Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions
Wellington Phoenix host Central Coast Mariners at Sky Stadium on Matchday 2 of the A-League this weekend. Six goals were scored between these sides in the two games last season, and our prediction is that both teams will find the back of the net in this one.
Wellington Phoenix got the 2026-27 season started on a positive note, taking a lead over Melbourne Victory inside the first 15 minutes en route to a 2-1 victory last week.
The Nix overperformed their 0.88 xG in that match. Corban Piper and Riley Bidois scored the goals for the team last week, while Rafael Duran sustained an injury and is ruled out this weekend.
This week’s hosts have now won their last three home league games either side of the offseason, a notable improvement after only winning one of their seven preceding games at this venue.
Meanwhile, Central Coast Mariners were left disappointed in their league opener, where they squandered a lead twice and were forced to settle for a 2-2 draw against the Newcastle Jets.
The Mariners were wasteful against the reigning Premiers. They created five big chances, recorded 3.29 xG and fired a total of 14 shots at goal, though only five were on target.
The visitors earned 16 points from their 13 away league games last season, but they have not won a match at this venue since April 2022 (D3 L2).
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Wellington Phoenix v Central Coast Mariners Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.82 | 3.70 | 4.00 |
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1.88 | 3.86 | 4.09 |
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1.85 | 3.78 | 4.02 |
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1.85 | 3.78 | 4.02 |
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1.85 | 3.78 | 4.02 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/10/2026 between Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.97% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Central Coast Mariners with odds of 1.88 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners is 18.97% with odds of 3.86 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Central Coast Mariners vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 4.1 at Shangrila.
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Form
Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
|
4
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Wellington Phoenix and Central Coast Mariners Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
24 Apr 2026 - A-League
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
13 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
20 Feb 2026 - A-League
6 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Apr 2026 - A-League
12 Apr 2026 - A-League
5 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
6 Mar 2026 - A-League
13 Feb 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
22 Jul 2026 - FFA Cup
25 Apr 2026 - A-League
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
10 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2026 - A-League
10 Apr 2026 - A-League
4 Apr 2026 - A-League
14 Mar 2026 - A-League
28 Feb 2026 - A-League
22 Feb 2026 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jul 2026 - FFA Cup
25 Apr 2026 - A-League
18 Apr 2026 - A-League
7 Apr 2026 - A-League
21 Mar 2026 - A-League
4 Mar 2026 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
2 Nov 2025 - A-League
24 Jan 2025 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
5 Feb 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Substitutes
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderT. Loke
D. Gardiner
W. Scott
MidfielderA. Cassidy
ForwardR. Bidois
N. Walker
J. Ajanovic
MidfielderJ. Mantell
T. Mckibbin
S. Mutokoyi
ForwardL. Becvinovski
P. Ortiz
A. De Lima
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix - Central Coast Mariners Key Points
- Wellington Phoenix have scored two or more goals in their last three home games.
- Seven of Central Coast Mariners’ last nine league games ended with both teams scoring.
- Central Coast Mariners only kept two clean sheets in their 13 away games last season.
- The two league games between these sides last season ended with both teams scoring.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction
Wellington Phoenix will be hoping to make the most of their favourable early-season draw with back-to-back home games. They beat the Big V last week despite only managing 0.88 xG, but also conceded cheaply.
Central Coast Mariners should have come away from their season-opener with all three points, but like their upcoming opponents, poor defence was an issue. With both these sides still working their way up to full speed, we feel there will be chances at both ends in this one. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Central Coast Mariners prediction is BTTS.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.