so far and he is yet to lose more than three games in any individual set.
Karen Khachanov played well against Dino Prizmic but will find this tougher. He lost his only previous clay court match against Ruud in this tournament six years ago. Our Casper Ruud v Karen Khachanov prediction is Casper Ruud wins set one and match.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.