Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Daniel Ngulu | in Premier League Predictions
Two promoted sides, Burnley and Sunderland, face off in the second week of Premier League action. Burnley will be playing host to Sunderland, a fixture that just a season ago was a top game in the Championship. These two have had mixed starts to life in the Premier League, and here we have a prediction for their next match.
Burnley will be happy to see Premier League football returning to Turf Moor. The hosts will hope to bounce back from one of the biggest defeats registered on the opening matchday. Above all, they will look to rise from the bottom three with their first top flight win since April 2024.
Sunderland will also be gunning for three points in this outing. They are just returning to the top flight after eight years out and had a bright start. A comfortable win against West Ham United saw them leap to the second spot, right behind Manchester City. It marked the first time that the Black Cats had won the first game of a Premier League campaign since August 2010, when they coincidentally beat City 1-0.
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Burnley v Sunderland Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.41 | 3.2 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.26 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.31 | 3.2 | 3.24 |
|
|
2.44 | 3.19 | 3.04 |
|
|
2.35 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Sunderland?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Sunderland match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/08/2025 between Burnley and Sunderland in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 48.33% for a win of Burnley against Sunderland with odds of 2.44 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Sunderland is 22.08% with odds of 3.26 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Sunderland vs Burnley with odds of 3.35 at Tonybet.
Burnley - Sunderland Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Sunderland Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 48.33% | 2.44 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 54.06% | 2.25 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score: No | 60.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burnley | 19.46% | 5.75 at LSbet |
Burnley vs Sunderland Form
Burnley and Sunderland's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
54 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Sunderland Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
6/6 (100%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Aug 2025 - U21 Premier League Cup
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 May 2025 - Championship
22 Apr 2025 - Professional Development League
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Apr 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 Aug 2025 - National League Cup
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Premier League
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2025 - Championship
3 May 2025 - Championship
21 Apr 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Burnley vs Sunderland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Jan 2025 - Championship
24 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Mar 2023 - Championship
18 Mar 2017 - Premier League
17 Jan 2017 - FA Cup
31 Dec 2016 - Premier League
Burnley - Sunderland: Form Analysis
Burnley have managed just one win in their last six meetings with Sunderland. They will be desperate to end that unimpressive run, especially after opening their season with a defeat.
The Clarets were at the end of a 3-0 loss at Tottenham Hotspur on matchday one. While they attempt to bounce back from that, the hosts will look to banish memories of their most recent season in the Premier League.
Back then they won just two home matches. However, in the Championship in 2024/25, they went unbeaten at home while winning 14 times. After the heavy opening loss, they'll be hoping to get a boost from the home support to jump-start their season.
Over 2.5 goals were scored in these teams’ opening league matches.
Sunderland squeezed four points off Burnley in the Championship last season. This was one of the top matches in the second tier as the two sides battled for a slot in the top flight.
Of course, Burnley had direct re-entry to the Premier League after finishing second, while Sunderland had to go the playoff route. The Black Cats will be confident going into this match, as they haven't conceded a goal against Burnley in their last three meetings.
However, they have managed just one goal in the process. Their eight-year absence from the Premier League ended with a 3-0 win against West Ham United last week.
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Burnley against Sunderland Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
L. Pires
J. Worrall
A. Ramsey
Z. Flemming
J. Laurent
L. Tchaouna
M. Edwards
A. Patterson
DefenderJ. Seelt
A. Masuaku
MidfielderC. Rigg
E. Le Fee
D. Neil
P. Roberts
W. Isidor
M. Guiu
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Beyer
B. Humphreys
ForwardZ. Amdouni
A. Alese
D. Cirkin
MidfielderL. O'Nien
Burnley & Sunderland Squad Analysis
Armando Broja has a long-term home at Burnley after a number of loan moves. The Albanian has secured a big-money move to the Clarets and should be a starter this weekend.
He last scored a Premier League goal in 2023/24 and will be looking to be the Burnley hero on Saturday. Having missed last week due to fitness issues, manager Scott Parker confirmed that alongside Axel Tuanzebe and Bashir Humphreys, he is edging closer to being involved at the weekend.
In a bid to bounce back, Parker may also consider starting Marcus Edwards to boost his attacking options.
Wilson Isidor can make amends after missing two penalties last time against Burnley.
Regis Le Bris may not be too keen on tampering with a winning team. However, Jenson Seelt’s position in defence could be one he is forced to make a change in.
The center back picked up an injury in the opening game and had to leave after just 53 minutes. His replacement, Omar Alderete, is likely to stay on, and this is his chance to impress in the top flight.
Alderete getting an assist will further boost his chances. Of defenders with impactful performances, Daniel Ballard was also in inspired form on matchday one, capping it with a beautifully headed goal.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Sunderland
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
B. Brobbey
(7 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
E. Le Fee
(7 Assists)
Burnley - Sunderland Key Points
- Burnley managed one clean sheet in their last five home matches.
- Each of Burnley’s last six competitive matches posted over 2.5 goals.
- On average, 2.6 goals were scored in Burnley’s last five home games.
- Three of Sunderland’s last four competitive matches had three or more goals.
- Away from home, three of Sunderland’s last four matches produced over 2.5 goals.
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Our Burnley vs Sunderland Prediction
Burnley returning home will feel this is a more manageable game, and the Clarets will be going for a win. Last season they proved to be a stronger outfit at home, and scoring there was rarely a problem. Also, at home in their recent matches, Burnley returned high scores, and they’ll also hope to end their winless run in this fixture.
However, Sunderland will be motivated to build on their opening win. Their heavy summer spending means we can’t rule out a goal from them either. Our prediction for Burnley v Sunderland is for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Burnley vs Sunderland Alternative Predictions
Draw
Four of the last eight meetings between these two sides ended in draws, and that includes two of the last three. Sunderland would have extended their recent impressive record here had Wilson Isidor not missed two penalties last time they met.
Despite their contrasting starts, there really isn’t much to separate these sides, and we could see them share spoils again. Our second prediction for Burnley v Sunderland is for a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Sunderland
| Burnley vs Sunderland | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 2.11 | 2.44 | +15.6% |
| Draw | 3.34 | 3.26 | -2.4% |
| Sunderland wins | 3.54 | 3.35 | -5.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burnley is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 47.4% and is now 41.0% (-6.4%)
Burnley vs Sunderland - FAQs
The Burnley v Sunderland match will be played on Saturday, 23rd August.
The Burnley v Sunderland match will be hosted at Turf Moor.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
