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by Kennedy Kechula | in Bundesliga Predictions
Borussia Dortmund have a last throw of the dice as far as Champions League football is concerned. Placed fifth, their fate isn’t even in their hands as they prepare to host relegated Holstein Kiel. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Borussia Dortmund are on a fine run at these closing stages of the season. They sit just a point outside the top four and will keenly watch the Eintracht Frankfurt v Freiburg game.
If they can match or better Frankfurt’s result this weekend, then Champions League football will be assured. Coming off a run of five straight wins in all competitions, Dortmund will be favorites to beat Holstein Kiel.
Dortmund came from behind to beat Bayer Leverkusen 4-2 last week, and Holstein Kiel will hope the same doesn’t befall them. If it does, it won’t change much anyway, as the visitors have already been relegated.
A 2-1 loss at home to Freiburg last time out confirmed they will be playing in the Bundesliga 2 at least for one more season. That defeat came off the back of three unbeaten outings, and Holstein Kiel will want to sign out on a high.
They have a good scoring run, a stat that should worry Dortmund. In their last 10 Bundesliga matches, Holstein Kiel failed to score just once.
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The Best Betting Odds for Borussia Dortmund v Holstein Kiel Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.14 | 9 | 13 |
|
|
1.14 | 9 | 15 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.15 | 8.5 | 13 |
|
|
1.22 | 5.25 | 11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel?
Our prediction for the Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel match is: Dortmund to win and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.82% for a win of Borussia Dortmund against Holstein Kiel with odds of 1.22 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel is 18.41% with odds of 10 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.77% chance ⭐ for a win of Holstein Kiel vs Borussia Dortmund with odds of 18 at Stake.
Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Prediction and Best Odds:
| Borussia Dortmund Holstein Kiel Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 58.82% | 1.22 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.55% | 1.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 33.36% | 1.5 at Bet365 |
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Form
Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
57 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 20 |
|
17
|
25 | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | -31 |
Borussia Dortmund and Holstein Kiel Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Apr 2025 - Champions League
30 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
22 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Jan 2025 - Bundesliga
1 May 2021 - DFB Pokal
Borussia Dortmund against Holstein Kiel Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
N. Schlotterbeck
ForwardM. Beier
I. Nekic
C. Kleine-Bekel
M. Komenda
MidfielderP. Erras
A. Kelati
Most goals and assists
Borussia Dortmund
Holstein Kiel
S. Machino
(12 Goals)
P. Gross
(14 Assists)
,
J. Brandt
(14 Assists)
F. Porath
(4 Assists)
Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel Key Points
- Holstein Kiel managed just two wins in their away league games this season.
- In six of Dortmund’s last seven league games, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in Holstein Kiel’s last six Bundesliga fixtures.
- Dortmund have 10 wins in their 16 league matches at home.
- Dortmund have five straight wins in all competitions.
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Our Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel Prediction
Borussia Dortmund are paying the price for a slow start to the season. The hosts have picked up form well, but that comes really late in the day, as their fate is no longer in their hands. There is still reason to believe they’ll finish in the top four, so back Dortmund to give it all for a win here.
The problem is that they rarely keep clean sheets, and this will excite Holstein Kiel, who have accepted their fate. Our prediction for Borussia Dortmund v Holstein Kiel is for Dortmund to win and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Borussia Dortmund Holstein Kiel
| Borussia Dortmund vs Holstein Kiel | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.14 | 1.14 | 0% |
| Draw | 9 | 9 | 0% |
| Holstein Kiel wins | 19 | 13 | -31.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 87.7% and is now 87.7% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Borussia Dortmund vs. Holstein Kiel game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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