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Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
17/05/2025 06:30
Holstein Kiel

Prediction :

 

Dortmund to win and both teams to score

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions

Borussia Dortmund have a last throw of the dice as far as Champions League football is concerned. Placed fifth, their fate isn’t even in their hands as they prepare to host relegated Holstein Kiel. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.

Borussia Dortmund are on a fine run at these closing stages of the season. They sit just a point outside the top four and will keenly watch the Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg game.

If they can match or better Frankfurt’s result this weekend, then Champions League football will be assured. Coming off a run of five straight wins in all competitions, Dortmund will be favorites to beat Holstein Kiel.

Dortmund came from behind to beat Bayer Leverkusen 4-2 last week, and Holstein Kiel will hope the same doesn’t befall them. If it does, it won’t change much anyway, as the visitors have already been relegated.

A 2-1 loss at home to Freiburg last time out confirmed they will be playing in the Bundesliga 2 at least for one more season. That defeat came off the back of three unbeaten outings, and Holstein Kiel will want to sign out on a high.

They have a good scoring run, a stat that should worry Dortmund. In their last 10 Bundesliga matches, Holstein Kiel failed to score just once.

The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Holstein Kiel Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.08 13 19
Betfred
1.08 11 23
Betway
1.09 11 19
Ladbrokes
1.22 5.25 11
Unibet
1.06 14 23
Check all Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel?

Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel match is: Dortmund to win and both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel in Bundesliga :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 59.47% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Holstein Kiel with odds of 1.22 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel is 18.11% with odds of 15 at 1xbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 22.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 29 at Betsson.

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Form

Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel's standings in the Bundesliga

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
54 33 16 6 11 17
17
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
25 33 6 7 20 -28

Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel Last Matches

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund Last matches
D W W W W W
Victories

5/6 (83%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
100% Over 2.5
0% Under 2.5

11 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

3 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Mönchengladbach

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund
D L W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
4 :  0
Wolfsburg

20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  2
Mönchengladbach

15 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
Barcelona

30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  1
1 Fsv Mainz 05

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
0 :  1
Augsburg

4 Mar 2025 - Champions League

Borussia Dortmund
1 :  1
Lille
L W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2.17 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

11 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen
2 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Hoffenheim
2 :  3
Borussia Dortmund

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Bayern Munich
2 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

9 Apr 2025 - Champions League

Barcelona
4 :  0
Borussia Dortmund

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  4
Borussia Dortmund

15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
2 :  0
Borussia Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel Last matches
D L D W W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
100% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
Freiburg

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Holstein Kiel

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  3
Mönchengladbach

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
St. Pauli

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
Freiburg

26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  3
Mönchengladbach

12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
1 :  2
St. Pauli

29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  3
Werder Bremen

8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
2 :  2
Stuttgart

22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
0 :  2
Bayer Leverkusen
L W L D D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
1 :  3
Holstein Kiel

19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

Leipzig
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga

1 Fsv Mainz 05
1 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Heidenheim
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga

Union Berlin
0 :  1
Holstein Kiel

16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt
3 :  1
Holstein Kiel

Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Borussia Dortmund

50 %

Draw

0 %

Holstein Kiel

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

5.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
3.5
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
100%
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5

14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel
4 :  2
Borussia Dortmund

1 May 2021 - DFB Pokal

Borussia Dortmund
5 :  0
Holstein Kiel
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Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel last Lineups

Borussia Dortmund

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
G. Kobel
25
N. Sule
3
W. Anton
5
R. Bensebaini
26
J. Ryerson
13
P. Gross
8
F. Nmecha
24
D. Svensson
10
J. Brandt
27
K. Adeyemi
9
S. Guirassy
18
S. Machino
11
A. Bernhardsson
7
S. Skrzybski
47
J. Tolkin
37
A. Gigovic
24
M. Knudsen
23
L. Rosenboom
26
D. Zec
5
C. Johansson
17
T. Becker
21
T. Dahne

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

Holstein Kiel

Missing players

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Defender

N. Schlotterbeck

Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
Defender

I. Nekic

C. Kleine-Bekel

M. Komenda

Midfielder

P. Erras

A. Kelati

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Borussia Dortmund
CD Huachipato Holstein Kiel
Top Goalscorer
S. Guirassy (32 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Japan S. Machino (12 Goals)
Best assists
Germany P. Gross (13 Assists)
Best assists
Germany F. Porath (4 Assists)

Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel Stats in Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel
48%
Victories
18%
18%
Draw
21%
33%
Defeats
61%
3.61
Total goals per match
3.82
2.06
Goals scored per match
1.48
1.55
Goals conceded per match
2.33
70%
Over 2.5
76%
30%
Under 2.5
24%
70%
BTTS
76%
18%
No goals conceded
6%

Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Key Points

  1. Holstein Kiel managed just two wins in their away league games this season.
  2. In six of Dortmund’s last seven league games, both teams scored.
  3. Both teams scored in Holstein Kiel’s last six Bundesliga fixtures.
  4. Dortmund have 10 wins in their 16 league matches at home.
  5. Dortmund have five straight wins in all competitions.

Our Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

Borussia Dortmund are paying the price for a slow start to the season. The hosts have picked up form well, but that comes really late in the day, as their fate is no longer in their hands. There is still reason to believe they’ll finish in the top four, so back Dortmund to give it all for a win here.

The problem is that they rarely keep clean sheets, and this will excite Holstein Kiel, who have accepted their fate. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Holstein Kiel is for Dortmund to win and both teams to score.

Prediction :

 

Dortmund to win and both teams to score

 
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Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

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