Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League
Europe - Europa League
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Daniel Ngulu | in Europa League Predictions
Aston Villa have a tough match ahead of them as they head to Italy to take on Bologna. The two sides are facing off in the first leg of their quarter-final tie in the Europa League, and below we have a prediction of the match.
These two sides will be meeting for the third time across two years. They faced off in the league phase of the Champions League last season and are renewing acquaintances after meeting earlier this season in the first stage of the Europa League.
Notably, Aston Villa won both matches and did not concede a goal. Bologna played away from home in those two meetings and will want to do better when they host Villa for the first time ever. This match brings face-to-face two managers with respectable pedigrees in Europe. Villa’s Unai Emery has four titles in this competition, while Bologna's Vincenzo Italiano led Fiorentina to two Conference League finals.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bologna v Aston Villa Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
|
4.12 | 3.3 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.08 | 3.38 | 1.94 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.3 | 2 |
|
Pre-register for our Member Area: win €500!
What is the prediction for the football match between Bologna and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the Bologna vs Aston Villa match is: Aston Villa wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/04/2026 between Bologna and Aston Villa in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.9% for a win of Bologna against Aston Villa with odds of 4.2 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Bologna vs Aston Villa is 21.01% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 42.09% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs Bologna with odds of 2.18 at 888Starz.
Bologna - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Bologna Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins | 42.09% | 2.18 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 70.65% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Aston Villa | 25.57% | 5.25 at LSbet |
Bologna vs Aston Villa Form
Bologna and Aston Villa Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Serie A
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
8 Mar 2026 - Serie A
26 Feb 2026 - Europa League
23 Feb 2026 - Serie A
11 Feb 2026 - Coppa Italia
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2026 - Serie A
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Serie A
2 Mar 2026 - Serie A
19 Feb 2026 - Europa League
15 Feb 2026 - Serie A
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Mar 2026 - Premier League
19 Mar 2026 - Europa League
4 Mar 2026 - Premier League
21 Feb 2026 - Premier League
14 Feb 2026 - FA Cup
11 Feb 2026 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Mar 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Mar 2026 - Premier League
12 Mar 2026 - Europa League
27 Feb 2026 - Premier League
7 Feb 2026 - Premier League
25 Jan 2026 - Premier League
Bologna vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
22 Oct 2024 - Champions League
Bologna - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Bologna bounced back from their defeat to Lazio after the international break, beating Cremonese 2-1 in Serie A. They have been on a good run in recent weeks, only posting two defeats in their last 11 matches in all competitions (7W, 2D).
The Italians have lost twice against Aston Villa, and hosting this match gives them a reason to want to do better. There will be more incentive for Bologna, as they are struggling in Serie A and this competition offers them a route back to Europe. I Rossoblu are currently eighth in Serie A, 11 points below the European slots.
Villa have reached a European competition quarter-final in three straight seasons.
Aston Villa, on the other hand, are safely tucked in the Premier League top four. They look assured of a place in the Champions League through their league position. Unai Emery’s men come into this game well rested, having last played before going into the international break.
In the league phase this season, Villa hosted their Italian opponents and collected points in a 1-0 win. Under Emery, the Lions will not be fazed by having to face Bologna away from home for the first time. The Spanish coach is the most successful in the competition, and Villa’s performances this season reflect the same. They have won each of the last seven UEL matches.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Bologna against Aston Villa Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
M. Franceschelli
M. Pessina
DefenderN. Zortea
N. Casale
MidfielderN. Cambiaghi
S. Sohm
N. Moro
J. Odgaard
R. Orsolini
F. Castaldo
M. Bizot
J. Wright
DefenderI. Maatsen
V. Lindelof
T. Mings
MidfielderL. Bogarde
Douglas Luiz
H. Elliott
A. Garcia
ForwardT. Abraham
L. Bailey
Missing players
L. Skorupski
DefenderM. Vitik
ForwardT. Dallinga
B. Dominguez
B. Kamara
ForwardAlysson
Bologna & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
Not being in action for a fortnight has been a blessing for Aston Villa, as they can be able to boost their squad with returning players. One such member of the team is Youri Tielemans, and Emery can count on the Belgian’s creativity in midfield.
This season, Tielemans has six goal contributions in all competitions this season. This game, however, comes too soon for Boubacar Kamara, who is still out with a knee injury. Jadon Sancho is also out, having suffered a shoulder injury earlier. John McGinn will love this fixture. In the first two meetings between these teams, he was on the score sheet. The Scot has scored nine times in European competitions.
McGinn could become the first Villa player to score 10+ in Europe.
On the Italians’ side, the dangerman is definitely Jonathan Rowe. The Englishman has had five goal involvements in his last six Europa League matches. He will be further motivated by the fact that he scored on Sunday in the win over Cremonese.
The Italians have a case of one in, one out, as Juan Miranda returns in defence after suspension while Martin Vitik serves his own one-match ban. In goal, Federico Ravaglia will stay in charge as first choice, Lukasz Skorupski is still sidelined.
Most goals and assists
Bologna
Aston Villa
F. Bernardeschi
(5 Goals)
J. McGinn
(5 Goals)
, 
O. Watkins
(5 Goals)
T. Dallinga
(2 Assists)
,
N. Zortea
(2 Assists)
,
N. Cambiaghi
(2 Assists)
,
J. Rowe
(2 Assists)
M. Rogers
(5 Assists)
, 
E. Buendia
(5 Assists)
Bologna - Aston Villa Key Points
- Aston Villa are unbeaten in their previous meetings with Bologna.
- Aston Villa have won their last seven Europa League matches.
- Bologna are winless in three straight home matches.
- Bologna lost to nil in their last three meetings with English sides.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Bologna vs Aston Villa Prediction
Aston Villa seem to have the upper hand here, with a head-to-head advantage and a superb run in the Europa League this season. The two are meeting for the third time in their history, and Aston Villa carry two wins in two against their Italian hosts.
Meanwhile, Bologna generally have a poor record against English sides, and given they are winless in three straight home games, this could end up going against them once again. Our prediction for Bologna v Aston Villa is that Aston Villa wins.
Bologna vs Aston Villa Alternative Predictions
BTTS
One of the key characteristics of Unai Emery’s teams is attacking football. Villa have only failed to score twice across their last 10 away matches and will want to extend this against Bologna. The Italians have only managed two clean sheets in their last 10 home matches.
They failed to score once in the last 10 outings, and this should offer a boost facing this Villa side. Our second prediction here will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Bologna Aston Villa
| Bologna vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna wins | 2.8 | 4.2 | +50.0% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.5 | +9.4% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.5 | 2.18 | -12.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Aston Villa is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 45.9% (5.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Bologna vs. Aston Villa game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Bologna and Aston Villa? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Bologna vs Aston Villa - FAQs
The Bologna v Aston Villa match will be played on Thursday, 9th April.
The Bologna v Aston Villa match will be played at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in Bologna.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
