Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League

England - Premier League

Brighton
14/02/2025 15:00
Chelsea

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
Welcome offer

New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply

 by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions

This week’s Premier League action kicks off on Friday night at the American Express Stadium with Brighton & Hove Albion playing host to Chelsea. The Seagulls are in 10th place in the league standings with 34 points while the Blues are fourth with 43 points after 24 games. Check out our match prediction below!

After losing the reverse fixture 4-2 in September, Brighton have now suffered defeat in their last three matches against this opponent, following a five-match unbeaten run before that. Chelsea have lost just one of their seven away games in the Premier League against the Seagulls, which was back in October 2022 by a 4-2 scoreline. 

Despite the home advantage, Brighton are the underdogs in this match according to the bookmaker odds. However, it was the Seagulls that knocked the Blues out of the FA Cup at this venue less than a week ago. Let’s get into the key stats. 

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Brighton vs Chelsea Form

Brighton and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
4 Chelsea
69 38 20 9 9 +21
8 Brighton
61 38 16 13 9 +7

Brighton and Chelsea Last Matches

Brighton
Brighton Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
7 :  0
Brighton

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Everton

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

16 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Brighton

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Norwich
0 :  4
Brighton
D L D D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  1
Everton

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Arsenal

27 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
0 :  0
Brentford

15 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  3
Crystal Palace

29 Nov 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  1
Southampton
D D W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

1 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
7 :  0
Brighton

19 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester United
1 :  3
Brighton

16 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
0 :  2
Brighton

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Norwich
0 :  4
Brighton

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Aston Villa
2 :  2
Brighton

21 Dec 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Brighton
Chelsea
Chelsea Last matches
W D W L W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

3 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe
W L W D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
3 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

3 Feb 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  1
West Ham

20 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  1
Wolves

14 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Chelsea
2 :  2
Bournemouth

11 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Chelsea
5 :  0
Morecambe

26 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Fulham

19 Dec 2024 - Conference League

Chelsea
5 :  1
Shamrock Rovers
W D L D L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

25 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Manchester City
3 :  1
Chelsea

4 Jan 2025 - Premier League

Crystal Palace
1 :  1
Chelsea

30 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Ipswich Town
2 :  0
Chelsea

22 Dec 2024 - Premier League

Everton
0 :  0
Chelsea

12 Dec 2024 - Conference League

FC Astana
1 :  3
Chelsea

Brighton vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Brighton

33 %

Draw

0 %

Chelsea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
83.33%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
83.33%
Over 2.5
16.67%
Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup

Brighton
2 :  1
Chelsea

28 Sept 2024 - Premier League

Chelsea
4 :  2
Brighton

15 May 2024 - Premier League

Brighton
1 :  2
Chelsea

3 Dec 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
3 :  2
Brighton

27 Sept 2023 - Carabao Cup

Chelsea
1 :  0
Brighton

15 Apr 2023 - Premier League

Chelsea
1 :  2
Brighton

Brighton - Chelsea: Form Analysis

Brighton and Hove Albion were handed their heaviest defeat of the season in their last league match when they were torn apart by Nottingham Forest 7-0 at the City Ground at the start of the month. 

That was the Seagulls’ second defeat in succession, while they have only won two of their last 12 top-flight matches dating back to a 2-1 win over Bournemouth in late November (W2 D6 L4). 

At the Amex, the hosts are winless in their last five league games, though they have been tough to beat, losing only twice in 10 matches at this venue all season (W3 D6 L2). 

Brighton failed to score in their last two games - the first time that has happened since last April!

Meanwhile, Chelsea will undoubtedly be out for revenge after seeing their FA Cup campaign come to an end by this opponent here on the South Coast last weekend. 

In league terms, the Blues won their last match 2-1 against West Ham, while their only defeat in their last five league games was away to Manchester City at the end of last month. 

However, the visitors have been unimpressive on the road of late, winless in their last four outings, while they’ve conceded two or more goals in two of the last three in that time. 

Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Brighton vs Chelsea last Lineups

Brighton

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
B. Verbruggen
34
J. Veltman
29
J. van Hecke
4
A. Webster
2
T. Lamptey
20
C. Baleba
41
J. Hinshelwood
17
Y. Minteh
14
G. Rutter
22
K. Mitoma
18
D. Welbeck
18
C. Nkunku
7
P. Neto
20
C. Palmer
11
N. Madueke
8
E. Fernandez
25
M. Caicedo
3
M. Cucurella
6
L. Colwill
23
T. Chalobah
27
M. Gusto
12
F. Jorgensen

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

Chelsea

Substitutes

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

C. Rushworth

Defender

M. Wieffer

E. Cashin

Midfielder

Y. Ayari

C. Baleba 84'

D. Gomez

J. Hinshelwood 74'

M. O'Riley

D. Welbeck 84'

B. Gruda

Forward

Joao Pedro

G. Rutter 74'

S. Adingra

Y. Minteh 89'

Chelsea
Chelsea
Goalkeeper

R. Sanchez

Defender

J. Acheampong

R. James

M. Gusto 66'

T. Adarabioyo

Midfielder

M. Amougou

T. George

P. Neto 66'

A. Anselmino

K. Dewsbury-Hall

M. Caicedo 66'

Forward

J. Sancho

N. Madueke 21'

Missing players

Brighton
Brighton
Goalkeeper

J. Steele

Defender

F. Kadioglu

Igor

Midfielder

J. Milner

Chelsea
Chelsea
Forward

M. Mudryk

N. Jackson

O. Kellyman

Brighton & Chelsea Squad Analysis

Brighton were dealt another injury setback last weekend, with Lewis Dunk sustaining a back injury in the win against the Blues, and he is unlikely to feature in this match. 

Dunk adds to the Seagull’s already lengthy casualty list which features the likes of Ferdi Kadioglu, James Milner, Igor, Mats Wieffer, and Solly March. 

Pervis Estupinan could return from injury for Brighton this week!

For Chelsea, Mykhaylo Mudryk is serving a provisional doping ban and will remain sidelined for the foreseeable future. 

The visitors have four confirmed injury absentees for this match, including Wesley Fofana (hamstring), Benoit Badiashile (thigh), Omari Kellyman (hamstring) and  Romeo Lavia (muscle). 

Enzo Maresca provided an update on Marc Guiu, revealing the attacker is likely to be out for “a few weeks”, but Nicolas Jackson is expected to be available after missing the FA Cup match last week. 

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Brighton
CD Huachipato Chelsea
Top Goalscorer
England D. Welbeck (10 Goals)
Japan K. Mitoma (10 Goals)
Brazil Joao Pedro (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England C. Palmer (15 Goals)
Best assists
Brazil Joao Pedro (6 Assists)
Best assists
England C. Palmer (8 Assists)

Brighton - Chelsea Key Points

  1. Nine of Brighton’s last 15 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  2. Brighton have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine home league games.
  3. Seven of Chelsea’s last 10 league games have ended with over 2.5 goals.
  4. Chelsea have only kept one clean sheet in their last nine away league games.
  5. Three or more goals were scored in each of the last four matches across all competitions between these sides.
Check the offer! 

Limited Offer. Currently at Stake

Our Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction

Matches between these two sides over the years have delivered goals, and that seems likely to be the case again this week, given their recent defensive records. 

Indeed, Chelsea are worthy favourites in this match owing to their league position, but they were beaten by this opponent less than a week ago and are have failed to win any of their last four away league games. Choosing an outright winner here feels a little too risky, but we are expecting a few goals by the full-time whistle. Our Brighton vs Chelsea prediction is over 2.5. 

Prediction :

 

More than 2.5 goals

 
Exclusive Offer
Welcome offer

Brighton vs Chelsea Alternative Predictions

Over 2.5 and BTTS

Odds 1.72

Brighton have only kept one clean sheet in their last six league games, while Chelsea have only shut out opponents once in their last eight matches. Additionally, five of the last six matches between these sides have ended with over 2.5 goals and with both teams scoring. 

Welcome offer

Brighton vs Chelsea - FAQs

The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will be played on February 14 at 20:00 GMT.

The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will take place at the American Express Stadium in East Sussex. 

The Premier League match between Brighton and Chelsea will be broadcast live on Sky Sports in the UK. 

Alternatively, you can keep up to the minute with all the action using our Premier League livescore tool.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Brighton vs Chelsea Prediction