Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton

04/05/2025 09:00

Newcastle

Prediction :

More than 2.5 goals

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Prediction published on 02/05/2025, 09:00 by Steve Ashfield | Modified on 02/05/2025 at 11:20 in Premier League Predictions

With four games to play in the Premier League, Brighton and Hove Albion are eighth in the table. Sunday sees them at home to Newcastle United who were third at the start of the weekend. Can the Magpies get a vital away win? Read our match prediction for this vital Premier League game.

Albion had been struggling for results before they beat West Ham United 3-2 at home last weekend. They are in the European qualifying positions but face a tough battle to stay there. Manchester City winning the FA Cup would help them as that means ninth in the table would be good enough to qualify.

Newcastle United are already assured of European football after they won the Carabao Cup. Their main aim though is another season in the Champions League but they do have a tough run-in. A win at Brighton would take them a step further to achieving that.

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Brighton vs Newcastle Form

Brighton and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League

Teams	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5 Newcastle	66	38	20	6	12	+21
8 Brighton	61	38	16	13	9	+7

Brighton and Newcastle Last Matches

Brighton Last matches

All Home Away

D L L D L W

Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.33 Goals scored

2.17 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

3 : 2

West Ham

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brentford

4 : 2

Brighton

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

2 : 2

Leicester

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

2 : 1

Brighton

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 3

Aston Villa

29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton

0 : 0

Nottingham Forest

W W D L D W

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.5 Goals scored

1.5 Goals conceded

83% Over 2.5

17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

3 : 2

West Ham

12 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

2 : 2

Leicester

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 3

Aston Villa

29 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton

0 : 0

Nottingham Forest

8 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

2 : 1

Fulham

25 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Brighton

2 : 1

Bournemouth

L W W D L L

Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals

67% BTTS

1.83 Goals scored

2.67 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Brentford

4 : 2

Brighton

5 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace

2 : 1

Brighton

15 Mar 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

2 : 2

Brighton

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle

1 : 2

Brighton

22 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Southampton

0 : 4

Brighton

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest

7 : 0

Brighton

Newcastle Last matches

All Home Away

W W W W L W

Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals

50% BTTS

3 Goals scored

1 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

3 : 0

Ipswich Town

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa

4 : 1

Newcastle

16 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

5 : 0

Crystal Palace

13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 1

Manchester United

7 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester

0 : 3

Newcastle

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

2 : 1

Brentford

W L W W W W

Wins

5/6 (83%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals

67% BTTS

3.17 Goals scored

1.17 Goals conceded

100% Over 2.5

0% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

3 : 0

Ipswich Town

16 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

5 : 0

Crystal Palace

13 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 1

Manchester United

2 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

2 : 1

Brentford

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle

1 : 2

Brighton

23 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 3

Nottingham Forest

L L W W W L

Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals

33% BTTS

1.17 Goals scored

1.83 Goals conceded

67% Over 2.5

33% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Aston Villa

4 : 1

Newcastle

7 Apr 2025 - Premier League

Leicester

0 : 3

Newcastle

16 Mar 2025 - Carabao Cup

Liverpool

1 : 2

Newcastle

10 Mar 2025 - Premier League

West Ham

0 : 1

Newcastle

26 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Liverpool

2 : 0

Newcastle

15 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City

4 : 0

Newcastle

Brighton vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

50 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5

Total goals

66.67%

BTTS

1.33

Goals scored

1.17

Goals conceded

50%

Over 2.5

50%

Under 2.5

2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup

Newcastle

1 : 2

Brighton

19 Oct 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

0 : 1

Brighton

11 May 2024 - Premier League

Newcastle

1 : 1

Brighton

2 Sept 2023 - Premier League

Brighton

3 : 1

Newcastle

18 May 2023 - Premier League

Newcastle

4 : 1

Brighton

13 Aug 2022 - Premier League

Brighton

0 : 0

Newcastle

Brighton - Newcastle: Form Analysis

Brighton and Hove Albion had gone six games without a win before defeating West Ham United last weekend. That run looked like being extended to seven games as they trailed the Hammers 2-1 at home going into the 89th minute. Two goals in three minutes secured a much-needed victory.

The Seagulls are still on course for what would be only their second European campaign. They have won seven home league games this season. Each of their last 11 league fixtures have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.

Newcastle United cant afford any slip-ups.

Newcastle United will drop to fourth if Manchester City avoid defeat against Wolves on Friday evening. They are in a good position to again qualify for the Champions League but can't afford any slip-ups in their final four league games.

The Magpies won their last league game 3-0 at home to Ipswich Town. They have won eight away league games this season but lost 4-1 at Aston Villa in their most recent match on the road. Their last seven games have all had over 2.5 goals scored in them.

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Brighton vs Newcastle last Lineups

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

B. Verbruggen

M. Wieffer

J. van Hecke

L. Dunk

P. Estupinan

C. Baleba

J. Hinshelwood

Y. Minteh

M. O'Riley

S. Adingra

D. Welbeck

H. Barnes

A. Isak

J. Murphy

J. Willock

S. Tonali

B. Guimaraes

T. Livramento

D. Burn

F. Schar

K. Trippier

N. Pope

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Newcastle

Substitutes

Brighton

Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

T. Lamptey

M. Wieffer 54'

Igor

J. Veltman

S. Adingra 69'

A. Webster

Midfielder

H. Howell

Y. Ayari

J. Hinshelwood 69'

D. Gomez

Y. Minteh 90'

B. Gruda

M. O'Riley 90'

Newcastle

Goalkeeper

M. Dubravka

Defender

S. Botman

F. Schar 90'

E. Krafth

K. Trippier 90'

Midfielder

S. Longstaff

L. Miley

Forward

A. Gordon

J. Murphy 56'

W. Osula

S. Neave

C. Wilson

J. Willock 75'

Missing players

Brighton

Defender

F. Kadioglu

Midfielder

J. Milner

Forward

G. Rutter

Newcastle

Defender

M. Targett

L. Hall

Forward

Joelinton

Brighton & Newcastle Squad Analysis

Brighton have already beaten Newcastle twice this season. They won the reverse fixture and also knocked United out of the FA Cup. They bid to make it three victories but will be without the suspended striker Joao Pedro.

Georgino Rutter has been absent since March. He may play again this season but not against Newcastle.

No Joelinton for United.

Joelinton has been a key player for Newcastle United this season. However, he missed last weekend's game against Ipswich Town and coach Eddie Howe says that Joelinton is unlikely to play again this season and has returned home to Brazil.

Either Joe Willcock, Sean Longstaff or Lewis Miley may be the one to replace the Brazilian. Jamaal Lascalles will also be absent for this match. They will be looking for more goals from Aleksander Isak and Jacob Murphy who have both been in good scoring form.

Most goals and assists

Brighton

Newcastle

Top Goalscorer

D. Welbeck (10 Goals) ,

K. Mitoma (10 Goals) ,

Joao Pedro (10 Goals)

Top Goalscorer

A. Isak (23 Goals)

Best assists

Joao Pedro (6 Assists)

Best assists

J. Murphy (12 Assists)

Brighton - Newcastle Key Points

Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last 11 Brighton league fixtures.
Three of the last five games between these two clubs have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals have been scored in each of the last seven Newcastle matches.
Five of the last seven Newcastle away league games have seen over 2.5 goals scored.

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Our Brighton vs Newcastle Prediction

Both of these clubs have difficult run-ins but will hope to achieve their targets. Brighton have been struggling in recent weeks but that last-gasp win over West Ham United should have boosted their confidence as they bid to qualify for another European campaign.

Newcastle are on course to reach the Champions League and have already won the Carabao Cup this season. Both of these clubs score regularly but have conceded 99 league goals between them. Our main Brighton v Newcastle prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

More than 2.5 goals

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Brighton vs Newcastle Alternative Predictions

Second half to have the most goals scored

Odds 2

In the last three Brighton home league games, there have been 12 goals scored. Of those, ten were scored in the second half.

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Brighton vs Newcastle - FAQs

Sunday May 4 is when this Premier League game is being played. It is due to get underway at 14:00 UK time.

This Premier League game is a home fixture for Brighton and Hove Albion. That means it will be played at the Amex Stadium in the Falmer area of Brighton.

This Premier League game is being shown live on the subscription channel Sky Sports in the UK. To follow all that is going on in this important match, go to our Premier League livescore to access updated statistics and read our live text commentary.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.