Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield | in Premier League Predictions
Brighton and Hove Albion can go above Chelsea if they beat them at home on Tuesday evening. The Seagulls are ninth in the Premier League but only a point behind the visitors. Find out more about this game in our match prediction.
Brighton kept their unbeaten run going with a draw at Tottenham on Saturday. They are pushing hard to qualify for European football next season. If they can manage to do that, it will be only their second time playing in Europe. The Seagulls are unbeaten in their last four league fixtures.
Chelsea may be the world club champions but the Blues aren't playing like that at present. As you will read in the form section of this preview, Chelsea are struggling to make it into next season's Champions League. They are in the FA Cup semi-finals this weekend with a game against Leeds United but that is their only chance of winning any silverware in the 2025-26 season.
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Brighton v Chelsea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.5 | 3.65 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.42 | 3.06 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.62 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.6 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.28 | 3.45 | 2.96 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brighton and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the Brighton vs Chelsea match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2026 between Brighton and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 44.75% for a win of Brighton against Chelsea with odds of 2.55 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brighton vs Chelsea is 17.26% with odds of 3.76 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 37.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs Brighton with odds of 3.06 at Melbet.
Brighton - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Brighton Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 44.75% | 2.55 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.53% | 1.92 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 62.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Brighton | 17.9% | 6.5 at LSbet |
Brighton vs Chelsea Form
Brighton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
53 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 |
|
10
|
52 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 |
Brighton and Chelsea Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
8 Feb 2026 - Premier League
31 Jan 2026 - Premier League
19 Jan 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
11 Apr 2026 - Premier League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2026 - Premier League
12 Apr 2026 - Premier League
4 Apr 2026 - FA Cup
17 Mar 2026 - Champions League
14 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2026 - Premier League
11 Mar 2026 - Champions League
7 Mar 2026 - FA Cup
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
1 Mar 2026 - Premier League
13 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
Brighton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Sept 2025 - Premier League
14 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
28 Sept 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Dec 2023 - Premier League
Brighton - Chelsea: Form Analysis
Brighton and Hove Albion have gone four games in the Premier League without defeat. Their run seemed to be coming to an end on Saturday but a late goal earned them a 2-2 draw at Spurs after twice trailing in that game.
The last five league fixtures have seen the Seagulls earn ten points. That's compared to the paltry three of their opponents. Brighton have won seven home league games this season including wins over Manchester City and Liverpool.
Two of their last three at home have been won. Four of the last six have seen both teams score.
Can Chelsea qualify for the Champions League?
Chelsea are seven points behind the final Champions League qualifying position. The weekend saw them lose 1-0 at home to Manchester United. That made it six losses in their last seven league and cup games.
Their only victory in those matches was a home win over Port Vale in the FA Cup.
The Blues have won seven away league games this term but been beaten in five. Their last two away fixtures have both ended in defeat with eight goals conceded. Both teams have scored in five of their last seven on the road.
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Brighton against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
J. Steele
DefenderM. De Cuyper
Igor
L. Dunk
J. Veltman
Y. Ayari
M. O'Riley
C. Kostoulas
D. Welbeck
T. Sharman-Lowe
DefenderM. Sarr
J. Acheampong
T. Adarabioyo
MidfielderJ. Derry
D. Essugo
A. Santos
ForwardA. Garnacho
M. Guiu
Missing players
A. Webster
MidfielderD. Gomez
ForwardS. Tzimas
L. Colwill
ForwardM. Mudryk
Joao Pedro
J. Gittens
Estevao
Brighton & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Saturday also saw Brighton suffer an injury blow. with Diego Gomez jarring a knee against Spurs. Mitoma came on to replace him, scored a goal and then also went off injured. Both are doubtful for this fixture.
Dunk is back for the Seagulls.
Brighton also have James Milner and Adam Webster injured at present. However captain Lewis Dunk has now served his two-game suspension and is free to return to the side for this vital home game against Chelsea.
Chelsea have only earned three points from their last five league games. On top of that they were knocked out of the Champions League by PSG but are in the FA Cup semi-finals. Not qualifying for next season's UCL would be a massive blow for the London club.
Six of their last seven games have been low and that is form that simply has to be improved on. They suffered a blow on Saturday when Pedro was injured during the warm-up for their eventual home loss to Manchester United.
More bad news followed with injuries to Enzo Fernandez and Estevao Willian. The latter has a hamstring injury and he may not play again in the Premier League this season. Fernandez and Pedro may be available to play on Tuesday.
Most goals and assists
Brighton
Chelsea
D. Welbeck
(13 Goals)
Joao Pedro
(15 Goals)
Y. Minteh
(4 Assists)
P. Neto
(6 Assists)
Brighton - Chelsea Key Points
- Eight of the last ten games between these two clubs saw both teams score.
- Two of Brighton's last three games have seen both teams get on the scoresheet.
- Both teams have scored in four of Brighton's last six home fixtures.
- Five of Chelsea's last seven away games have seen both teams score.
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Our Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction
Can the Seagulls fly above Chelsea in the Premier League table? Brighton have been blowing hot and cold this season but are still in with a good chance of making it into European football next season. They are bidding to extend their unbeaten run to five games.
Leroy Rosenior needs a win here or he may well not be the boss of Chelsea next season. His side are struggling to reach the Champions League and are losing far too many games. Our main Brighton v Chelsea prediction is BTTS.
Brighton vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions
Brighton wins
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Brighton Chelsea
| Brighton vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins | 2.47 | 2.55 | +3.2% |
| Draw | 3.81 | 3.76 | -1.3% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.88 | 3.06 | +6.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Brighton is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.5% and is now 39.2% (-1.3%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Brighton vs. Chelsea game
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Brighton vs Chelsea - FAQs
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
