Brazil vs Japan Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in World Cup Predictions
In one of the eye-catching fixtures in the last 32 round of the 2026 World Cup, five-time champions Brazil will play underdogs Japan in Houston. The winner of this match between the Selecao and the ‘Samurai Blue’ will go on to play the winner of Ivory Coast vs Norway in the round of 16. Brazil topped Group C in this competition, while Japan were second in Group F, both playing attractive football so far. Will that continue in this knockout match with the stakes so high?
Brazil started with an uninspiring draw against Morocco but have posted consecutive 3-0 wins since then. While they aren’t without their defensive concerns, the firepower upfront gives the record champions an edge.
Japan are undefeated in this tournament and have been one of the most efficient sides in attack—scoring seven goals from just 27 shots. Scoring draws with the Netherlands and Sweden, as well as a friendly win over Brazil last October, underline their credentials against bigger teams. Will that help Japan overcome their historic poor record at the knockout stages, or is it advantage Brazil in this exciting encounter? Dig deeper into our match predictions.
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Brazil v Japan Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.71 | 3.65 | 4.9 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.86 | 5.53 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.68 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.69 | 3.68 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.74 | 3.86 | 5.53 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Brazil and Japan?
Our prediction for the Brazil vs Japan match is: BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/06/2026 between Brazil and Japan in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.36% for a win of Brazil against Japan with odds of 1.75 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Brazil vs Japan is 21.73% with odds of 3.86 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 31.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Japan vs Brazil with odds of 5.53 at 1xbet.
Brazil vs Japan Form
Brazil and Japan Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2026 - World Cup
13 Jun 2026 - World Cup
6 Jun 2026 - International Friendlies
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 May 2026 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Jun 2026 - World Cup
14 Jun 2026 - World Cup
31 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2026 - International Friendlies
9 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Sept 2025 - International Friendlies
Brazil vs Japan Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
0 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
10 Nov 2017 - International Friendlies
Brazil - Japan: Form Analysis
Brazil defeated Scotland 3-0 on matchday three, their second consecutive victory with the same scoreline, to top Group C with an unbeaten record (W2, D1). Since conceding first to Morocco on matchday one, the Selecao have scored seven unanswered goals.
Carlo Ancelotti’s men have now won five of their last six matches (D1), silently answering critics who questioned their title credentials. A win here will address another issue from the recent past, as Brazil have been eliminated from four of their last six World Cup knockout games.
Brazil won all four of their previous World Cup games against Asian confederation nations.
Japan drew 1-1 with Sweden in their third group stage game of the competition, remaining unbeaten (W1, D2) and finishing second in Group F. The Samurai Blue are proving to be entertainers, having netted seven goals already.
The challenge for Japan is to overcome their historical jitters, having lost all four previous knockout games in the World Cups. Recent form is a big boost in their quest to address that run, as the Japanese are unbeaten in nine matches (W7, D2), a run that started with a 3-2 win over Brazil last October.
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Brazil vs Japan last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Substitutes
Weverton
Ederson
DefenderAlex Sandro
R. Ibanez
L. Pereira
Bremer
MidfielderE. Silva
D. Santos
Fabinho
ForwardG. Martinelli
Luiz Henrique
I. Thiago
Endrick
Neymar
K. Osako
T. Hayakawa
DefenderS. Taniguchi
T. Tomiyasu
T. Watanabe
Y. Nagatomo
J. Suzuki
MidfielderJ. Ito
K. Sano
Y. Suzuki
ForwardS. Machino
K. Shiogai
K. Goto
K. Ogawa
Missing players
Raphinha
K. Itakura
MidfielderT. Kubo
Brazil & Japan Squad Analysis
Neymar came on as a substitute for Brazil against Scotland, his first appearance for the Selecao in 981 days. He may not yet be ready for a starting role, while Brazil will be without Raphinha.
Brazil usually stick to their 4-3-3 formation, which usually morphs into a 4-1-4-1 system with Casemiro being the defensive lynchpin and Matheus Cunha playing as the striker. Vinicus Jr. has four goals in this tournament, while Cunha has three to his name.
Vinicius has scored in four of his last five matches for Brazil.
Takefusa Kubo didn’t feature for Japan in their last two group stage games after sustaining a knee injury on matchday one. The Japanese are also likely to be without Ko Itakura, who was injured against Sweden on matchday three.
Japan have lined up in their traditional 3-4-3 formation in this tournament with Ayase Ueda starting slightly ahead in the attacking trio, giving a distinct 3-4-2-1 look. They may revert to a slightly more conservative 4-2-3-1 formation here to blunt Brazil’s attack. Ueda and Daichi Kamada have two goals each in this tournament and will be their focal points.
Most goals and assists
Brazil
Japan
Vinicius Junior
(4 Goals)
D. Kamada
(2 Goals)
,
A. Ueda
(2 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(3 Assists)
K. Ogawa
(1 Assists)
,
T. Kubo
(1 Assists)
,
K. Itakura
(1 Assists)
,
K. Nakamura
(1 Assists)
,
A. Ueda
(1 Assists)
,
K. Sano
(1 Assists)
,
R. Doan
(1 Assists)
Brazil - Japan Key Points
- Brazil have scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
- Six of Brazil’s last eight matches have produced BTTS.
- Japan has seven goals from 29 shots in this World Cup at a shot conversion rate of 24.1%.
- Japan have scored in each of their last ten matches.
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Our Brazil vs Japan Prediction
After a slow start to the tournament, Brazil picked up in style and results, winning the last two group games with an identical 3-0 score. While Vinicius remains central to their strategy and chances, Brazil have shown that they have enough firepower to hurt teams. Japan can’t be ruled out easily, though, especially on the goals front, as they look to win their first knockout match at the World Cup finals.
Brazil and Japan have scored seven goals each in the group stages and are likely to produce another attacking display. That’s why our Brazil vs Japan prediction is BTTS.
Brazil vs Japan Alternative Predictions
Brazil wins
Brazil have won 11 of their last 14 matches against Japan and have also won all four of their World Cup games against Asian confederation nations. Japan, on the other hand, have four defeats in as many matches in World Cup knockout matches. Backing Brazil to win looks a logical pick.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Brazil vs. Japan game!
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Brazil vs Japan - FAQs
The Brazil vs Japan World Cup match will be shown live on Groupo Globo, CazeTV, and SBT/N Sports in Brazil. In Japan, NHK, Nippon TV, Fuji TV, and DAZN are in the list of official broadcasters. In the UK, STV (Central and Northern Scotland), BBC, and ITV are the official broadcasters.
You can follow the game through our live scores. Check out our World Cup Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
