Cardiff vs Stevenage Prediction & Betting Tips - League One
England - League One
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by Steve Ashfield in League One Predictions
Cardiff City are three points clear at the top of League One. Monday sees them at home to Stevenage who are fifth in the table but eight points behind their opponents. Can the Bluebirds get a tenth home league win of the season? Read our match prediction below.
City beat Exeter 1-0 at home on Boxing Day. That saw them bounce back from the 2-1 away loss at second-placed Lincoln they had suffered in their previous League One fixture. That's the only game in their last seven league fixtures that City haven't won.
Nine out of 11 home league games have been won this season with each of the last six ending in victory.
Stevenage will be looking for revenge after being beaten 1-0 at home in the reverse fixture played on December 9. They are in the play-off positions but five points behind the automatic promotion places.
Boxing Day saw them draw 0-0 at AFC Wimbledon, their second successive league stalemate. Only two of their last 11 league and cup games have been won. They are unbeaten in their last four away league games with eight points earned and have won five on the road this season.
We tip Cardiff City to win this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Cardiff v Stevenage Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
1.68 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
|
1.8 | 3.5 | 4.6 |
|
|
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1.75 | 3.4 | 4.6 |
|
|
|
1.77 | 3.45 | 4.5 |
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|
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1.73 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Cardiff and Stevenage?
Our prediction for the Cardiff vs Stevenage match is: Cardiff City wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Cardiff and Stevenage in League One :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.71% for a win of Cardiff against Stevenage with odds of 1.8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Cardiff vs Stevenage is 17.38% with odds of 3.55 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Stevenage vs Cardiff with odds of 4.7 at BC Game.
Cardiff - Stevenage Prediction and Best Odds:
| Cardiff Stevenage Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins | 56.71% | 1.8 at Betfred |
| Under 2.5 | 54.12% | 1.87 at Betfair |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Cardiff | 30.29% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Cardiff vs Stevenage Form
Cardiff and Stevenage's standings in the League One
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
44 | 21 | 14 | 2 | 5 | 16 |
|
5
|
36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
Cardiff and Stevenage Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - League One
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - League One
16 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Dec 2025 - League One
6 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
22 Nov 2025 - League One
8 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
28 Oct 2025 - Carabao Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - League One
20 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
29 Nov 2025 - League One
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - League One
9 Dec 2025 - League One
2 Dec 2025 - EFL Trophy
22 Nov 2025 - League One
1 Nov 2025 - FA Cup
25 Oct 2025 - League One
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - League One
13 Dec 2025 - League One
29 Nov 2025 - League One
25 Nov 2025 - League One
6 Nov 2025 - League One
18 Oct 2025 - League One
Cardiff vs Stevenage Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Dec 2025 - League One
Missing players
O. Kellyman
Most goals and assists
Cardiff - Stevenage Key Points
- Cardiff won the reverse fixture 1-0 earlier this month. That's the only time these two clubs have faced each other.
- Cardiff have won their last six home league games.
- Stevenage have only won two of their last 11 league and cup matches.
- Cardiff have won six of their last seven league games.
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Our Cardiff vs Stevenage Prediction
Cardiff City are attempting to return to the Championship at the first attempt. It's going well so far with them leading the League One table by thre points with a game in hand on second-placed Lincoln City.
Cardiff have won nine home league games this season, including the last six. Stevenage have drawn their last two league fixtures and are only 19th in a form guide for the last ten games with only two victories. Our Cardiff v Stevenage prediction is Cardiff City wins.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.